Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.4100 (0.35%) ($49.1700 - $49.6500) on Wed. Aug. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $49.4100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(80%)    EWG(72%)    SPY(72%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $49.45
5 Day Moving Average   $48.63(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.3(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.45(-0.08%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2010	48.28	49.45	49.3	48.63	48.78	49.36	49.41(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	90	28	-34	1.36	41%	-0.02	23.8	2.01%	0	-0	55	0
2	Aug_17_2010	48.29	49.36	49.43	48.36	48.31	48.75	49.24(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	60	14	-39	1.71	41%	0	12.4	2.04%	0	-0.1	53	0
3	Aug_16_2010	48.29	49.3	49.58	48.54	48.05	48.19	48.36(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-36	1.46	41%	-0.02	15.5	2.04%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Aug_13_2010	48.3	49.24	49.81	49.03	48.51	47.88	48.28(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-120	-20	-19	1.98	41%	-0.02	22.4	2.04%	0	-0.7	42	0
5	Aug_12_2010	48.31	49.17	49.92	49.51	49.17	47.91	47.85(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-200	-52	-16	2.53	41%	-0.02	29.1	2.04%	0	-1	46	0

6	Aug_11_2010	48.32	49.2	50.07	50.06	49.91	49.14	48.08(-4.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-37	-120	-51	7	2.98	39%	-0.02	47.4	2.04%	0	-0.8	53	0
7	Aug_10_2010	48.33	49.22	50.2	50.62	50.46	50.44	50.13(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-12	52	3.35	50%	0.02	67.6	1.99%	0	0.7	76	0
8	Aug_9_2010	48.32	49.11	50.14	50.76	50.67	50.69	50.83(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-0	6	70	2.1	50%	0.04	79.3	2.13%	0	1.3	78	0
9	Aug_6_2010	48.3	48.94	50	50.72	50.63	50.47	50.66(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	21	-30	1	82	1.9	47%	0.02	92.6	2.13%	0	1.3	81	0
10	Aug_5_2010	48.29	48.78	49.83	50.4	50.65	50.65	50.6(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	8	88	2.08	45%	0.02	94.2	2.19%	0	1.4	83	0

11	Aug_4_2010	48.28	48.58	49.6	50.08	50.27	50.79	50.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	80	16	83	2.45	42%	0.06	92.6	2.2%	0	1.7	64	0
12	Aug_3_2010	48.25	48.33	49.27	49.71	49.85	50.65	50.83(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	120	30	73	3.25	42%	0.04	87.8	2.26%	0	1.8	63	0
13	Aug_2_2010	48.23	48.06	48.96	49.43	49.46	49.75	50.63(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	22	62	1.97	42%	0.04	83.8	2.26%	0	2	64	0
14	Jul_30_2010	48.21	47.75	48.59	49.22	49.26	49.06	49.05(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-30	-3	44	2.3	39%	0	63.3	2.24%	0	0.9	60	0
15	Jul_29_2010	48.21	47.55	48.34	49.18	49.35	49.17	49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-20	-2	39	2.6	39%	0	52.1	2.25%	0	1	61	0

16	Jul_28_2010	48.21	47.34	48.25	49.04	49.19	49.47	49.06(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	50	8	48	3.14	39%	0	38.7	2.25%	0	1.1	66	0
17	Jul_27_2010	48.21	47.14	48.17	48.72	48.93	49.53	49.41(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	100	26	58	2.92	36%	0.02	24.3	2.26%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Jul_26_2010	48.2	47.01	48	48.4	48.41	48.91	49.56(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	28	61	2.39	36%	0.02	14.6	2.3%	0	1.8	74	0
19	Jul_23_2010	48.19	46.89	47.78	47.88	47.92	48.33	48.85(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	60	24	61	2.25	36%	0.04	3.2	2.29%	0	1.5	77	0
20	Jul_22_2010	48.17	46.8	47.63	47.38	47.48	47.9	48.33(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	70	13	56	3.2	36%	0.04	-6.4	2.29%	0	1.2	69	0

21	Jul_21_2010	48.15	46.76	47.45	47.36	47.16	47.51	47.45(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	40	5	62	2.1	36%	0	-5.4	2.28%	0	0.6	68	0
22	Jul_20_2010	48.15	46.77	47.33	47.54	47.26	47.06	47.81(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-50	2	74	3.76	36%	0.04	1.5	2.28%	0	0.8	66	0
23	Jul_19_2010	48.13	46.8	47.1	47.55	47.47	46.82	46.96(1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-100	-19	59	1.95	36%	0.02	11.9	2.28%	0	0.1	48	0
24	Jul_16_2010	48.12	46.85	46.86	47.67	47.7	47.45	46.37(-3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-30	-20	48	2.8	35%	0.02	24.1	2.27%	0	-0.4	45	0
25	Jul_15_2010	48.11	46.88	46.74	47.88	47.85	48.11	48.19(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	40	13	57	3.06	37%		36.5	2.24%	0	1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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