Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $53.4900 (0.64%) ($53.1700 - $53.8200) on Thu. Sep. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $53.4900(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $53(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.55(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.67(3.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.31%(13%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.88%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2010	48.11	51.67	52.55	53	53.02	53.31	53.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	40	31	82	4.27	63%	0.08	105.8	1.32%	0	1.6	75	NAN
2	Sep_29_2010	48.07	51.48	52.33	52.66	52.78	52.89	53.15(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	20	17	67	2.46	52%	0.08	108.1	1.33%	0	1.5	76	NAN
3	Sep_28_2010	48.03	51.22	52.19	52.51	52.49	52.73	52.89(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	30	6	66	2.88	52%	0.06	89.1	1.45%	0	1.3	78	NAN
4	Sep_27_2010	48	50.98	52.05	52.41	52.4	52.68	52.68(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	20	83	2.25	52%	0.13	77.6	1.45%	0	1.2	79	NAN
5	Sep_24_2010	47.94	50.75	51.94	52.32	52.26	52.25	52.77(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-0	14	90	3.3	52%	0.15	69.3	1.45%	0	1.3	72	NAN

6	Sep_23_2010	47.87	50.49	51.75	52.04	52.12	52.13	51.8(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	10	1	84	4.01	48%	0.06	55.3	1.44%	0	0.8	70	NAN
7	Sep_22_2010	47.84	50.28	51.63	51.93	52	52.27	52.41(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	40	15	93	2.26	48%	0.06	46.1	1.43%	0	1.3	77	NAN
8	Sep_21_2010	47.81	50.07	51.4	51.8	51.71	52.12	52.37(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	50	21	107	2.57	48%	0	42.3	1.46%	0	1.4	84	NAN
9	Sep_20_2010	47.81	49.89	51.12	51.64	51.56	51.73	52.25(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	20	21	113	2.21	48%	0.02	44.3	1.48%	0	1.5	82	NAN
10	Sep_17_2010	47.8	49.73	50.9	51.52	51.4	51.3	51.38(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-20	-1	117	2.22	44%	-0.02	48.3	1.48%	0	1.1	79	NAN

11	Sep_16_2010	47.81	49.63	50.74	51.42	51.44	51.38	51.23(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10	1	135	2.38	44%	-0.02	54.3	1.48%	0	1.2	81	NAN
12	Sep_15_2010	47.82	49.53	50.58	51.28	51.35	51.51	51.79(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	30	16	153	1.9	50%	0.02	58.7	1.48%	0	1.7	83	NAN
13	Sep_14_2010	47.81	49.39	50.19	50.92	51.09	51.49	51.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	60	29	139	2.29	50%	-0.04	52.6	1.51%	0	1.8	73	NAN
14	Sep_13_2010	47.83	49.22	49.83	50.51	50.71	51.18	51.61(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	80	30	115	1.62	50%	-0.02	37.7	1.52%	0	2.1	65	NAN
15	Sep_10_2010	47.84	49.04	49.47	50.21	50.39	50.69	50.92(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	26	93	1.55	50%	-0.02	23.8	1.51%	0	1.9	59	NAN

16	Sep_9_2010	47.85	48.89	49.11	49.96	50.17	50.25	50.49(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	20	15	63	2.9	50%	-0.04	4.3	1.53%	0	1.7	55	NAN
17	Sep_8_2010	47.87	48.76	48.82	49.79	49.89	50.1	49.99(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	40	15	43	1.44	50%	-0.04	-15.5	1.53%	0	1.4	53	NAN
18	Sep_7_2010	47.89	48.75	48.64	49.35	49.75	50.09	49.55(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	70	34	24	2.01	50%	-0.1	-33.5	1.55%	0	0.9	51	NAN
19	Sep_3_2010	47.94	48.8	48.56	49.02	49.12	49.69	50.09(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	90	28	11	1.97	45%	-0.06	-36.4	1.59%	0	1.3	62	NAN
20	Sep_2_2010	47.97	48.81	48.45	48.6	48.68	49.42	49.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	110	48	8	1.85	52%	-0.06	-40	1.59%	0	0.8	61	NAN

21	Sep_1_2010	48	48.84	48.41	48.14	48.25	48.55	49.64(3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	27	50	37	-5	3.37	52%	-0.02	-43.2	1.64%	0	0.7	64	NAN
22	Aug_31_2010	48.01	48.89	48.36	47.73	47.81	48.55	47.79(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	30	-1	-30	2.78	45%	-0.08	-44	1.59%	0	-0.9	49	NAN
23	Aug_30_2010	48.05	49.04	48.51	47.83	47.73	47.95	47.92(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	30	3	-30	2.32	45%	-0.08	-36.6	1.6%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
24	Aug_27_2010	48.09	49.17	48.56	48.03	47.75	47.66	48(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-30	-8	-43	2.08	56%	-0.08	-28.8	1.62%	0	-1	30	NAN
25	Aug_26_2010	48.13	49.24	48.6	48.28	48.1	47.51	47.34(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-100	-26	-52	2.56	56%		-23.1	1.79%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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