Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $59.1600 (-0.44%) ($58.9700 - $59.4900) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $59.1600(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(77%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.96(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.85(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.42(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.32%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.35%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.56%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.07%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2012	54.32	58.42	58.85	58.96	59.09	59.38	59.16(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	40	14	24	4.39	48%	0.41	103.4	1.89%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Feb_17_2012	54.1	58.34	58.76	58.89	58.85	59.05	59.42(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	20	15	28	1.51	48%	0.22	119.4	1.93%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Feb_16_2012	53.98	58.21	58.71	58.55	58.66	58.8	58.95(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	20	7	21	2.41	48%	0.2	119.1	1.95%	0	0.9	56	0
4	Feb_15_2012	53.87	58.08	58.66	58.6	58.43	58.64	58.89(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	20	1	24	3.05	48%	0.19	116.9	1.98%	0	0.8	59	0
5	Feb_14_2012	53.77	57.9	58.6	58.65	58.48	58.53	58.38(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-0	4	29	2.26	48%	0.22	105.7	1.98%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Feb_13_2012	53.65	57.72	58.51	58.71	58.69	58.22	58.82(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-60	-2	28	1.55	48%	0.24	114.7	1.97%	0	0.9	58	0
7	Feb_10_2012	53.52	57.46	58.34	58.61	58.6	58.44	57.71(-2.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-15	-20	-25	14	2.45	52%	0.22	95.9	1.99%	0	0.2	53	0
8	Feb_9_2012	53.4	57.25	58.38	58.88	58.71	59.17	59.19(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	50	14	43	1.75	48%	0.17	87.2	1.97%	0	1.1	68	0
9	Feb_8_2012	53.31	56.93	58.21	58.73	58.62	58.76	59.17(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	17	45	1.52	48%	0.15	74.1	2.1%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Feb_7_2012	53.23	56.64	58.08	58.54	58.49	58.25	58.68(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	-0	47	1.82	48%	0.13	67.1	2.1%	0	1	74	0

11	Feb_6_2012	53.16	56.32	57.97	58.28	58.42	58.48	58.32(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	10	1	56	1.93	48%	0.09	59.2	2.1%	0	0.9	76	0
12	Feb_3_2012	53.11	56.02	57.89	58.02	58.25	58.72	59.03(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	70	20	77	3.38	48%	0.13	53.9	2.1%	0	1.3	84	0
13	Feb_2_2012	53.04	55.73	57.66	57.8	57.72	58.36	58.47(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	70	20	89	1.48	48%	0.11	56.9	2.1%	0	1.2	84	0
14	Feb_1_2012	52.98	55.5	57.43	57.61	57.53	57.77	58.21(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	30	18	101	2.57	48%	0.11	61.6	2.12%	0	1.2	85	0
15	Jan_31_2012	52.92	55.29	57.14	57.58	57.47	57.08	57.36(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-50	-6	103	2.38	45%	0.11	67.5	2.12%	0	1	77	0

16	Jan_30_2012	52.86	55.04	56.87	57.61	57.51	57.29	57.01(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-17	111	2.26	45%	0.09	68	2.17%	0	0.9	79	0
17	Jan_27_2012	52.81	54.8	56.53	57.72	57.65	57.86	57.94(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	20	9	134	2.1	51%	0.06	69	2.16%	0	1.5	85	0
18	Jan_26_2012	52.78	54.48	56.06	57.48	57.53	57.73	57.52(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	30	14	125	2.33	51%	0.02	68.3	2.3%	0	1.5	71	0
19	Jan_25_2012	52.77	54.19	55.59	57.21	57.25	57.43	58.06(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	20	16	115	2.85	51%	0.09	71.5	2.29%	0	1.9	69	0
20	Jan_24_2012	52.72	53.92	55.09	56.64	56.85	57.33	57.53(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	70	23	99	2.15	55%	0.09	72.5	2.31%	0	1.9	65	0

21	Jan_23_2012	52.67	53.66	54.54	56	56.25	57.07	57.54(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	120	37	86	2.34	55%	0.06	72.6	2.38%	0	2.3	73	0
22	Jan_20_2012	52.64	53.38	53.99	55.15	55.5	56.37	56.76(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	130	42	67	2.9	55%	0	73.3	2.4%	0	2.3	71	0
23	Jan_19_2012	52.64	53.11	53.62	54.44	54.61	55.43	56.17(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	110	36	54	3.17	55%	0	69.5	2.41%	0	2.6	72	0
24	Jan_18_2012	52.64	52.77	53.37	53.72	53.9	54.64	55.21(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	110	32	44	2.68	55%	0	49.5	2.41%	0	2.5	67	0
25	Jan_17_2012	52.64	52.59	53.24	53.31	53.28	53.8	54.32(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	70	24	36	3.08	55%		27.4	2.42%	0	2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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