Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $56.2300 (-0.14%) ($55.8300 - $56.3600) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $56.2300(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(76%)    VT(74%)    EWG(70%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.29(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.6(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.49(1.33%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.3%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	58.26	55.49	55.6	56.29	56.31	56.32	56.23(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	0	5	66	4.02	48%	-0.17	30.4	0.9%	0	1	51	0
2	Jan_15_2015	58.36	55.44	55.45	56.26	56.33	56.23	56.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10	4	55	2.37	48%	-0.19	25	0.9%	0	1.2	55	0
3	Jan_14_2015	58.47	55.42	55.33	56.11	56.26	56.31	56.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	10	12	49	2.4	48%	-0.19	15.1	0.9%	0	1.1	57	0
4	Jan_13_2015	58.58	55.38	55.22	55.77	56.11	56.43	56.58(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	60	53	35	2.8	49%	-0.17	-5.5	0.9%	0	1.7	53	0
5	Jan_12_2015	58.68	55.29	55.11	55.22	55.54	56.21	56.09(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	100	60	5	2.07	49%	-0.17	-41.5	0.9%	0	1.2	55	0

6	Jan_9_2015	58.78	55.29	55.07	54.8	54.96	55.79	56.08(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	55	110	76	-8	3.66	44%	-0.15	-70.2	0.93%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Jan_8_2015	58.87	55.26	55.01	54.53	54.46	54.88	55.57(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	26	50	46	-34	3.63	44%	-0.19	-88.1	0.94%	0	0.5	52	0
8	Jan_7_2015	58.98	55.32	54.97	54.47	54.37	54.12	54.51(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-40	-11	-73	3.2	40%	-0.22	-83.3	0.91%	0	-1.3	35	0
9	Jan_6_2015	59.11	55.42	55.11	54.62	54.63	54.05	53.83(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-70	-56	-78	2.88	37%	-0.22	-66.9	0.9%	0	-2.2	39	0
10	Jan_5_2015	59.24	55.56	55.27	54.98	54.94	54.62	54.03(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-58	-40	-60	-52	3.95	37%	-0.22	-60.5	0.9%	0	-2.3	46	0

11	Jan_2_2015	59.37	55.71	55.4	55.35	55.29	55.22	54.71(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10	-17	-16	4.27	39%	-0.3	-54.6	0.89%	0	-1.7	44	0
12	Dec_31_2014	59.55	55.79	55.46	55.53	55.51	55.26	55.29(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-30	-8	-10	1.87	37%	-0.18	-49.5	0.88%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Dec_30_2014	59.66	55.85	55.55	55.54	55.57	55.36	55.22(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-20	-30	-27	2.08	36%	-0.17	-53.2	0.93%	0	-1	37	0
14	Dec_29_2014	59.76	55.91	55.58	55.68	55.65	55.36	55.67(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	10	1	-17	2.09	34%	-0.17	-51.4	0.94%	0	-0.4	43	0
15	Dec_26_2014	59.86	55.97	55.5	55.6	55.72	55.77	55.88(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	10	22	-32	0.9	34%	-0.25	-45.6	0.95%	0	-0.1	44	0

16	Dec_24_2014	60.01	56.04	55.47	55.45	55.6	55.54	55.61(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	0	-0	-63	0.87	35%	-0.17	-38.3	0.96%	0	-0.6	40	0
17	Dec_23_2014	60.11	56.1	55.52	55.38	55.46	55.68	55.3(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	30	-4	-72	2.34	35%	-0.18	-43	0.97%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Dec_22_2014	60.22	56.17	55.68	55.57	55.39	55.67	55.93(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	30	23	-45	2.41	34%	-0.18	-34.9	0.96%	0	-0.3	47	0
19	Dec_19_2014	60.33	56.22	55.73	55.47	55.48	55.24	55.29(0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-30	8	-57	3.57	32%	-0.18	-37.5	0.96%	0	-1.3	41	0
20	Dec_18_2014	60.44	56.26	55.86	55.39	55.53	55.11	55.12(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-50	-37	-84	4.37	31%	-0.2	-48.8	0.96%	0	-1.7	36	0

21	Dec_17_2014	60.56	56.32	56.04	55.49	55.56	55.73	55.25(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	30	-23	-79	4.74	31%	-0.2	-58	0.96%	0	-1.7	33	0
22	Dec_16_2014	60.68	56.41	56.04	55.67	55.71	55.95	56.24(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	30	24	-56	6.1	35%	-0.16	-53.8	0.94%	0	-0.3	46	0
23	Dec_15_2014	60.78	56.42	56.16	55.82	55.7	55.39	55.44(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-50	-24	-72	4.05	32%	-0.16	-55.2	0.93%	0	-1.7	39	0
24	Dec_12_2014	60.88	56.48	56.27	56.06	56.01	55.47	54.88(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-60	-70	-55	-75	4.04	30%	-0.16	-52.6	0.92%	0	-2.9	34	0
25	Dec_11_2014	60.98	56.6	56.48	56.4	56.39	56.01	55.65(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-47	-50	-48	-42	3.78	32%		-43.2	0.91%	0	-2.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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