Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $51.7000 (1.23%) ($51.2700 - $51.7700) on Tue. Apr. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $51.7000(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.93(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.81(-0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.05(1.27%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2010	48.15	51.05	51.81	51.93	51.75	51.22	51.7(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-80	-8	26	2.8	52%	0.17	57.1	1.45%	0	0.5	64	0
2	Apr_19_2010	48.07	50.92	51.85	51.86	51.97	51.38	51.07(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-18	-70	-34	30	4.42	54%	0.15	56	1.47%	0	0.1	63	0
3	Apr_16_2010	48	50.84	51.85	51.92	52.06	52.28	51.66(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	40	-9	68	4.42	54%	0.08	57.8	1.48%	0	0.6	73	0
4	Apr_15_2010	47.96	50.72	51.97	52	51.93	52.55	52.68(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	80	30	108	3.12	56%	0.13	59.1	1.47%	0	1.4	78	0
5	Apr_14_2010	47.9	50.55	51.71	51.88	51.78	51.85	52.56(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	0	27	111	3.54	56%	0.15	60.8	1.47%	0	1.5	78	0

6	Apr_13_2010	47.83	50.35	51.45	51.69	51.63	51.3	51.32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-50	-21	92	3.07	54%	0.1	57.8	1.44%	0	0.7	68	0
7	Apr_12_2010	47.78	50.2	51.31	51.86	51.75	51.7	51.38(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10	-16	110	3.32	54%	0.1	58.8	1.44%	0	0.9	71	0
8	Apr_9_2010	47.73	50.07	51.07	52.01	51.91	51.96	52.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	0	8	126	2.44	54%	0.15	63.8	1.44%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Apr_8_2010	47.66	49.91	50.77	51.92	51.92	51.79	52.07(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-20	12	126	2.29	54%	0.13	73.6	1.45%	0	1.7	75	0
10	Apr_7_2010	47.6	49.75	50.47	51.51	51.79	51.85	51.65(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	20	12	106	4.17	51%	0.13	79.1	1.45%	0	1.6	68	0

11	Apr_6_2010	47.54	49.61	50.24	51.16	51.32	52.05	52.15(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	110	36	106	2.81	51%	0.15	85.5	1.47%	0	2.3	78	0
12	Apr_5_2010	47.47	49.42	49.91	50.66	50.77	51.72	52.12(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	78	140	69	103	3.06	51%	0.21	98.4	1.48%	0	2.9	79	0
13	Apr_1_2010	47.37	49.23	49.6	49.99	50.14	50.6	51.61(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	55	70	50	69	7.53	55%	0.13	101.2	1.53%	0	2.8	72	0
14	Mar_31_2010	47.31	48.99	49.33	49.47	49.58	49.82	50(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	40	13	33	2.73	52%	0.11	103.9	1.49%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Mar_30_2010	47.26	48.84	49.26	49.28	49.42	49.68	49.91(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	50	18	29	1.78	52%	0.08	93.5	1.49%	0	1.3	55	0

16	Mar_29_2010	47.22	48.69	49.13	49.18	49.22	49.33	49.68(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	20	11	20	3.53	52%	0.11	83.9	1.49%	0	1.1	58	0
17	Mar_26_2010	47.17	48.53	49.13	49.04	49.15	49.16	48.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	10	0	7	8.59	49%	0.11	65.2	1.46%	0	0.2	51	0
18	Mar_25_2010	47.12	48.38	49	49.15	49.15	49.11	49.04(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	0	-1	13	2.55	49%	0.11	56.5	1.47%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Mar_24_2010	47.07	48.21	48.99	49.16	49.08	49.14	49.03(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	0	0	30	1.98	49%	0.15	48.1	1.49%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Mar_23_2010	47	48.08	49	49.24	49.11	49.05	49.4(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-20	5	52	1.8	49%	0.13	45.6	1.5%	0	1	72	0

21	Mar_22_2010	46.94	47.92	48.94	49.07	49.15	49.02	49.01(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10	1	60	2.94	49%	0.13	41.8	1.49%	0	0.8	72	0
22	Mar_19_2010	46.88	47.82	48.92	48.94	49.04	49.17	49.25(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	20	5	77	5.46	49%	0.11	43.8	1.48%	0	1.1	77	0
23	Mar_18_2010	46.83	47.68	48.83	48.82	48.8	49.28	49.09(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	70	14	98	1.48	49%	0.13	45.1	1.49%	0	1.1	80	0
24	Mar_17_2010	46.77	47.59	48.62	48.79	48.77	48.91	49.43(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	20	23	114	3.47	45%	0.09	55.4	1.49%	0	1.5	84	0
25	Mar_16_2010	46.73	47.48	48.39	48.76	48.61	48.33	48.58(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-50	-14	102	2.33	43%		66.8	1.54%	0	0.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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