Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)
EXC latest price $31.9766 (0.95%) ($31.6420 - $32.0795) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $31.9766(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXC advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXC declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(75%)    VYM(57%)    IVE(56%)    XLP(55%)    SPY(53%)
Factors Impacting EXC price   EXC will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    DIA(-2%)    GDXJ(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.54(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.48(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.85(0.4%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $31.177b

Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.76%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2015	30.31	31.85	31.48	31.54	31.56	31.65	31.98(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	20	14	-57	7.52	55%	0.13	28.6	1.43%	0	0.2	44	0
2	Jan_14_2015	30.27	31.78	31.46	31.42	31.56	31.65	31.68(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	10	5	-71	5.93	56%	0.13	16.9	1.46%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	Jan_13_2015	30.23	31.72	31.55	31.31	31.45	31.47	31.32(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	20	5	-70	5.46	54%	0.13	9	1.46%	0	-0.6	47	0
4	Jan_12_2015	30.19	31.71	31.71	31.26	31.36	31.44	31.43(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	30	2	-64	5.08	54%	0.13	8.3	1.49%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	Jan_9_2015	30.15	31.7	31.84	31.24	31.34	31.43	31.31(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	30	-4	-63	4.25	51%	0.13	10.4	1.49%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Jan_8_2015	30.11	31.68	31.96	31.42	31.39	31.28	31.36(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-30	-6	-39	5.37	54%	0.13	15.8	1.53%	0	-0.4	52	0
7	Jan_7_2015	30.07	31.67	32.03	31.51	31.56	31.25	31.12(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-60	-26	-24	7.52	54%	0.13	17.1	1.58%	0	-0.7	59	0
8	Jan_6_2015	30.03	31.66	32.11	31.83	31.84	31.5	31.08(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-25	-70	-35	7	7.6	54%	0.13	26.8	1.58%	0	-0.7	58	0
9	Jan_5_2015	29.99	31.65	32.24	32.24	32.22	31.88	31.32(-2.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-80	-28	54	8.8	54%	0.17	37.9	1.57%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Jan_2_2015	29.94	31.62	32.34	32.53	32.56	32.19	32.23(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-80	-18	94	4.98	57%	0.27	46.2	1.53%	0	0.7	60	0

11	Dec_31_2014	29.86	31.56	32.26	32.58	32.56	32.57	31.81(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	18	-20	-13	109	5.59	58%	0.17	53.4	1.52%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Dec_30_2014	29.81	31.54	32.15	32.61	32.72	32.94	32.69(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	60	15	119	5.2	61%	0.2	62.7	1.49%	0	1.4	63	0
13	Dec_29_2014	29.75	31.46	31.94	32.42	32.49	32.87	33.14(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	90	26	111	6.68	61%	0.2	59.8	1.47%	0	2.1	71	0
14	Dec_26_2014	29.69	31.35	31.7	32.25	32.19	32.51	32.78(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	60	21	101	5.9	61%	0.34	63.2	1.48%	0	2.1	70	0
15	Dec_24_2014	29.59	31.23	31.52	32.13	32.07	32.12	32.47(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	10	21	101	4.67	61%	0.2	64.6	1.47%	0	2	68	0

16	Dec_23_2014	29.53	31.12	31.35	31.91	31.94	31.87	31.95(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10	13	82	3.39	60%	0.2	53.8	1.46%	0	1.4	58	0
17	Dec_22_2014	29.47	31.03	31.27	31.61	31.71	31.87	31.75(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	80	18	59	7.51	60%	0.17	37	1.46%	0	1.3	51	0
18	Dec_19_2014	29.42	30.99	31.17	31.35	31.4	32.01	32.27(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	140	41	46	11.47	64%	0.2	31.6	1.45%	0	2.3	60	0
19	Dec_18_2014	29.36	30.91	30.99	31.06	31.02	31.42	32.2(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	30	90	35	16	7.03	64%	0.2	25.5	1.46%	0	2.8	59	0
20	Dec_17_2014	29.3	30.84	30.82	30.85	30.81	30.79	31.38(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	6	-10	11	-10	6.01	62%	0.17	17.7	1.43%	0	1.5	58	0

21	Dec_16_2014	29.25	30.81	30.78	30.74	30.82	30.62	30.44(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-40	-17	-19	4.99	61%	0.14	-7.5	1.38%	0	-1.1	56	0
22	Dec_15_2014	29.21	30.81	30.88	30.89	30.96	30.82	30.47(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-20	-11	10	5.02	61%	0.14	-13.5	1.4%	0	-1.1	55	0
23	Dec_12_2014	29.17	30.82	30.95	30.94	31.03	31.01	30.82(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	0	1	19	4.83	59%	0.14	-32.7	1.39%	0	0	47	0
24	Dec_11_2014	29.13	30.8	30.98	30.89	30.96	31.1	31.12(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	10	22	6.11	59%	0.14	-56.4	1.4%	0	0.9	53	0
25	Dec_10_2014	29.09	30.78	30.93	30.79	30.79	31.05	30.84(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	60	7	10	6.63	59%		-81.3	1.39%	0	0.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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