Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $42.1800 (0.4%) ($41.9400 - $42.2900) on Fri. Jul. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $42.1800(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    VT(75%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.48(1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.31(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.82(0.86%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2014	41.75	41.82	41.31	41.48	41.66	42.07	42.18(0.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	34	80	46	-1	0.84	48%	0.05	-57.7	0.92%	0	0.4	44	INF
2	Jul_24_2014	41.73	41.85	41.21	41.24	41.32	41.66	42.01(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	22	60	46	-51	0.74	48%	0.05	-70.4	0.92%	0	0.2	37	INF
3	Jul_23_2014	41.71	41.89	41.14	40.97	41.04	41.25	41.21(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	40	16	-117	0.78	44%	0.02	-83.3	0.89%	0	-0.8	32	INF
4	Jul_22_2014	41.7	42.01	41.22	41.02	40.95	40.98	41.13(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	0	7	-132	0.95	44%	0.05	-77.8	0.89%	0	-0.9	32	INF
5	Jul_21_2014	41.68	42.14	41.28	41.01	41.03	40.82	40.85(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-30	-15	-159	1.44	44%	0.05	-71.1	0.89%	0	-1.3	32	INF

6	Jul_18_2014	41.66	42.3	41.44	41.12	41.12	40.92	41(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-30	-26	-159	2.44	44%	0.02	-64.7	0.89%	0	-1.3	33	INF
7	Jul_17_2014	41.65	42.46	41.66	41.18	41.26	41.24	40.64(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	0	-13	-147	0.99	42%	0	-59.6	0.89%	0	-1.8	28	INF
8	Jul_16_2014	41.65	42.64	41.9	41.32	41.31	41.31	41.47(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-0	-2	-135	0.9	50%	0.05	-54.9	0.86%	0	-1.2	34	INF
9	Jul_15_2014	41.63	42.74	42.06	41.45	41.2	41.29	41.1(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-0	-16	-137	0.87	48%	0.02	-56.3	0.87%	0	-1.7	24	INF
10	Jul_14_2014	41.62	42.86	42.23	41.58	41.42	41.32	41.41(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-4	-140	0.57	48%	0.05	-62.4	0.86%	0	-1.6	23	INF

11	Jul_11_2014	41.6	42.97	42.38	41.81	41.51	41.11	41.28(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-85	-90	-59	-162	0.61	48%	0.05	-63.1	0.86%	0	-2	21	INF
12	Jul_10_2014	41.58	43.09	42.56	42.22	41.85	41.53	41.33(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-81	-80	-60	-145	2.61	42%	0.05	-55.7	0.87%	0	-2.3	20	INF
13	Jul_9_2014	41.56	43.2	42.72	42.57	42.4	41.91	42.14(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-90	-32	-120	0.61	46%	0.07	-45.2	0.9%	0	-1.7	24	INF
14	Jul_8_2014	41.53	43.3	42.87	42.76	42.64	42.16	41.75(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-75	-90	-61	-115	1.18	44%	0	-29.4	0.91%	0	-2.6	34	INF
15	Jul_7_2014	41.53	43.43	43.09	42.97	42.94	42.89	42.56(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10	-17	-75	0.88	48%	0.14	-8.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	40	INF

16	Jul_3_2014	41.47	43.43	43.24	43.02	42.98	43.11	43.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	20	17	-55	0.25	52%	0.1	5.5	0.84%	0	-0.4	47	INF
17	Jul_2_2014	41.43	43.51	43.32	42.95	42.84	42.98	43.1(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	11	-52	2.28	52%	0.1	9.2	0.85%	0	-0.8	45	INF
18	Jul_1_2014	41.39	43.49	43.42	42.91	42.8	42.85	43.07(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	0	6	-48	1.38	56%	0.1	7.8	0.85%	0	-0.8	46	INF
19	Jun_30_2014	41.35	43.49	43.46	43.01	42.72	42.71	42.82(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-20	-25	-59	1.57	56%	0.07	13.7	0.87%	0	-1.1	33	INF
20	Jun_27_2014	41.32	43.47	43.53	43.25	42.99	42.76	42.8(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-60	-21	-50	0.39	56%	0.12	33.6	0.88%	0	-1.2	29	INF

21	Jun_26_2014	41.27	43.48	43.61	43.49	43.28	42.74	42.97(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-100	-49	-50	0.52	56%	0.12	52.2	0.88%	0	-0.8	36	INF
22	Jun_25_2014	41.22	43.46	43.67	43.73	43.58	43.21	42.89(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-70	-63	-32	0.54	56%	0.15	65.5	0.88%	0	-0.9	48	INF
23	Jun_24_2014	41.16	43.45	43.73	44	43.99	43.83	43.58(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-30	-6	27	0.5	61%	0.17	82.2	0.86%	0	0.2	65	INF
24	Jun_23_2014	41.09	43.39	43.77	43.96	44.02	43.95	43.99(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10	-1	48	0.52	64%	0.15	87	0.85%	0	0.9	69	INF
25	Jun_20_2014	41.03	43.28	43.8	43.85	43.88	44.15	44(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	14	67	0.41	64%		74.9	0.87%	0	1	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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