Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $38.5800 (-3.26%) ($37.9400 - $40.5000) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $38.5800(-3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(84%)    FXI(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.59(-20.71%)
Resistance Level   $42.57
5 Day Moving Average   $41.15(-6.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.3(-6.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.57(-9.37%)
To recent high   -30.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 5.85% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.55%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.3%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.27%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 5.94%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2008	51.42	42.57	41.3	41.15	40.73	39.23	38.58(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-290	-51	-56	7.09	37%	-0.41	-65.8	2.28%	0	-1.6	35	0
2	Sep_16_2008	51.63	42.99	41.46	42.05	41.37	40.3	39.88(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-230	-63	-55	7.02	39%	-0.41	-61.5	2.26%	0	-1.3	39	0
3	Sep_15_2008	51.84	43.38	41.51	42.38	42.36	42.23	41.24(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-20	-14	-51	3.83	40%	-0.38	-59.7	2.23%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	Sep_12_2008	52.04	43.74	41.7	42.73	42.5	42.45	43.54(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-20	12	-47	4.1	43%	-0.33	-54.8	2.15%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Sep_11_2008	52.21	43.99	41.71	42.11	42.57	42.49	42.5(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	20	19	-82	3.7	41%	-0.34	-56	2.12%	0	-0.5	36	0

6	Sep_10_2008	52.39	44.28	41.88	41.48	42.12	42.55	43.1(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	120	24	-122	3.34	41%	-0.29	-62.2	2.12%	0	-0.4	35	0
7	Sep_9_2008	52.54	44.56	41.94	40.8	41.35	42.65	41.5(-3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	260	38	-162	4.74	38%	-0.34	-66.1	2.06%	0	-1	32	0
8	Sep_8_2008	52.72	44.97	42.22	40.51	40.83	41.69	43.01(6.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	170	49	-193	7.35	40%	-0.3	-65.1	2.02%	0	-0.6	33	0
9	Sep_5_2008	52.88	45.3	42.48	40.57	40.15	40.05	40.46(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-87	-50	-30	-257	4.32	32%	-0.34	-62.8	1.88%	0	-1.4	18	0
10	Sep_4_2008	53.06	45.72	43.07	41.31	40.96	39.96	39.35(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-103	-200	-51	-260	3.63	29%	-0.38	-62.4	1.84%	0	-1.9	10	0

11	Sep_3_2008	53.26	46.27	43.91	42.34	42.02	40.24	39.7(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-125	-320	-86	-241	4.71	29%	-0.34	-60.5	1.85%	0	-2.2	16	0
12	Sep_2_2008	53.44	46.78	44.66	43.21	43.14	41.96	40.05(-7.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-119	-200	-85	-222	4.96	29%	-0.45	-63.3	1.85%	0	-2.5	16	0
13	Aug_29_2008	53.68	47.23	45.47	44.1	44.01	43.79	43.27(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-80	-40	-38	-205	2.64	33%	-0.3	-71.9	1.64%	0	-1.8	19	0
14	Aug_28_2008	53.84	47.55	46.01	44.67	44.37	44.32	44.16(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-60	-30	-19	-183	2.4	34%	-0.26	-74.1	1.65%	0	-1.7	20	0
15	Aug_27_2008	53.98	47.85	46.5	45.14	44.84	44.24	44.5(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-110	-31	-167	0.99	34%	-0.26	-74.3	1.65%	0	-1.7	32	0

16	Aug_26_2008	54.12	48.17	46.89	45.78	45.33	44.42	44.07(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-170	-61	-165	2.05	34%	-0.29	-70.3	1.66%	0	-2.2	25	0
17	Aug_25_2008	54.28	48.53	47.4	46.35	46.18	45.44	44.48(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-74	-120	-51	-143	2.73	34%	-0.28	-69.4	1.67%	0	-2.5	30	0
18	Aug_22_2008	54.43	48.83	47.96	47.03	46.72	46.25	46.12(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-90	-44	-106	2.57	37%	-0.24	-65.3	1.63%	0	-1.9	43	0
19	Aug_21_2008	54.56	49.08	48.34	47.55	47.23	46.93	46.52(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-60	-32	-78	1.99	37%	-0.22	-49.8	1.64%	0	-2	39	0
20	Aug_20_2008	54.68	49.32	48.56	48.06	47.83	47.18	47.7(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-110	-20	-64	1.09	36%	-0.2	-32.9	1.62%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	Aug_19_2008	54.79	49.51	48.8	48.2	48.16	47.53	46.91(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-90	-46	-73	1.63	34%	-0.16	-23.5	1.63%	0	-2.2	34	0
22	Aug_18_2008	54.88	49.67	49.07	48.62	48.54	48.47	47.92(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-20	-25	-59	1.74	36%	-0.13	-6.5	1.62%	0	-1.8	36	0
23	Aug_15_2008	54.95	49.75	49.14	49.02	48.81	48.79	48.72(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-20	-5	-47	0.68	41%	-0.11	5.1	1.62%	0	-1.1	45	0
24	Aug_14_2008	55.01	49.74	49.21	49.25	49.04	48.61	49.06(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-70	-7	-49	1.9	41%	-0.13	5.6	1.68%	0	-0.7	41	0
25	Aug_13_2008	55.08	49.73	49.3	49.15	49.19	48.82	48.4(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-50	-30	-71	4.38	41%		0	1.67%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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