Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $56.1700 (1.74%) ($55.6600 - $56.2400) on Thu. Jan. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $56.1700(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(77%)    EWG(69%)    SPY(69%)    FXI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.44(3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.62(4.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.11(5.76%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.39%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.18%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.31%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2012	52.64	53.11	53.62	54.44	54.61	55.43	56.17(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	41	110	36	54	3.17	55%	0	69.5	2.41%	0	2.6	72	NAN
2	Jan_18_2012	52.64	52.77	53.37	53.72	53.9	54.64	55.21(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	110	32	44	2.68	55%	0	49.5	2.41%	0	2.5	67	NAN
3	Jan_17_2012	52.64	52.59	53.24	53.31	53.28	53.8	54.32(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	70	24	36	3.08	55%	-0.02	27.4	2.42%	0	2	55	NAN
4	Jan_13_2012	52.65	52.44	53.03	52.86	53	53.15	53.29(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	30	15	19	2.16	55%	0.04	-1	2.43%	0	0.8	53	NAN
5	Jan_12_2012	52.63	52.34	52.93	52.64	52.69	52.77	53.19(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	10	0	8	2.59	55%	0	-25.9	2.43%	0	0.8	56	NAN

6	Jan_11_2012	52.63	52.29	52.77	52.67	52.53	52.84	52.58(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	30	-2	8	3.57	55%	-0.02	-39.9	2.46%	0	0.3	57	NAN
7	Jan_10_2012	52.64	52.3	52.7	52.96	52.73	52.61	53.15(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-30	3	27	2.55	58%	0.06	-47.8	2.46%	0	0.8	69	NAN
8	Jan_9_2012	52.61	52.36	52.69	53.19	52.86	52.21	52.07(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-100	-19	30	2.34	58%	0.04	-46.3	2.51%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
9	Jan_6_2012	52.59	52.45	52.69	53.22	53.4	52.84	52.19(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-60	-13	40	2.46	58%	-0.02	-48	2.51%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
10	Jan_5_2012	52.6	52.61	52.76	53.23	53.34	53.51	53.38(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	30	0	50	2.1	58%	-0.06	-47	2.52%	0	0.6	59	NAN

11	Jan_4_2012	52.63	52.71	52.59	52.85	53.03	53.96	54.02(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	130	29	50	1.89	60%	-0.02	-40.2	2.51%	0	0.9	57	NAN
12	Jan_3_2012	52.64	52.8	52.14	52.4	52.52	53.17	54.27(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	90	31	25	2.84	60%	-0.06	-32.3	2.54%	0	0.9	54	NAN
13	Dec_30_2011	52.67	52.85	51.87	52.17	51.95	52.11	52.26(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	10	2	-4	1.24	54%	-0.06	-17.3	2.53%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
14	Dec_29_2011	52.7	53.02	51.78	52.25	52.11	51.86	52.2(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-40	-0	-13	1.77	54%	0.02	-0.8	2.59%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
15	Dec_28_2011	52.69	53.2	51.69	52.24	52.25	51.79	51.48(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-60	-12	-37	2.75	51%	-0.08	8.7	2.6%	0	-0.9	34	NAN

16	Dec_27_2011	52.73	53.29	51.76	52.25	52.3	52.37	51.81(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	10	2	-45	1.17	54%	-0.13	13.8	2.64%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
17	Dec_23_2011	52.8	53.32	51.86	51.79	52.11	52.71	53.09(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	100	22	-61	1.2	54%	-0.09	5.4	2.65%	0	-0.1	36	NAN
18	Dec_22_2011	52.85	53.16	51.98	51.52	51.32	52.24	52.67(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	110	20	-73	1.63	49%	-0.19	-3.7	2.66%	0	-0.2	38	NAN
19	Dec_21_2011	52.95	53.04	52.08	51.27	51.15	51.5	52.14(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	40	22	-79	3.82	47%	-0.23	-13.6	2.87%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
20	Dec_20_2011	53.07	53.03	52.42	51.09	51.06	50.41	51.56(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-90	-10	-96	3.02	47%	-0.28	-21.5	2.91%	0	-0.6	32	NAN

21	Dec_19_2011	53.22	53.02	52.82	51.22	51.17	50.8	49.48(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-50	-33	-96	4.59	42%	-0.3	-26.9	2.86%	0	-1.5	41	NAN
22	Dec_16_2011	53.38	53.2	53.51	51.92	51.89	51.72	51.77(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-20	-8	-59	4.29	44%	-0.26	-24.5	2.84%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
23	Dec_15_2011	53.52	53.24	53.9	52.5	52.19	51.54	51.39(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-100	-23	-33	2.76	44%	-0.28	-19.5	2.85%	0	-0.9	62	NAN
24	Dec_14_2011	53.67	53.35	54.37	53.03	52.85	52.06	51.27(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-110	-34	-4	2.91	44%	-0.28	-13.5	2.85%	0	-1	60	NAN
25	Dec_13_2011	53.82	53.52	54.87	53.94	53.61	52.85	52.21(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-15	-120	-31	33	3.27	44%		-6	2.85%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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