Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $38.9300 (3.18%) ($38.7500 - $39.2300) on Mon. Jul. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $38.9300(3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(81%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)    FXI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.27(4.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.47(6.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.68(9.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.55%(100%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.33%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.88%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2009	32.68	35.68	36.47	37.27	37.67	38.29	38.93(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	150	46	85	3.69	72%	0.55	49.3	2.61%	0	2.4	68	0
2	Jul_17_2009	32.5	35.45	36.16	36.42	36.63	37.45	37.73(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	170	25	53	2.34	71%	0.49	30.6	2.68%	0	2.1	65	0
3	Jul_16_2009	32.34	35.29	35.86	36.01	35.86	37.04	37.5(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	36	220	34	42	2.61	71%	0.47	14.3	2.68%	0	2.3	64	0
4	Jul_15_2009	32.19	35.15	35.68	35.7	35.42	35.81	37.21(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	50	29	41	6.1	71%	0.44	0	2.68%	0	2.5	68	0
5	Jul_14_2009	32.05	35.02	35.43	35.4	35.23	34.69	34.97(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-120	-13	22	2.91	68%	0.41	-13.8	2.56%	0	-0.1	61	0

6	Jul_13_2009	31.92	35.03	35.45	35.55	35.45	35.03	34.7(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-11	-90	-25	30	4.62	68%	0.38	-8	2.57%	0	-0.5	59	0
7	Jul_10_2009	31.8	35.12	35.48	35.83	35.82	35.78	35.66(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10	1	53	2.23	71%	0.41	8.5	2.55%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Jul_9_2009	31.67	35.16	35.41	35.66	35.91	35.78	35.98(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	3	50	2.96	74%	0.38	5.7	2.56%	0	1	59	0
9	Jul_8_2009	31.55	35.15	35.21	35.64	35.7	35.86	35.69(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	1	43	4.83	74%	0.35	7.9	2.68%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Jul_7_2009	31.44	35.11	35.03	35.46	35.77	35.96	35.71(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	60	14	36	3.2	74%	0.16	-7.6	2.69%	0	0.8	56	0

11	Jul_6_2009	31.39	35.08	34.85	35.33	35.48	35.55	36.11(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	30	8	21	4.01	74%	0.42	-24.3	2.7%	0	1.3	55	0
12	Jul_2_2009	31.26	35.06	34.69	35.08	35.24	35.57	34.8(-3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	80	3	-0	3.72	75%	0.22	-36.4	2.64%	0	-0.3	36	0
13	Jul_1_2009	31.19	35.11	34.68	35.11	35.17	35.42	35.91(3.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	16	50	22	-3	4.13	80%	0.32	-34.2	2.73%	0	1	40	0
14	Jun_30_2009	31.09	35.08	34.68	34.72	34.78	35.42	34.79(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	30	6	-29	4.49	71%	0.19	-37.2	2.77%	0	-0.4	38	0
15	Jun_29_2009	31.03	35.17	34.56	34.52	34.6	34.91	35.04(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	70	13	-32	2.79	71%	0.16	-33.3	2.93%	0	-0.1	51	0

16	Jun_26_2009	30.98	35.28	34.57	34.28	34.17	34.66	34.85(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	90	8	-43	2.33	71%	0.23	-32.7	2.96%	0	-0.5	47	0
17	Jun_25_2009	30.91	35.34	34.71	34.26	34.05	34.29	34.94(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	30	10	-39	3.01	71%	0.23	-33.1	2.99%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Jun_24_2009	30.84	35.37	34.86	34.21	34.16	33.68	33.98(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-100	-7	-44	3.89	71%	0.19	-38.6	2.99%	0	-1.4	34	0
19	Jun_23_2009	30.78	35.39	35.06	34.38	34.32	33.8	33.77(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-110	-22	-43	3.71	74%	0.26	-48.9	3.01%	0	-1.7	38	0
20	Jun_22_2009	30.7	35.48	35.2	34.6	34.7	34.63	33.86(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10	-10	-38	5.41	74%	0.23	-51.4	3.2%	0	-1.8	32	0

21	Jun_19_2009	30.63	35.59	35.37	34.88	34.93	34.83	34.74(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-7	-39	3.56	74%	0.26	-41.7	3.19%	0	-1	31	0
22	Jun_18_2009	30.55	35.65	35.47	35.24	35.08	34.78	34.7(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-70	-14	-33	3.33	74%	0.23	-26.9	3.21%	0	-1.2	43	0
23	Jun_17_2009	30.48	35.76	35.6	35.63	35.5	35.02	34.85(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-110	-13	-21	3.56	76%	0.3	-2.2	3.23%	0	-1.1	47	0
24	Jun_16_2009	30.39	35.86	35.67	35.85	35.91	35.39	34.86(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-100	-11	-7	2.89	76%	0.33	9	3.29%	0	-1.3	58	0
25	Jun_15_2009	30.29	35.94	35.85	35.88	36.09	35.97	35.24(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-6	2	4.09	76%		13.4	3.29%	0	-0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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