Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $49.9100 (0.46%) ($49.4800 - $49.9500) on Tue. Mar. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $49.9100(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.28(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.26(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.84(2.19%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.84%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2010	47.26	48.84	49.26	49.28	49.42	49.68	49.91(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	50	18	29	1.78	52%	0.08	93.5	1.49%	0	1.3	55	0
2	Mar_29_2010	47.22	48.69	49.13	49.18	49.22	49.33	49.68(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	20	11	20	3.53	52%	0.11	83.9	1.49%	0	1.1	58	0
3	Mar_26_2010	47.17	48.53	49.13	49.04	49.15	49.16	48.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	10	0	7	8.59	49%	0.11	65.2	1.46%	0	0.2	51	0
4	Mar_25_2010	47.12	48.38	49	49.15	49.15	49.11	49.04(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	0	-1	13	2.55	49%	0.11	56.5	1.47%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Mar_24_2010	47.07	48.21	48.99	49.16	49.08	49.14	49.03(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	0	0	30	1.98	49%	0.15	48.1	1.49%	0	0.6	71	0

6	Mar_23_2010	47	48.08	49	49.24	49.11	49.05	49.4(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-20	5	52	1.8	49%	0.13	45.6	1.5%	0	1	72	0
7	Mar_22_2010	46.94	47.92	48.94	49.07	49.15	49.02	49.01(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10	1	60	2.94	49%	0.13	41.8	1.49%	0	0.8	72	0
8	Mar_19_2010	46.88	47.82	48.92	48.94	49.04	49.17	49.25(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	20	5	77	5.46	49%	0.11	43.8	1.48%	0	1.1	77	0
9	Mar_18_2010	46.83	47.68	48.83	48.82	48.8	49.28	49.09(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	70	14	98	1.48	49%	0.13	45.1	1.49%	0	1.1	80	0
10	Mar_17_2010	46.77	47.59	48.62	48.79	48.77	48.91	49.43(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	20	23	114	3.47	45%	0.09	55.4	1.49%	0	1.5	84	0

11	Mar_16_2010	46.73	47.48	48.39	48.76	48.61	48.33	48.58(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-50	-14	102	2.33	43%	0.06	66.8	1.54%	0	0.9	68	0
12	Mar_15_2010	46.7	47.37	48.23	48.8	48.78	48.63	48.33(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-20	-13	113	2.11	43%	0.06	79.6	1.54%	0	0.8	68	0
13	Mar_12_2010	46.67	47.24	48.03	48.88	48.89	48.89	48.68(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	0	1	120	1.65	43%	0.06	85.7	1.53%	0	1.2	60	0
14	Mar_11_2010	46.64	47.12	47.74	48.83	48.83	48.94	48.95(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	20	16	119	2.98	43%	0.09	93.1	1.54%	0	1.6	65	0
15	Mar_10_2010	46.6	46.92	47.39	48.41	48.65	48.89	49.24(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	27	90	3.26	43%	0.06	78.8	1.54%	0	2	58	0

16	Mar_9_2010	46.57	46.71	47.09	47.97	48.14	48.72	48.82(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	90	29	65	4.16	43%	0.04	67.2	1.54%	0	2	58	0
17	Mar_8_2010	46.55	46.47	46.8	47.56	47.76	48.41	48.72(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	110	51	51	3.16	43%	0.04	43.9	1.54%	0	2	61	0
18	Mar_5_2010	46.53	46.25	46.61	47.06	47.29	47.56	48.4(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	50	39	34	4.25	43%	0.02	28.1	1.54%	0	2	65	0
19	Mar_4_2010	46.52	46.06	46.4	46.5	46.84	47.12	46.86(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	60	19	2	3.01	39%	-0.02	8	1.5%	0	0.8	55	0
20	Mar_3_2010	46.53	46.03	46.45	46.2	46.45	47.03	47.06(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	100	30	11	2.27	39%	0.02	-0.5	1.51%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Mar_2_2010	46.52	46.01	46.46	46.07	45.92	46.56	46.77(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	90	29	21	3.04	39%	0.02	-5.3	1.51%	0	0.8	60	0
22	Mar_1_2010	46.51	45.99	46.43	45.93	45.8	45.88	46.23(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	14	29	1.94	42%	-0.02	-17.2	1.51%	0	0.3	65	0
23	Feb_26_2010	46.52	45.95	46.39	46.09	45.84	45.28	45.56(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-100	-26	29	1.93	38%	0	-22.2	1.66%	0	-0.4	60	0
24	Feb_25_2010	46.52	45.98	46.39	46.29	46.25	45.73	45.4(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-80	-38	43	3.83	38%	0	-29.5	1.67%	0	-0.6	55	0
25	Feb_24_2010	46.52	46.04	46.46	46.72	46.64	46.41	46.37(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-20	62	2.24	39%		-31.6	1.65%	0	0.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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