Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $47.3900 (0.51%) ($47.2000 - $47.5100) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $47.3900(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.97(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.48(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.18(2.62%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.65%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.28%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2009	44.47	46.18	46.48	46.97	46.94	47.28	47.39(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	50	13	45	2.05	55%	0.18	52.2	1.86%	0	1.4	57	NAN
2	Dec_10_2009	44.39	46.04	46.16	46.9	46.85	46.92	47.15(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	10	11	31	3.78	57%	0.18	52.4	1.86%	0	1.3	57	NAN
3	Dec_9_2009	44.31	45.96	46.07	46.76	46.88	46.6	46.87(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-30	-1	24	3.55	57%	0.18	59.7	1.88%	0	1.1	54	NAN
4	Dec_8_2009	44.23	45.89	45.99	46.6	46.85	46.78	46.32(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	10	-5	18	5.38	57%	0.16	69.5	1.87%	0	0.5	53	NAN
5	Dec_7_2009	44.16	45.86	46.03	46.45	46.73	47.16	47.1(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	80	26	29	4.45	57%	0.2	80.8	1.86%	0	1.5	55	NAN

6	Dec_4_2009	44.07	45.73	45.92	45.91	46.33	46.92	47.06(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	120	43	21	7.36	57%	0.23	72.6	1.88%	0	1.7	61	NAN
7	Dec_3_2009	43.97	45.59	45.77	45.29	45.57	46.3	46.45(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	130	26	-2	4.78	57%	0.21	46.6	1.87%	0	1.1	61	NAN
8	Dec_2_2009	43.88	45.48	45.73	45.3	44.87	45.75	46.06(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	110	22	-2	3.6	57%	0.27	49.7	1.87%	0	0.7	52	NAN
9	Dec_1_2009	43.76	45.33	45.71	45.32	44.97	44.84	45.58(2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	-40	13	-1	3.38	57%	0.25	32.6	1.88%	0	0.3	52	NAN
10	Nov_30_2009	43.65	45.22	45.76	45.58	45.19	44	44.38(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-210	-49	-14	6.63	54%	0.18	25.5	1.85%	0	-0.8	43	NAN

11	Nov_27_2009	43.57	45.16	45.86	45.92	45.86	45.11	44(-5.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-38	-120	-51	3	5.31	54%	0.37	22	1.85%	0	-1	51	NAN
12	Nov_25_2009	43.41	45.21	45.96	46.27	46.41	46.38	46.48(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	0	-2	43	1.31	60%	0.25	28.7	1.71%	0	1.1	65	NAN
13	Nov_24_2009	43.3	45.06	45.88	46.2	46.26	46.61	46.18(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	20	60	8	56	3.51	60%	0.23	18.7	1.71%	0	1	65	NAN
14	Nov_23_2009	43.2	45.01	45.8	46.14	46.18	46.44	46.87(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	40	24	79	5.49	60%	0.09	14.2	1.7%	0	1.6	75	NAN
15	Nov_20_2009	43.16	44.94	45.69	46	45.89	45.91	46.08(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	5	87	2.14	61%	0.26	5.9	1.7%	0	1.1	70	NAN

16	Nov_19_2009	43.05	44.9	45.54	45.8	45.9	45.92	45.76(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	11	94	3.76	61%	0.23	-1.7	1.72%	0	0.8	71	NAN
17	Nov_18_2009	42.95	44.87	45.39	45.58	45.69	45.92	46.09(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	30	6	79	2.72	64%	0.28	-17.2	1.72%	0	1.2	55	NAN
18	Nov_17_2009	42.83	44.87	45.2	45.51	45.42	45.87	45.9(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	60	12	83	1.94	57%	0.26	-26.9	1.76%	0	1	62	NAN
19	Nov_16_2009	42.72	44.85	44.91	45.41	45.47	45.5	46.15(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	18	62	3.55	57%	0.26	-27.6	1.9%	0	1.2	52	NAN
20	Nov_13_2009	42.61	44.87	44.61	45.35	45.31	44.96	45.1(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-60	-12	33	2.17	55%	0.24	-26.8	1.88%	0	0.2	47	NAN

21	Nov_12_2009	42.51	44.92	44.4	45.23	45.46	45.43	44.67(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	10	-1	16	2.53	55%	0.26	-28.9	1.89%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
22	Nov_11_2009	42.4	45.05	44.42	45.14	45.32	45.65	45.75(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	60	20	18	3.51	55%	0.28	-23	1.86%	0	0.5	50	NAN
23	Nov_10_2009	42.28	45.13	44.18	44.81	44.84	45.49	45.36(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	20	100	29	-7	1.79	53%	0.28	-21.6	1.89%	0	0.2	47	NAN
24	Nov_9_2009	42.16	45.16	44.15	44.33	44.53	45	45.89(3.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	28	90	46	-26	2.81	53%	0.26	-30.3	1.9%	0	0.5	47	NAN
25	Nov_6_2009	42.05	45.18	44.1	43.77	43.8	44.2	44.5(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	70	16	-69	3.05	53%		-39.2	1.89%	0	-0.5	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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