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     Mon. Aug. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)

EXC latest price $27.9366 (1.36%) ($27.5367 - $28.0131) on Mon. Aug. 25, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.32% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $27.9366(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  EXC advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EXC advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLU(75%)    XLP(55%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)    XLI(50%)  
Factors Impacting EXC price  EXC will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $27.47(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.24(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.88(3.93%)
To recent high  -11.5%
To recent low  6.9%
Market Cap  $27.238b
 
 
 
Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10   Average positive next day return: 0.81%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -0.69%(50%)
Sample size 10   Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(50%)
Sample size 10   Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.58%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140925

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Aug_25_201429.0326.8827.2427.47 27.46 27.6527.94(1.36%)UTHoldLong651   36   50   21   79   4.53    43%-0.0341.91.32%02.2860
2Aug_22_201429.0426.8327.1427.3 27.3 27.4427.56(0.43%)UTOpenLong750.6   29   40   14   72   5.51    41%034.41.31%01.7750
3Aug_21_201429.0426.7727.0927.2 27.21 27.2827.44(0.81%)UTOpenLong750.6   26   20   10   72   5.91    41%-0.0324.61.31%01.8740
4Aug_20_201429.0526.7427.0127.13 27.15 27.1727.22(0.09%)UTOpenLong750.3   24   10   8   73   2.56    41%-0.0317.61.3%01.4750
5Aug_19_201429.0626.7126.9227.04 27.09 27.1427.2(0.44%)UTHoldLong650.5   21   20   6   67   4.92    41%0-2.41.3%01.5760
 
6Aug_18_201429.0626.6926.8226.97 27.01 27.1327.08(0.06%)UTOpenLong750.3   18   40   5   57   4.04    41%-0.03-20.81.31%01.2610
7Aug_15_201429.0726.6926.7626.96 26.97 27.0527.06(-0.09%)UDOpenLong750.3   16   20   5   50   5.61    41%0-29.21.31%01.2510
8Aug_14_201429.0726.6826.6926.97 26.96 26.927.09(1.21%)UTOpenLong750.4   18   -20   7   51   3.25    40%-0.03-49.21.31%01.3580
9Aug_13_201429.0826.6726.626.87 26.93 26.8826.76(-0.35%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   9   -10   2   31   3.47    40%0-69.91.31%00.2490
10Aug_12_201429.0826.7226.5426.77 26.85 27.0226.86(-0.75%)UDOpenLong750.2   14   50   13   16   4.97    38%-0.03-79.41.32%00.3510
 
11Aug_11_201429.0926.7526.5126.65 26.65 26.9727.06(-0.03%)UDOpenLong750.9   18   80   22   4   4.96    38%0-92.21.34%00.6530
12Aug_8_201429.0926.7826.4826.52 26.46 26.6827.07(1.77%)RBSmallLong200.9   15   50   23   -11   5.97    38%0.03-90.51.34%00.5460
13Aug_7_201429.0826.8426.4226.39 26.34 26.3426.59(1.22%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -3   -10   9   -38   7.24    38%0-78.61.32%0-0.3410
14Aug_6_201429.0826.9526.4326.31 26.34 26.2526.27(0.16%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -15   -10   -2   -54   11.41    38%0.03-73.41.34%0-0.8350
15Aug_5_201429.0727.0726.4826.28 26.3 26.3426.23(-0.73%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -21   10   -4   -73   6.68    38%0-76.21.34%0-0.9260
 
16Aug_4_201429.0727.226.5426.34 26.31 26.3526.43(0%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -24   10   -5   -82   10.08    38%-0.1-79.41.35%0-0.8290
17Aug_1_201429.127.3226.626.44 26.41 26.2726.43(0.9%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -23   -40   -3   -83   10.08    42%-0.07-84.51.35%0-0.9290
18Jul_31_201429.1227.4326.6626.45 26.5 26.2826.19(0.23%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -43   -50   -20   -110   9.24    42%-0.14-92.31.35%0-1.3190
19Jul_30_201429.1627.5826.7526.58 26.62 26.5526.13(-1.46%)DTHoldShort-65-0.5   -41   -10   -14   -122   7.98    39%-0.1-94.11.4%0-1.5150
20Jul_29_201429.1927.7726.9126.7 26.69 26.7326.52(-1.5%)DTHoldShort-65-0.2   -31   10   -1   -119   6.29    40%-0.1-87.31.44%0-1.2190
 
21Jul_28_201429.2227.9827.0326.75 26.7 26.6926.92(1.59%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -35   -10   -2   -135   5.68    41%-0.07-76.81.43%0-0.9200
22Jul_25_201429.2428.1527.126.8 26.77 26.6426.5(-1.13%)DTHoldShort-65-0.2   -47   -40   -11   -154   3.69    39%-0.1-72.51.42%0-1.3100
23Jul_24_201429.2728.3527.2926.91 26.88 26.7226.81(0.16%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -46   -50   -11   -150   6.17    39%-0.1-72.71.42%0-1.2220
24Jul_23_201429.328.5327.526.96 26.99 26.926.76(-0.06%)DTHoldShort-65-0.2   -51   -20   -17   -153   4.57    39%-0.1-73.21.42%0-1.4180
25Jul_22_201429.3328.7227.727.16 27.06 27.0426.78(-1.4%)DTHoldShort-65-0.3   -49   -20   -14   -153   8.78    39%-70.61.42%0-1.5140
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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