Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $66.7700 (0.2%) ($66.4500 - $66.9100) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $66.7700(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(79%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.97(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.7(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.53(1.89%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.88%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.26%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.39%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2011	64.08	65.53	65.7	65.97	66.22	66.61	66.77(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	50	26	-18	1.35	46%	0.11	63.6	1.37%	0	0.9	53	NAN
2	Jul_21_2011	64.01	65.32	65.74	65.74	65.68	66.37	66.64(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	70	30	-11	1.75	46%	0.14	55.6	1.38%	0	0.9	58	NAN
3	Jul_20_2011	63.92	65.12	65.84	65.47	65.49	65.83	66.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	36	3	1.65	50%	0.16	48.6	1.38%	0	0.7	60	NAN
4	Jul_19_2011	63.82	64.96	65.88	65.36	65.33	64.99	65.69(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-40	-3	2	2.47	50%	0.11	44	1.45%	0	0.4	61	NAN
5	Jul_18_2011	63.75	64.77	65.96	65.15	65.4	65.15	64.5(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-20	-23	7	2.46	46%	0.11	35.5	1.44%	0	-0.2	61	NAN

6	Jul_15_2011	63.68	64.65	66.13	65.38	65.44	65.15	65.62(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-9	42	1.95	48%	0.11	37.3	1.44%	0	0.5	68	NAN
7	Jul_14_2011	63.61	64.48	66.09	65.75	65.5	65.66	65.3(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	10	-4	75	3.6	48%	0.13	37.4	1.44%	0	0.4	68	NAN
8	Jul_13_2011	63.53	64.35	66.02	66.28	65.91	65.22	65.7(1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-90	-19	102	2.92	50%	0.13	42.8	1.44%	0	0.7	69	NAN
9	Jul_12_2011	63.45	64.25	65.83	66.48	66.4	65.34	64.61(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-120	-61	96	3.4	47%	0.02	45.4	1.46%	0	0.2	60	NAN
10	Jul_11_2011	63.44	64.14	65.7	66.87	66.87	66.6	65.69(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-30	-34	132	2.74	48%	0.08	46.9	1.47%	0	0.8	73	NAN

11	Jul_8_2011	63.39	63.96	65.41	66.94	67.02	67.46	67.47(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	50	30	172	1.95	51%	0.13	41.8	1.43%	0	1.8	81	NAN
12	Jul_7_2011	63.31	63.76	64.9	66.45	66.63	67.13	67.94(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	60	50	168	2.9	51%	0.14	35.2	1.43%	0	2.3	83	NAN
13	Jul_6_2011	63.22	63.51	64.33	65.73	65.88	66.59	66.71(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	68	80	43	142	3.84	49%	0.11	24.5	1.41%	0	2.1	74	NAN
14	Jul_5_2011	63.15	63.37	63.95	65.09	65.24	66.14	66.53(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	83	100	69	126	2.5	49%	0.17	9.4	1.41%	0	2.3	61	NAN
15	Jul_1_2011	63.04	63.23	63.44	64.37	64.35	65.18	66.07(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	90	62	94	3.27	52%	0.1	-9.7	1.4%	0	2.4	67	NAN

16	Jun_30_2011	62.98	63.14	63.01	63.66	63.6	64.35	65(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	80	52	63	3.44	52%	0.06	-24	1.4%	0	1.7	65	NAN
17	Jun_29_2011	62.94	63.12	62.7	63.11	63.13	63.53	64.32(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	50	44	28	3.11	52%	0.03	-26.3	1.42%	0	1.1	50	NAN
18	Jun_28_2011	62.92	63.14	62.7	62.74	62.58	62.85	63.55(1.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	5	20	9	-6	3.23	52%	0.02	-22.4	1.42%	0	0.3	49	NAN
19	Jun_27_2011	62.91	63.24	62.5	62.64	62.45	62.73	62.9(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	20	20	-9	2.92	52%	-0.02	-9.2	1.41%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
20	Jun_24_2011	62.92	63.34	62.44	62.37	62.48	62.31	62.51(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10	15	-32	2.68	54%	0	-12.9	1.42%	0	-0.6	42	NAN

21	Jun_23_2011	62.92	63.4	62.4	62.25	62.12	62.18	62.29(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	0	-16	-66	3.76	54%	-0.02	-19.5	1.44%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
22	Jun_22_2011	62.93	63.4	62.54	62.19	62.18	62.65	62.44(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	50	23	-60	2.86	54%	-0.02	-31.5	1.44%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
23	Jun_21_2011	62.94	63.41	62.64	62.22	62.04	62.05	63.07(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10	8	-75	4.34	56%	0.03	-37.1	1.44%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
24	Jun_20_2011	62.92	63.36	62.75	62.38	62.06	61.7	61.55(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-60	-28	-96	2.7	54%	0	-40.4	1.42%	0	-1.4	28	NAN
25	Jun_17_2011	62.92	63.5	63	62.53	62.69	62.03	61.91(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-70	-16	-92	3.66	56%		-39.9	1.43%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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