Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $48.4000 (3.29%) ($47.6800 - $48.4200) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $48.4000(3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(2.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.61(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.25(4.65%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.32%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2010	46.53	46.25	46.61	47.06	47.29	47.56	48.4(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	50	39	34	4.25	43%	0.02	28.1	1.54%	0	2	65	NAN
2	Mar_4_2010	46.52	46.06	46.4	46.5	46.84	47.12	46.86(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	60	19	2	3.01	39%	-0.02	8	1.5%	0	0.8	55	NAN
3	Mar_3_2010	46.53	46.03	46.45	46.2	46.45	47.03	47.06(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	100	30	11	2.27	39%	0.02	-0.5	1.51%	0	1.1	62	NAN
4	Mar_2_2010	46.52	46.01	46.46	46.07	45.92	46.56	46.77(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	90	29	21	3.04	39%	0.02	-5.3	1.51%	0	0.8	60	NAN
5	Mar_1_2010	46.51	45.99	46.43	45.93	45.8	45.88	46.23(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	14	29	1.94	42%	-0.02	-17.2	1.51%	0	0.3	65	NAN

6	Feb_26_2010	46.52	45.95	46.39	46.09	45.84	45.28	45.56(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-100	-26	29	1.93	38%	0	-22.2	1.66%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
7	Feb_25_2010	46.52	45.98	46.39	46.29	46.25	45.73	45.4(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-80	-38	43	3.83	38%	0	-29.5	1.67%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
8	Feb_24_2010	46.52	46.04	46.46	46.72	46.64	46.41	46.37(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-20	62	2.24	39%	0.02	-31.6	1.65%	0	0.3	49	NAN
9	Feb_23_2010	46.51	46.06	46.35	46.9	46.86	46.78	46.09(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10	-9	65	3.89	42%	0	-42.8	1.66%	0	0	47	NAN
10	Feb_22_2010	46.51	46.15	46.16	47	47.07	46.87	47.03(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-30	8	59	2.89	43%	0.04	-42.2	1.66%	0	0.8	52	NAN

11	Feb_19_2010	46.49	46.16	45.89	46.73	46.92	46.94	46.54(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	20	-2	36	3.91	43%	0.02	-56.8	1.65%	0	0.3	56	NAN
12	Feb_18_2010	46.48	46.27	45.72	46.65	46.62	47.26	47.56(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	90	30	36	4.18	46%	0	-53.7	1.63%	0	1	55	NAN
13	Feb_17_2010	46.48	46.34	45.58	46.16	46.26	46.91	47.26(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	100	49	21	2.62	46%	0.02	-57.2	1.63%	0	0.7	52	NAN
14	Feb_16_2010	46.47	46.47	45.49	45.74	45.72	45.99	46.6(1.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	23	40	33	-6	2.96	48%	-0.02	-55.5	1.62%	0	0.1	47	NAN
15	Feb_12_2010	46.48	46.6	45.46	45.2	45.37	45.62	45.69(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	50	19	-47	2.37	44%	-0.02	-61.6	1.62%	0	-0.5	36	NAN

16	Feb_11_2010	46.49	46.79	45.46	44.92	45.04	45.45	46.15(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	70	26	-72	3.41	44%	-0.02	-61	1.65%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
17	Feb_10_2010	46.5	46.95	45.43	44.65	44.58	45.11	45.09(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	80	5	-114	4.96	41%	-0.04	-64.6	1.62%	0	-1	30	NAN
18	Feb_9_2010	46.52	47.16	45.57	44.93	44.67	44.63	45.17(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-29	-20	3	-125	4.21	45%	-0.04	-61	1.63%	0	-1	28	NAN
19	Feb_8_2010	46.54	47.41	45.73	45.23	45.04	44.05	43.9(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-72	-170	-44	-156	3.23	41%	-0.06	-55	1.64%	0	-1.8	17	NAN
20	Feb_5_2010	46.57	47.71	46.14	45.76	45.59	44.71	44.28(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-150	-57	-151	7.79	41%	-0.04	-46.9	1.63%	0	-1.9	27	NAN

21	Feb_4_2010	46.59	47.96	46.49	45.99	46.15	46.04	44.82(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-10	-23	-144	5	44%	-0.04	-44.9	1.63%	0	-1.9	27	NAN
22	Feb_3_2010	46.61	48.23	46.9	46.28	46.25	46.47	46.48(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	30	6	-128	4.71	48%	0.02	-36.2	1.6%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
23	Feb_2_2010	46.6	48.38	47.18	46.29	46.26	46.25	46.69(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-0	6	-129	7.43	48%	0.04	-31.8	1.6%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
24	Feb_1_2010	46.58	48.52	47.53	46.32	46.27	46.02	46.53(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-40	-20	-138	3.46	48%	0.04	-26.4	1.6%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
25	Jan_29_2010	46.56	48.6	47.81	46.63	46.45	46.28	45.44(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-40	-28	-127	5.43	45%		-18	1.68%	0	-2.2	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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