Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $62.3400 (-0.75%) ($62.0300 - $62.3900) on Thu. Jan. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $62.3400(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.9(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.8(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.42(3.18%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -1.9%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2011	55.46	60.42	61.8	61.9	61.88	62.47	62.34(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	70	17	80	2.72	50%	0.27	61.5	1.66%	0	1.2	75	0
2	Jan_12_2011	55.31	60.19	61.65	61.73	61.74	62.1	62.81(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	40	32	93	3.34	49%	0.27	59.2	1.66%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Jan_11_2011	55.16	59.97	61.34	61.56	61.51	61.3	61.57(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-30	-5	81	1.76	47%	0.24	64.2	1.66%	0	1	75	0
4	Jan_10_2011	55.03	59.8	61.1	61.63	61.56	61.38	60.92(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-20	-18	82	2.35	47%	0.22	69.9	1.66%	0	0.7	73	0
5	Jan_7_2011	54.91	59.65	60.88	61.8	61.79	61.73	61.84(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10	2	102	3.35	47%	0.22	74.6	1.65%	0	1.4	86	0

6	Jan_6_2011	54.79	59.45	60.57	61.67	61.78	61.75	61.51(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	0	3	103	2.81	48%	0.24	80.5	1.66%	0	1.4	84	0
7	Jan_5_2011	54.66	59.23	60.31	61.53	61.6	61.85	61.94(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	30	16	113	2.92	48%	0.22	82.9	1.66%	0	1.8	92	0
8	Jan_4_2011	54.54	58.99	59.97	61.08	61.3	61.81	61.92(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	70	36	108	2.09	48%	0.26	91.9	1.66%	0	2.1	73	0
9	Jan_3_2011	54.4	58.75	59.62	60.49	60.72	61.35	61.78(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	80	44	94	2.21	48%	0.26	102.3	1.66%	0	2.4	75	0
10	Dec_31_2010	54.26	58.52	59.23	59.82	59.97	60.79	61.19(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	100	43	73	1.95	50%	0.26	119.1	1.67%	0	2.5	74	0

11	Dec_30_2010	54.12	58.28	58.91	59.32	59.29	60.09	60.83(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	90	44	58	3.62	50%	0.24	126.4	1.69%	0	2.7	73	0
12	Dec_29_2010	53.99	58.02	58.58	58.92	58.81	59.15	59.7(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	30	28	41	1.79	48%	0.17	131.2	1.67%	0	1.8	73	0
13	Dec_28_2010	53.9	57.74	58.45	58.7	58.59	58.49	58.93(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-20	3	32	1.31	48%	0.17	87.3	1.67%	0	1	66	0
14	Dec_27_2010	53.81	57.49	58.38	58.61	58.6	58.46	58.44(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-20	-6	32	1.69	48%	0.2	61.8	1.67%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Dec_23_2010	53.7	57.27	58.33	58.54	58.64	58.7	58.71(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	4	38	1.5	50%	0.15	46.7	1.66%	0	0.9	65	0

16	Dec_22_2010	53.62	57.1	58.25	58.43	58.5	58.74	58.8(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	30	15	47	1.61	50%	0.15	47.7	1.67%	0	1	72	0
17	Dec_21_2010	53.54	56.84	58.09	58.43	58.26	58.57	58.63(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	40	14	47	2.25	50%	0.15	39	1.67%	0	1	76	0
18	Dec_20_2010	53.46	56.73	57.96	58.18	58.02	58.26	58.49(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	20	10	65	3.65	52%	0.17	44	1.67%	0	1	82	0
19	Dec_17_2010	53.37	56.62	57.83	58.12	58.04	57.95	58.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10	5	83	1.67	52%	0.19	47.6	1.68%	0	0.9	82	0
20	Dec_16_2010	53.27	56.52	57.75	58.1	58.06	57.77	58.13(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-40	-10	100	4.85	52%	0.17	45.6	1.68%	0	1	83	0

21	Dec_15_2010	53.18	56.33	57.6	58.05	58.07	58.13	57.55(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	10	-5	109	2.46	52%	0.15	36	1.69%	0	0.8	62	0
22	Dec_14_2010	53.1	56.17	57.43	57.96	58.09	58.35	58.63(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	40	23	134	1.87	54%	0.17	26.7	1.67%	0	1.5	76	0
23	Dec_13_2010	53.01	56	56.98	57.7	57.69	58.01	58.22(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	40	12	108	1.53	54%	0.19	19.3	1.67%	0	1.4	55	0
24	Dec_10_2010	52.91	55.85	56.55	57.5	57.54	57.83	57.95(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	20	90	1.4	54%	0.17	10.4	1.67%	0	1.4	55	0
25	Dec_9_2010	52.82	55.8	56.12	57.37	57.35	57.36	57.92(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	0	12	69	2.42	54%		6.8	1.67%	0	1.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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