Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $41.7000 (-0.52%) ($41.2500 - $42.2400) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $41.7000(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.07(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.24(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.48(5.62%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 6.05% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.87%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.43%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.83%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2009	34.94	39.48	41.24	42.07	42.13	41.83	41.7(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-50	-1	103	4.95	74%	0.4	70.7	2.26%	0	0.9	81	NAN
2	Aug_5_2009	34.8	39.2	41.07	41.97	42.06	42.03	41.92(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	0	2	118	3.99	74%	0.43	69.2	2.26%	0	1.1	84	NAN
3	Aug_4_2009	34.65	38.89	40.81	41.58	41.89	42.44	42.36(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	110	25	128	2.68	76%	0.49	67.2	2.26%	0	1.4	89	NAN
4	Aug_3_2009	34.48	38.55	40.48	41.16	41.29	42.1	42.75(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	150	34	140	3.74	76%	0.52	66.8	2.36%	0	1.8	96	NAN
5	Jul_31_2009	34.3	38.21	40.08	40.67	40.69	41.35	41.64(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	120	31	150	3.4	75%	0.5	68.9	2.36%	0	1.6	95	NAN

6	Jul_30_2009	34.13	37.86	39.69	40.3	40.34	40.47	41.19(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	30	20	149	4.23	75%	0.5	65.8	2.36%	0	1.6	82	NAN
7	Jul_29_2009	33.96	37.59	39.33	40.04	39.97	40.02	39.96(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	36	0	-1	145	2.48	77%	0.47	71.3	2.36%	0	1.2	76	NAN
8	Jul_28_2009	33.8	37.33	39.06	39.9	39.93	40.22	40.25(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	50	14	153	3.02	77%	0.57	72.6	2.47%	0	1.5	79	NAN
9	Jul_27_2009	33.61	37.06	38.56	39.67	39.65	39.92	40.3(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	50	14	144	3.65	77%	0.54	75.6	2.49%	0	1.7	79	NAN
10	Jul_24_2009	33.43	36.78	38.02	39.4	39.39	39.64	39.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	40	15	127	2.92	77%	0.57	77	2.54%	0	1.7	73	NAN

11	Jul_23_2009	33.24	36.53	37.6	38.98	39.24	39.39	39.89(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	50	21	123	3.79	77%	0.54	76.3	2.54%	0	2	79	NAN
12	Jul_22_2009	33.06	36.23	37.2	38.5	38.72	39.14	39.26(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	15	106	2.83	77%	0.58	71.2	2.55%	0	1.9	67	NAN
13	Jul_21_2009	32.87	35.95	36.83	38.09	38.27	39.09	39.1(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	160	40	109	3.42	78%	0.58	64.8	2.55%	0	2.1	70	NAN
14	Jul_20_2009	32.68	35.68	36.47	37.27	37.67	38.29	38.93(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	150	46	85	3.69	72%	0.55	49.3	2.61%	0	2.4	68	NAN
15	Jul_17_2009	32.5	35.45	36.16	36.42	36.63	37.45	37.73(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	170	25	53	2.34	71%	0.49	30.6	2.68%	0	2.1	65	NAN

16	Jul_16_2009	32.34	35.29	35.86	36.01	35.86	37.04	37.5(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	36	220	34	42	2.61	71%	0.47	14.3	2.68%	0	2.3	64	NAN
17	Jul_15_2009	32.19	35.15	35.68	35.7	35.42	35.81	37.21(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	50	29	41	6.1	71%	0.44	0	2.68%	0	2.5	68	NAN
18	Jul_14_2009	32.05	35.02	35.43	35.4	35.23	34.69	34.97(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-120	-13	22	2.91	68%	0.41	-13.8	2.56%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
19	Jul_13_2009	31.92	35.03	35.45	35.55	35.45	35.03	34.7(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-90	-25	30	4.62	68%	0.38	-8	2.57%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
20	Jul_10_2009	31.8	35.12	35.48	35.83	35.82	35.78	35.66(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10	1	53	2.23	71%	0.41	8.5	2.55%	0	0.7	57	NAN

21	Jul_9_2009	31.67	35.16	35.41	35.66	35.91	35.78	35.98(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	3	50	2.96	74%	0.38	5.7	2.56%	0	1	59	NAN
22	Jul_8_2009	31.55	35.15	35.21	35.64	35.7	35.86	35.69(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	1	43	4.83	74%	0.35	7.9	2.68%	0	0.7	56	NAN
23	Jul_7_2009	31.44	35.11	35.03	35.46	35.77	35.96	35.71(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	60	14	36	3.2	74%	0.16	-7.6	2.69%	0	0.8	56	NAN
24	Jul_6_2009	31.39	35.08	34.85	35.33	35.48	35.55	36.11(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	30	8	21	4.01	74%	0.42	-24.3	2.7%	0	1.3	55	NAN
25	Jul_2_2009	31.26	35.06	34.69	35.08	35.24	35.57	34.8(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	80	3	-0	3.72	75%		-36.4	2.64%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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