Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $56.7900 (1.41%) ($56.0400 - $56.9000) on Wed. Nov. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $56.7900(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-4%)    REMX(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.51(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.22(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.07(3.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.98%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.15%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2010	50.51	55.07	55.22	55.51	55.56	56.31	56.79(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	100	41	49	2.87	58%	0.2	23.1	1.4%	0	2	55	0
2	Nov_2_2010	50.41	55.02	54.93	55.06	55.21	55.71	56(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	70	43	23	1.61	60%	0.2	26.4	1.39%	0	1.2	54	0
3	Nov_1_2010	50.31	54.97	54.62	54.95	54.83	54.81	55.35(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10	2	-8	2.15	60%	0.2	36.4	1.44%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Oct_29_2010	50.21	54.93	54.66	55.01	54.82	54.71	54.39(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-20	-14	-7	2.25	58%	0.2	50.7	1.42%	0	-0.7	47	0
5	Oct_28_2010	50.11	54.94	54.78	55.07	55.18	54.84	55.04(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-40	4	3	2.25	58%	0.22	59.1	1.42%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Oct_27_2010	50	54.87	54.81	54.86	55.06	54.94	54.5(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-0	-16	-15	2.33	58%	0.22	56.7	1.42%	0	-0.4	46	0
7	Oct_26_2010	49.89	54.81	54.86	54.76	54.96	55.52	55.48(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	80	34	-7	1.86	61%	0.24	53.1	1.4%	0	0.7	47	0
8	Oct_25_2010	49.77	54.69	54.74	54.22	54.58	55.19	55.64(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	23	100	41	-33	2.1	61%	0.22	37.1	1.4%	0	0.9	52	0
9	Oct_22_2010	49.66	54.55	54.68	54.29	53.89	54.4	54.7(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	40	7	-41	2.66	59%	0.18	40.1	1.4%	0	0.1	52	0
10	Oct_21_2010	49.57	54.46	54.76	54.48	54.02	53.98	53.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-30	6	-25	3.76	59%	0.18	46	1.4%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Oct_20_2010	49.48	54.36	54.92	54.76	54.42	53.37	53.98(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-150	-38	-17	4.36	59%	0.22	52.7	1.41%	0	-0.3	55	0
12	Oct_19_2010	49.37	54.36	55.12	54.97	54.81	54.06	52.79(-5.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-100	-69	-1	5.69	55%	0.08	57	1.4%	0	-1.1	52	0
13	Oct_18_2010	49.33	54.3	55.38	55.27	55.32	55.47	56(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	20	8	70	3.67	71%	0.24	65.7	1.19%	0	1.2	74	0
14	Oct_15_2010	49.21	54.11	55.24	55.1	55.06	55.56	55.64(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	60	18	77	2.97	60%	0.22	62.9	1.29%	0	1.1	74	0
15	Oct_14_2010	49.1	53.9	55.12	55.11	54.9	55.18	55.41(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	20	23	94	3.19	60%	0.27	62.9	1.3%	0	1	72	0

16	Oct_13_2010	48.97	53.69	54.94	55.12	54.91	54.56	54.99(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-12	96	3.79	60%	0.27	65.8	1.3%	0	0.9	75	0
17	Oct_12_2010	48.84	53.54	54.78	55.32	55.08	54.62	54.32(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-70	-39	104	4.6	60%	0.23	75.4	1.29%	0	0.5	66	0
18	Oct_11_2010	48.73	53.4	54.66	55.49	55.45	55.27	55.16(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-20	-6	136	1.78	64%	0.25	84	1.27%	0	1.2	73	0
19	Oct_8_2010	48.61	53.22	54.42	55.37	55.38	55.54	55.68(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	20	10	141	2.72	64%	0.25	87.2	1.29%	0	1.6	79	0
20	Oct_7_2010	48.49	52.98	54.13	55.12	55.12	55.63	55.47(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	60	34	153	2.51	64%	0.21	88.8	1.29%	0	1.6	82	0

21	Oct_6_2010	48.39	52.73	53.77	54.73	54.81	55.23	55.97(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	60	53	149	5.1	68%	0.19	85.6	1.29%	0	2.2	88	0
22	Oct_5_2010	48.3	52.43	53.4	54.16	54.28	54.61	55.16(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	50	31	119	3.37	66%	0.15	86.7	1.31%	0	1.9	77	0
23	Oct_4_2010	48.23	52.15	53.11	53.71	53.85	54.39	54.57(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	80	38	107	2.67	66%	0.12	92.3	1.32%	0	1.9	76	0
24	Oct_1_2010	48.17	51.92	52.86	53.33	53.42	53.94	54.44(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	70	42	97	4.07	66%	0.12	97.9	1.34%	0	2.1	74	0
25	Sep_30_2010	48.11	51.67	52.55	53	53.02	53.31	53.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	40	31	82	4.27	63%		105.8	1.32%	0	1.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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