Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $48.1900 (-0.35%) ($47.5600 - $48.3000) on Thu. Jul. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $48.1900(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(80%)    EWG(72%)    SPY(72%)    FXI(70%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.88(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.74(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.88(2.79%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.54%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2010	48.11	46.88	46.74	47.88	47.85	48.11	48.19(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	40	13	57	3.06	37%	0.04	36.5	2.24%	0	1	53	0
2	Jul_14_2010	48.09	46.82	46.39	47.54	47.66	47.95	48.36(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	50	22	34	3.15	40%	0.06	42	2.24%	0	1.2	51	0
3	Jul_13_2010	48.06	46.75	46.05	47.08	47.24	47.59	47.87(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	60	21	4	2.79	40%	0	43.8	2.26%	0	0.9	47	0
4	Jul_12_2010	48.06	46.65	45.94	46.59	46.68	47.38	47.54(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	110	30	-17	2.48	40%	0.02	42	2.25%	0	0.7	39	0
5	Jul_9_2010	48.05	46.53	45.9	45.94	46.2	46.88	47.45(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	120	40	-37	2.51	40%	0	29.5	2.26%	0	0.7	46	0

6	Jul_8_2010	48.05	46.4	45.86	45.43	45.45	45.98	46.5(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	80	23	-59	3.14	40%	0	15.7	2.24%	0	0.1	47	0
7	Jul_7_2010	48.05	46.28	45.95	45.07	45.04	45.51	46.03(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	70	18	-71	2.85	40%	-0.02	3.9	2.24%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Jul_6_2010	48.06	46.21	46.12	44.88	44.94	44.92	45.45(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	0	1	-82	4.54	40%	0	2.8	2.23%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jul_2_2010	48.06	46.14	46.45	45.22	44.9	44.58	44.25(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-70	-31	-71	4.36	37%	-0.04	7.6	2.19%	0	-1.2	44	0
10	Jul_1_2010	48.08	46.16	46.83	45.85	45.63	44.95	44.91(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-120	-24	-35	8.17	40%	0	18	2.2%	0	-0.8	53	0

11	Jun_30_2010	48.08	46.2	47.06	46.35	46.24	45.22	44.71(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-160	-44	-15	3.45	40%	-0.02	37.5	2.23%	0	-1	54	0
12	Jun_29_2010	48.09	46.23	47.34	46.95	46.84	46.31	45.07(-4.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-24	-90	-39	23	4.75	42%	0.02	55.5	2.23%	0	-0.7	62	0
13	Jun_28_2010	48.08	46.17	47.57	47.51	47.42	47.25	47.17(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-30	-13	69	2.12	45%	0.06	65.2	2.17%	0	0.6	71	0
14	Jun_25_2010	48.05	46.02	47.47	47.86	47.69	47.38	47.4(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-60	-13	97	4.39	45%	0.06	70	2.17%	0	0.8	76	0
15	Jun_24_2010	48.02	45.89	47.26	47.96	48.14	47.6	47.39(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-70	-8	110	3.18	45%	0.02	77.8	2.17%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Jun_23_2010	48.01	45.63	47.02	47.88	48.2	48	47.71(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-12	105	3.49	45%	0.02	60.2	2.17%	0	1.2	60	0
17	Jun_22_2010	48	45.36	46.66	47.78	48.05	48.68	47.89(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	110	14	108	3.65	45%	0.02	45.6	2.17%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Jun_21_2010	47.99	45.14	46.32	47.63	47.73	48.39	48.89(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	100	43	123	4.67	45%	0.08	33.8	2.16%	0	2.1	74	0
19	Jun_18_2010	47.95	44.88	45.78	47.03	47.13	47.42	47.92(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	50	25	95	2.65	45%	0.02	14.6	2.15%	0	1.9	68	0
20	Jun_17_2010	47.94	44.64	45.4	46.47	46.72	47.08	47.01(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	70	23	75	3.16	47%	0.02	-13.8	2.13%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Jun_16_2010	47.93	44.58	45.23	46.03	46.13	46.84	47.19(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	110	33	84	2.8	47%	0	-32.6	2.14%	0	1.9	70	0
22	Jun_15_2010	47.93	44.53	44.99	45.37	45.54	46.36	47.12(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	140	42	82	3.1	47%	-0.02	-54.8	2.15%	0	1.9	69	0
23	Jun_14_2010	47.94	44.54	44.62	44.82	44.89	45.42	45.93(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	90	34	61	3.17	45%	-0.02	-67.3	2.12%	0	1	59	0
24	Jun_11_2010	47.95	44.65	44.42	44.34	44.42	44.71	45.11(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	15	36	3.29	45%	-0.08	-61.5	2.11%	0	0.3	54	0
25	Jun_10_2010	47.99	44.83	44.37	44.18	44.21	44.36	44.78(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	30	3	36	4.29	45%		-49.7	2.11%	0	-0	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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