Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $39.9200 (1.32%) ($39.5200 - $39.9600) on Fri. Jan. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $39.9200(1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    DIA(-1%)    BNDX(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.11(2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.6(3.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.83(5.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(50%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(46%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2014	36.07	37.83	38.6	39.11	39.32	39.58	39.92(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	60	46	135	1.83	54%	0.22	65.5	1.13%	0	2	78	NAN
2	Jan_9_2014	35.99	37.64	38.41	38.59	38.86	39.35	39.4(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	110	42	111	0.99	54%	0.22	52.6	1.17%	0	1.8	77	NAN
3	Jan_8_2014	35.91	37.51	38.25	38.21	38.35	39.06	39.37(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	61	140	47	101	0.87	54%	0.22	44.6	1.18%	0	2	78	NAN
4	Jan_7_2014	35.83	37.37	38.05	38.05	37.92	38.37	38.97(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	70	38	96	0.79	54%	0.2	43.1	1.18%	0	1.9	72	NAN
5	Jan_6_2014	35.76	37.24	37.85	37.94	37.85	37.63	37.87(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-50	-0	89	0.92	50%	0.14	37.3	1.14%	0	0.8	71	NAN

6	Jan_3_2014	35.71	37.16	37.77	38.02	37.98	37.47	37.34(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-100	-40	93	0.42	50%	0.14	32.2	1.14%	0	0.2	69	NAN
7	Jan_2_2014	35.66	37.13	37.72	38.19	38.19	38.07	37.48(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-20	-25	120	1.01	50%	0.22	34.7	1.14%	0	0.4	64	NAN
8	Dec_31_2013	35.58	37.09	37.64	38.26	38.33	38.49	38.57(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	30	24	152	0.44	58%	0.17	38.1	1.08%	0	1.9	70	NAN
9	Dec_30_2013	35.52	37.01	37.46	38.04	38.12	38.32	38.46(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	40	27	136	0.52	58%	0.17	34.9	1.1%	0	2.1	70	NAN
10	Dec_27_2013	35.46	36.96	37.23	37.75	37.87	38.18	38.25(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	70	32	112	0.5	58%	0.14	34.1	1.1%	0	2	71	NAN

11	Dec_26_2013	35.41	36.91	37	37.49	37.56	37.93	38.21(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	70	40	93	0.32	58%	0.28	38.3	1.1%	0	2.3	73	NAN
12	Dec_24_2013	35.31	36.85	36.81	37.19	37.24	37.56	37.83(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	60	39	67	0.14	58%	0.2	32.3	1.09%	0	2	61	NAN
13	Dec_23_2013	35.24	36.8	36.7	36.93	36.91	37.19	37.46(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	50	25	39	0.46	58%	0.14	18.3	1.09%	0	1.5	56	NAN
14	Dec_20_2013	35.19	36.77	36.62	36.79	36.71	36.91	37(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	30	23	23	0.52	56%	0.17	12.3	1.08%	0	0.5	46	NAN
15	Dec_19_2013	35.13	36.75	36.56	36.62	36.66	36.63	36.93(0.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	13	-0	20	-10	0.37	56%	0.14	-2.6	1.08%	0	0.4	39	NAN

16	Dec_18_2013	35.08	36.7	36.56	36.44	36.5	36.5	36.72(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	0	-3	-53	0.69	61%	0.17	-25.6	1.09%	0	0	38	NAN
17	Dec_17_2013	35.02	36.69	36.48	36.38	36.41	36.68	36.52(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	50	5	-57	0.49	61%	0.17	-32	1.18%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
18	Dec_16_2013	34.96	36.69	36.5	36.38	36.41	36.5	36.78(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	10	16	-50	3.59	61%	0.14	-29.6	1.18%	0	0.1	49	NAN
19	Dec_13_2013	34.91	36.72	36.53	36.43	36.42	36.13	36.14(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-60	-16	-64	0.33	59%	0.17	-29.6	1.16%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
20	Dec_12_2013	34.85	36.76	36.68	36.5	36.55	36.35	36.04(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-30	-18	-46	0.29	59%	0.14	-22.5	1.16%	0	-1.6	47	NAN

21	Dec_11_2013	34.8	36.81	36.83	36.52	36.6	36.71	36.41(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	30	-3	-18	0.38	61%	0.2	-27	1.15%	0	-1	59	NAN
22	Dec_10_2013	34.73	36.84	36.83	36.52	36.54	36.76	36.8(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	40	13	-0	0.22	63%	0.23	-25.7	1.16%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
23	Dec_9_2013	34.65	36.85	36.91	36.58	36.47	36.49	36.77(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10	2	-6	0.41	63%	0.23	-30.6	1.17%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
24	Dec_6_2013	34.57	36.85	36.94	36.66	36.52	36.32	36.46(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-50	-23	-8	0.5	63%	0.2	-32.4	1.17%	0	-1	47	NAN
25	Dec_5_2013	34.5	36.86	36.96	36.9	36.77	36.45	36.17(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-25	-70	-34	2	0.68	63%		-30.6	1.18%	0	-1.7	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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