Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 2, 2004

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $28.7000 (0%) ($28.5100 - $28.8500) on Thu. Dec. 2, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $28.7000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    FXI(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EWJ(71%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.32(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.99(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.45(4.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.27%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2004	24.95	27.45	27.99	28.32	28.39	28.6	28.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	33	60	18	77	1.02	69%	0.28	82	1.51%	0	1.5	73	0
2	Dec_1_2004	24.88	27.33	27.92	28.17	28.17	28.41	28.7(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	60	23	95	0.64	70%	0.24	86.2	1.52%	0	1.7	76	0
3	Nov_30_2004	24.82	27.19	27.78	27.91	28.03	28.17	28.26(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	50	22	93	0.37	69%	0.2	87.6	1.52%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Nov_29_2004	24.77	27.05	27.71	27.71	27.8	27.94	27.95(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	40	11	93	0.18	69%	0.2	84.5	1.53%	0	1.1	69	0
5	Nov_26_2004	24.72	26.93	27.65	27.71	27.6	27.88	28(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	70	8	95	0.11	69%	0.28	85.4	1.54%	0	1.3	65	0

6	Nov_24_2004	24.65	26.8	27.5	27.61	27.6	27.66	27.95(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	9	97	0.06	69%	0.2	82.4	1.53%	0	1.3	63	0
7	Nov_23_2004	24.6	26.66	27.33	27.64	27.54	27.33	27.4(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-60	-5	93	0.13	68%	0.12	81.2	1.52%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Nov_22_2004	24.57	26.53	27.2	27.62	27.69	27.41	27.27(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-60	-16	91	0.44	68%	0.16	71.9	1.52%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Nov_19_2004	24.53	26.39	27.1	27.7	27.69	27.76	27.44(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	10	-5	115	0.48	68%	0.16	66.6	1.52%	0	1	70	0
10	Nov_18_2004	24.49	26.24	27.01	27.67	27.72	27.96	27.98(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	70	29	143	0.34	71%	0.16	62.4	1.5%	0	1.6	76	0

11	Nov_17_2004	24.45	26.08	26.87	27.37	27.49	27.68	28.11(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	62	60	35	143	0.42	71%	0.16	57.6	1.51%	0	1.9	80	0
12	Nov_16_2004	24.41	25.91	26.68	26.97	27.09	27.47	27.31(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	110	25	125	0.27	69%	0.16	50.7	1.48%	0	1.5	77	0
13	Nov_15_2004	24.37	25.81	26.54	26.71	26.79	27.29	27.68(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	65	140	43	131	0.39	69%	0.12	44.9	1.47%	0	2.1	86	0
14	Nov_12_2004	24.34	25.69	26.32	26.42	26.41	26.7	27.25(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	50	80	27	119	0.23	68%	0.16	35.5	1.47%	0	2	85	0
15	Nov_11_2004	24.3	25.57	26.15	26.27	26.16	26.28	26.52(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	20	2	118	0.24	65%	0.16	26.6	1.44%	0	1.4	82	0

16	Nov_10_2004	24.26	25.49	26.03	26.3	26.22	26.13	26.08(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	32	-30	-1	132	0.25	66%	0.12	19.3	1.43%	0	0.9	72	0
17	Nov_9_2004	24.23	25.44	25.95	26.35	26.28	26.04	26(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-70	-11	138	0.53	68%	0.17	12.5	1.45%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Nov_8_2004	24.19	25.42	25.82	26.34	26.38	26.31	26.25(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10	2	133	0.2	68%	0.12	10.8	1.47%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Nov_5_2004	24.16	25.41	25.64	26.19	26.35	26.51	26.5(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	60	17	113	0.4	68%	0.17	3.1	1.48%	0	1.7	64	0
20	Nov_4_2004	24.12	25.38	25.43	26	26.09	26.45	26.65(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	110	28	94	0.6	68%	0.17	-2.3	1.48%	0	2	70	0

21	Nov_3_2004	24.08	25.38	25.23	25.72	25.86	26.19	26.35(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	110	34	69	0.48	68%	0.17	-4.7	1.48%	0	1.5	69	0
22	Nov_2_2004	24.04	25.36	25.08	25.49	25.55	25.73	25.93(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	60	26	41	0.32	67%	0.12	-4.1	1.48%	0	0.9	56	0
23	Nov_1_2004	24.01	25.35	25.01	25.23	25.28	25.53	25.53(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	80	23	13	0.27	65%	0.08	-9.6	1.48%	0	0.3	47	0
24	Oct_29_2004	23.99	25.39	24.98	25	25.02	25.37	25.54(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	100	29	-18	0.3	65%	0.08	-8.8	1.48%	0	0.2	38	0
25	Oct_28_2004	23.97	25.4	24.93	24.78	24.72	25.04	25.25(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	80	21	-58	0.52	65%		-13.6	1.48%	0	-0.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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