Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $42.6400 (0.66%) ($42.4300 - $42.9600) on Mon. Aug. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $42.6400(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.55(2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.21(3.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.41(2.97%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   26.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.17%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.32%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2009	36.43	41.41	41.21	41.55	41.62	42.41	42.64(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	140	38	2	2.37	60%	0.3	46.1	2.19%	0	1.3	50	0
2	Aug_21_2009	36.32	41.29	41.21	40.85	41.04	41.78	42.36(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	19	140	35	-31	2.39	60%	0.3	32.3	2.19%	0	1.1	47	0
3	Aug_20_2009	36.21	41.16	41.1	40.68	40.36	40.83	41.68(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	60	11	-41	2.34	60%	0.33	37.3	2.22%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Aug_19_2009	36.09	41.08	41.09	40.67	40.42	40.3	40.65(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-40	3	-43	2.32	58%	0.33	45.8	2.2%	0	-0.4	49	0
5	Aug_18_2009	35.97	41.02	41.22	40.75	40.74	39.88	40.4(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-150	-18	-38	2.64	62%	0.39	53.9	2.2%	0	-0.6	55	0

6	Aug_17_2009	35.83	40.97	41.41	40.83	40.87	40.53	39.15(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-60	-40	-32	4.97	60%	0.25	69	2.25%	0	-1.5	48	0
7	Aug_14_2009	35.74	40.98	41.79	41.34	41.29	41.59	41.51(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	50	2	18	3.28	66%	0.34	90	2.13%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Aug_13_2009	35.62	40.8	41.81	41.58	41.36	41.21	41.63(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-40	1	39	3.44	66%	0.34	92.8	2.13%	0	0.6	63	0
9	Aug_12_2009	35.5	40.61	41.77	41.6	41.63	41	41.08(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-100	-19	40	2.71	66%	0.37	90	2.17%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Aug_11_2009	35.37	40.43	41.69	41.77	41.87	41.5	40.76(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-50	-27	49	3.42	66%	0.34	81.3	2.17%	0	0.2	62	0

11	Aug_10_2009	35.25	40.17	41.66	42.09	42.05	42.26	41.72(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	30	-5	79	2.65	69%	0.43	74	2.18%	0	0.7	70	0
12	Aug_7_2009	35.1	39.83	41.53	42.29	42.14	42.24	42.73(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	14	103	3.79	75%	0.46	70.8	2.24%	0	1.2	79	0
13	Aug_6_2009	34.94	39.48	41.24	42.07	42.13	41.83	41.7(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-50	-1	103	4.95	74%	0.4	70.7	2.26%	0	0.9	81	0
14	Aug_5_2009	34.8	39.2	41.07	41.97	42.06	42.03	41.92(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	0	2	118	3.99	74%	0.43	69.2	2.26%	0	1.1	84	0
15	Aug_4_2009	34.65	38.89	40.81	41.58	41.89	42.44	42.36(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	110	25	128	2.68	76%	0.49	67.2	2.26%	0	1.4	89	0

16	Aug_3_2009	34.48	38.55	40.48	41.16	41.29	42.1	42.75(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	150	34	140	3.74	76%	0.52	66.8	2.36%	0	1.8	96	0
17	Jul_31_2009	34.3	38.21	40.08	40.67	40.69	41.35	41.64(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	120	31	150	3.4	75%	0.5	68.9	2.36%	0	1.6	95	0
18	Jul_30_2009	34.13	37.86	39.69	40.3	40.34	40.47	41.19(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	30	20	149	4.23	75%	0.5	65.8	2.36%	0	1.6	82	0
19	Jul_29_2009	33.96	37.59	39.33	40.04	39.97	40.02	39.96(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	0	-1	145	2.48	77%	0.47	71.3	2.36%	0	1.2	76	0
20	Jul_28_2009	33.8	37.33	39.06	39.9	39.93	40.22	40.25(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	50	14	153	3.02	77%	0.57	72.6	2.47%	0	1.5	79	0

21	Jul_27_2009	33.61	37.06	38.56	39.67	39.65	39.92	40.3(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	50	14	144	3.65	77%	0.54	75.6	2.49%	0	1.7	79	0
22	Jul_24_2009	33.43	36.78	38.02	39.4	39.39	39.64	39.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	40	15	127	2.92	77%	0.57	77	2.54%	0	1.7	73	0
23	Jul_23_2009	33.24	36.53	37.6	38.98	39.24	39.39	39.89(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	50	21	123	3.79	77%	0.54	76.3	2.54%	0	2	79	0
24	Jul_22_2009	33.06	36.23	37.2	38.5	38.72	39.14	39.26(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	15	106	2.83	77%	0.58	71.2	2.55%	0	1.9	67	0
25	Jul_21_2009	32.87	35.95	36.83	38.09	38.27	39.09	39.1(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	160	40	109	3.42	78%		64.8	2.55%	0	2.1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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