Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $60.4600 (-0.33%) ($60.2600 - $60.5800) on Fri. Mar. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $60.4600(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(77%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.18(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.61(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.46(1.68%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.11%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2012	55.75	59.46	59.61	60.18	60.32	60.43	60.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	13	29	1.76	58%	0.05	50.7	1.55%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Mar_15_2012	55.72	59.38	59.57	60.03	59.99	60.31	60.66(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	40	11	29	3.06	58%	0.11	46.6	1.55%	0	1.6	56	0
3	Mar_14_2012	55.66	59.29	59.51	59.84	59.82	60.21	60.03(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	40	28	40	2.22	58%	0.11	41.6	1.55%	0	1	57	0
4	Mar_13_2012	55.6	59.21	59.48	59.51	59.68	59.66	60.79(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	32	10	31	34	2.55	58%	0.11	27.2	1.56%	0	2.1	57	0
5	Mar_12_2012	55.54	59.1	59.29	58.88	59.18	59.43	58.95(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	40	-3	-4	2.52	44%	0.11	8.3	1.53%	0	-0.2	49	0

6	Mar_9_2012	55.48	59.05	59.25	58.96	58.83	59.69	59.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	19	100	24	5	1.39	44%	0.14	2.5	1.58%	0	0.9	51	0
7	Mar_8_2012	55.4	59.02	59.19	59.05	58.75	58.92	59.71(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	10	25	10	1.63	39%	0.13	10.3	1.58%	0	1	54	0
8	Mar_7_2012	55.33	58.98	59.07	59.17	58.86	57.97	58.38(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-120	-34	-12	1.75	33%	0.11	21.7	1.62%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Mar_6_2012	55.27	59	59.15	59.46	59.36	58.57	57.64(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-40	-100	-52	-4	3.81	33%	0.11	43.9	1.61%	0	-2	48	0
10	Mar_5_2012	55.21	59.05	59.15	59.72	59.92	59.74	59.36(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-6	26	1.42	38%	0.13	70.9	1.57%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Mar_2_2012	55.14	59.03	59.32	59.53	59.77	60.15	60.14(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	21	60	15	38	1.22	38%	0.16	70.9	1.57%	0	1.8	68	0
12	Mar_1_2012	55.05	58.94	59.2	59.35	59.29	60.09	60.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	90	36	39	1.95	38%	0.16	75.8	1.57%	0	2.4	55	0
13	Feb_29_2012	54.96	58.83	59.05	58.99	59	59.38	59.87(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	50	35	24	2.69	51%	0.18	69.5	1.72%	0	2.2	53	0
14	Feb_28_2012	54.86	58.71	58.89	58.83	58.63	58.49	58.93(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-30	-6	0	1.59	59%	0.15	55.1	1.72%	0	0.4	52	0
15	Feb_27_2012	54.78	58.62	58.88	58.87	58.7	58.62	58.39(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-20	-13	1	2.24	59%	0.18	44.9	1.82%	0	-0.4	52	0

16	Feb_24_2012	54.68	58.6	58.83	59.08	58.97	58.62	59.24(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-30	-1	6	1.63	59%	0.2	61.5	1.81%	0	1	51	0
17	Feb_23_2012	54.57	58.52	58.82	59.02	59.08	58.78	58.52(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-8	-30	-12	4	1.91	52%	0.22	67.3	1.82%	0	0	51	0
18	Feb_22_2012	54.45	58.5	58.88	59.1	59.11	59.16	59.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	10	-3	14	2.19	52%	0.24	89.6	1.89%	0	0.8	57	0
19	Feb_21_2012	54.32	58.42	58.85	58.96	59.09	59.38	59.16(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	14	24	4.39	48%	0.41	103.4	1.89%	0	1.1	63	0
20	Feb_17_2012	54.1	58.34	58.76	58.89	58.85	59.05	59.42(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	20	15	28	1.51	48%	0.22	119.4	1.93%	0	1.4	67	0

21	Feb_16_2012	53.98	58.21	58.71	58.55	58.66	58.8	58.95(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	20	7	21	2.41	48%	0.2	119.1	1.95%	0	0.9	56	0
22	Feb_15_2012	53.87	58.08	58.66	58.6	58.43	58.64	58.89(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	20	1	24	3.05	48%	0.19	116.9	1.98%	0	0.8	59	0
23	Feb_14_2012	53.77	57.9	58.6	58.65	58.48	58.53	58.38(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-0	4	29	2.26	48%	0.22	105.7	1.98%	0	0.4	52	0
24	Feb_13_2012	53.65	57.72	58.51	58.71	58.69	58.22	58.82(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-60	-2	28	1.55	48%	0.24	114.7	1.97%	0	0.9	58	0
25	Feb_10_2012	53.52	57.46	58.34	58.61	58.6	58.44	57.71(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	-20	-25	14	2.45	52%		95.9	1.99%	0	0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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