Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $52.0000 (3.07%) ($51.6700 - $52.6700) on Wed. Oct. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $52.0000(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(78%)    EWG(70%)    SPY(70%)    FXI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.06(3.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.57(7.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.99(6.14%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 4.96% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.75%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2011	58.29	48.99	48.57	50.06	50.34	51.08	52(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	120	35	74	4.42	40%	-0.17	-21.8	3.21%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Oct_11_2011	58.39	48.96	48.08	49.09	49.33	50.22	50.45(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	140	28	42	2.46	39%	-0.21	-40	3.19%	0	0.6	50	0
3	Oct_10_2011	58.51	49.03	47.91	48.36	48.46	49.59	50.75(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	170	43	23	3.19	39%	-0.24	-49.6	3.2%	0	0.7	46	0
4	Oct_7_2011	58.65	49.08	47.53	47.27	47.38	48.44	48.49(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	160	30	-22	4.35	37%	-0.27	-64.3	3.14%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Oct_6_2011	58.81	49.25	47.35	46.88	46.66	47.33	48.62(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	90	18	-60	4.34	37%	-0.31	-69.1	3.15%	0	-0.2	38	0

6	Oct_5_2011	58.99	49.52	47.05	46.87	46.49	46.33	47.15(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-50	-1	-94	4.14	37%	-0.29	-65.6	3.12%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Oct_4_2011	59.16	49.96	47.3	46.93	47.05	45.99	46.8(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-150	-22	-110	10.6	37%	-0.29	-63.7	3.12%	0	-1	38	0
8	Oct_3_2011	59.33	50.31	47.77	47.4	47.58	46.66	45.27(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-120	-37	-110	5.23	35%	-0.34	-62.9	3.1%	0	-1.6	33	0
9	Sep_30_2011	59.53	50.79	48.39	47.8	48.45	48.12	46.57(-4.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10	-5	-92	4.45	36%	-0.32	-60.2	3.1%	0	-1.4	36	0
10	Sep_29_2011	59.72	51.26	49.07	47.82	48.25	48.51	48.57(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	60	10	-82	3.63	38%	-0.3	-54.1	3.07%	0	-0.9	40	0

11	Sep_28_2011	59.9	51.66	49.46	47.24	47.59	48.78	47.42(-3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	200	11	-101	3.71	38%	-0.33	-52	3.06%	0	-1.3	31	0
12	Sep_27_2011	60.1	52.05	49.92	47.75	47.11	47.98	49.18(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	90	16	-104	5.11	39%	-0.28	-46.8	3.04%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Sep_26_2011	60.27	52.36	50.23	48.28	47.44	46.39	47.24(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-210	-24	-118	4.42	36%	-0.33	-36	2.99%	0	-1.7	33	0
14	Sep_23_2011	60.47	52.68	50.74	49.14	48.87	46.25	46.67(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-84	-390	-69	-128	5.45	36%	-0.33	-27.8	2.98%	0	-2.1	30	0
15	Sep_22_2011	60.67	52.96	51.33	50.53	50.13	48.49	45.67(-8.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-96	-250	-87	-121	11.85	36%	-0.34	-18.9	2.97%	0	-3	23	0

16	Sep_21_2011	60.88	53.35	52.26	51.94	51.93	51.5	49.98(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-15	-75	3.86	41%	-0.31	-13.4	2.78%	0	-1.9	28	0
17	Sep_20_2011	61.07	53.53	52.87	52.35	52.37	51.76	51.83(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-80	-11	-62	2.22	43%	-0.29	-14.3	2.77%	0	-1.1	40	0
18	Sep_19_2011	61.25	53.48	53.09	52.47	52.27	52.36	51.57(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	0	-15	-67	3.47	43%	-0.29	-24.8	2.77%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Sep_16_2011	61.43	53.47	53.4	52.59	52.47	52.97	53.58(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	60	23	-45	4.9	45%	-0.24	-30.8	2.74%	0	0.1	53	0
20	Sep_15_2011	61.58	53.43	53.62	52.31	52.02	52.17	52.73(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	0	-2	-46	2.6	44%	-0.26	-41.4	2.73%	0	-0.4	57	0

21	Sep_14_2011	61.74	53.59	54	52.68	52.06	51.98	52.06(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-50	-17	-30	4.71	45%	-0.27	-22.9	2.73%	0	-0.8	51	0
22	Sep_13_2011	61.91	53.76	54.32	53.5	52.81	51.86	52.39(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-160	-20	-6	3.1	45%	-0.26	-10.1	2.75%	0	-0.7	50	0
23	Sep_12_2011	62.07	53.91	54.63	53.82	53.73	52.15	52.18(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-210	-40	12	3.55	45%	-0.16	0.3	2.75%	0	-0.9	58	0
24	Sep_9_2011	62.17	54.02	54.76	54.31	54.16	53.75	52.19(-4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-26	-60	-44	30	4.51	44%	-0.27	-2.1	2.77%	0	-1	56	0
25	Sep_8_2011	62.34	54.17	54.74	55.08	54.72	55.3	54.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	50	3	64	3.46	46%		0.6	2.73%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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