Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: EWY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF)
EWY latest price $28.1600 (0.43%) ($28.0500 - $28.4000) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.1600(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWY advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    EWJ(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWY price   EWY will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.94(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.27(3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.13(3.8%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWY price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.73%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2004	24.77	27.13	27.27	27.94	28.02	28.11	28.16(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	30	13	82	1.01	60%	0.24	62.6	1.66%	0	1.6	51	0
2	Feb_12_2004	24.71	27.04	27.11	27.73	27.84	28.1	28.04(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	80	24	65	0.13	62%	0.28	59.9	1.67%	0	1.6	56	0
3	Feb_11_2004	24.64	26.96	26.97	27.41	27.58	27.92	28.35(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	100	39	33	0.29	62%	0.24	56.1	1.68%	0	2.3	52	0
4	Feb_10_2004	24.58	26.85	26.79	26.94	27.14	27.58	27.7(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	20	140	30	-11	0.25	60%	0.24	45.7	1.66%	0	1.6	53	0
5	Feb_9_2004	24.52	26.8	26.69	26.66	26.74	27.25	27.44(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	140	28	-33	0.13	60%	0.16	42.6	1.66%	0	1.3	56	0

6	Feb_6_2004	24.48	26.73	26.71	26.52	26.49	26.69	27.14(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	50	19	-31	0.08	59%	0.16	38.8	1.68%	0	0.8	57	0
7	Feb_5_2004	24.44	26.66	26.7	26.41	26.45	26.23	26.4(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-50	-6	-40	0.08	58%	0.12	36.9	1.68%	0	-0.5	53	0
8	Feb_4_2004	24.41	26.63	26.84	26.47	26.53	26.28	26.01(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-60	-20	-26	0.26	58%	0.12	42.1	1.7%	0	-1.1	47	0
9	Feb_3_2004	24.38	26.61	26.97	26.62	26.66	26.67	26.33(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	10	-10	1	0.28	58%	0.12	54.1	1.69%	0	-0.5	54	0
10	Feb_2_2004	24.35	26.59	27.02	26.71	26.79	26.78	26.73(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	10	-6	11	0.29	58%	0.16	69.6	1.67%	0	0.2	51	0

11	Jan_30_2004	24.31	26.54	27	26.92	26.83	26.64	26.58(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-14	28	0.09	58%	0.12	86.7	1.68%	0	0.1	56	0
12	Jan_29_2004	24.28	26.47	26.99	27.05	27.05	26.8	26.7(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-19	42	0.84	58%	0.17	95.7	1.68%	0	0.3	61	0
13	Jan_28_2004	24.24	26.39	26.97	27.26	27.25	27.01	26.75(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-60	-16	72	0.08	58%	0.12	99.3	1.69%	0	0.5	63	0
14	Jan_27_2004	24.21	26.28	26.97	27.26	27.39	27.31	26.79(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-20	-6	96	0.31	61%	0.12	95.5	1.69%	0	0.6	64	0
15	Jan_26_2004	24.18	26.16	26.93	27.37	27.41	27.49	27.8(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	20	16	120	0.22	65%	0.21	82.5	1.67%	0	1.8	68	0

16	Jan_23_2004	24.13	25.98	26.75	27.09	27.25	27.47	27.2(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	70	17	107	0.11	60%	0.12	72.6	1.67%	0	1.3	66	0
17	Jan_22_2004	24.1	25.84	26.61	26.91	27	27.32	27.77(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	45	90	25	106	0.34	63%	0.21	67	1.68%	0	2.1	77	0
18	Jan_21_2004	24.05	25.67	26.39	26.65	26.72	27.03	27.28(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	90	22	95	0.35	62%	0.12	59.5	1.69%	0	1.8	75	0
19	Jan_20_2004	24.02	25.53	26.2	26.44	26.57	26.69	26.78(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	50	11	90	0.14	60%	0.17	53.8	1.68%	0	1.5	76	0
20	Jan_16_2004	23.98	25.43	26.1	26.43	26.45	26.4	26.42(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-10	-1	109	0.06	60%	0.13	56.1	1.68%	0	1.2	77	0

21	Jan_15_2004	23.95	25.32	26.03	26.37	26.54	26.46	26.29(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-0	5	127	0.07	57%	0.17	57.5	1.69%	0	1.2	75	0
22	Jan_14_2004	23.91	25.24	25.91	26.26	26.49	26.5	26.5(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	30	9	131	0.11	57%	0.13	61.2	1.72%	0	1.6	76	0
23	Jan_13_2004	23.88	25.15	25.76	26.07	26.28	26.61	26.2(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	110	14	126	0.27	57%	0.13	63.8	1.74%	0	1.4	71	0
24	Jan_12_2004	23.85	25.08	25.59	25.92	26.04	26.49	26.75(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	130	28	121	0.4	59%	0.13	68.9	1.73%	0	2.4	75	0
25	Jan_9_2004	23.82	24.97	25.33	25.74	25.78	25.96	26.1(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	50	16	95	0.44	62%		75.4	1.75%	0	1.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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