Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $36.8700 (-0.57%) ($36.4600 - $36.9600) on Thu. Nov. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $36.8700(-0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(-0%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $37.57
5 Day Moving Average   $36.96(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.07(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.57(-1.86%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.65%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2013	33.29	37.57	37.07	36.96	36.87	36.75	36.87(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-30	0	-51	0.69	59%	0.27	-20.5	1.29%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
2	Nov_13_2013	33.2	37.65	37.15	36.87	36.86	36.84	37.08(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-0	-9	-69	0.2	59%	0.27	-15	1.28%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
3	Nov_12_2013	33.11	37.68	37.19	36.94	36.88	36.99	36.88(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	20	0	-68	0.35	59%	0.27	1.2	1.28%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
4	Nov_11_2013	33.02	37.68	37.3	36.97	37.01	36.88	37.12(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-20	1	-75	0.31	59%	0.27	15	1.28%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
5	Nov_8_2013	32.93	37.7	37.36	37.08	36.97	36.76	36.83(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-50	-25	-90	0.32	61%	0.24	29.4	1.28%	0	-1.4	35	NAN

6	Nov_7_2013	32.85	37.71	37.48	37.2	37.2	37.14	36.42(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10	-16	-84	0.85	61%	0.18	41.3	1.3%	0	-2	31	NAN
7	Nov_6_2013	32.79	37.74	37.68	37.46	37.34	37.19	37.45(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-40	-6	-66	0.36	65%	0.21	58	1.25%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
8	Nov_5_2013	32.72	37.67	37.73	37.48	37.43	37.26	37.03(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-40	-22	-70	0.69	65%	0.21	50.4	1.24%	0	-0.7	45	NAN
9	Nov_4_2013	32.65	37.6	37.91	37.67	37.61	37.5	37.65(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-30	-7	-31	0.39	68%	0.25	52.2	1.22%	0	0.1	58	NAN
10	Nov_1_2013	32.57	37.51	38.01	37.68	37.72	37.6	37.46(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-20	-11	-14	0.71	68%	0.22	54.3	1.23%	0	-0	57	NAN

11	Oct_31_2013	32.5	37.44	38.12	37.8	37.77	37.71	37.71(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-10	-13	14	0.37	68%	0.25	58.4	1.23%	0	0.2	62	NAN
12	Oct_30_2013	32.42	37.33	38.18	37.93	37.86	37.85	37.53(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10	-9	43	0.79	68%	0.22	61.4	1.23%	0	0.2	61	NAN
13	Oct_29_2013	32.35	37.25	38.22	38.03	38.06	37.84	38.02(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-40	-8	75	0.4	71%	0.25	64.6	1.21%	0	0.6	74	NAN
14	Oct_28_2013	32.27	37.11	38.13	38.19	38.07	37.87	37.69(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-50	-32	101	0.92	71%	0.22	68.1	1.21%	0	0.4	76	NAN
15	Oct_25_2013	32.2	36.98	38.08	38.38	38.36	37.87	38.04(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-8	147	0.38	73%	0.25	71.2	1.2%	0	0.8	75	NAN

16	Oct_24_2013	32.12	36.82	37.97	38.49	38.5	38.28	38.37(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-40	-6	168	0.73	74%	0.25	74.1	1.22%	0	1.1	74	NAN
17	Oct_23_2013	32.04	36.64	37.82	38.48	38.51	38.44	38.03(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	-10	-9	188	0.68	75%	0.25	76.3	1.23%	0	1	76	NAN
18	Oct_22_2013	31.96	36.48	37.62	38.41	38.52	38.72	38.82(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	40	28	211	0.45	79%	0.25	74.4	1.2%	0	1.7	81	NAN
19	Oct_21_2013	31.88	36.25	37.28	38.06	38.24	38.58	38.65(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	80	36	192	0.58	79%	0.25	73.9	1.2%	0	1.8	81	NAN
20	Oct_18_2013	31.8	36.03	36.97	37.74	37.83	38.31	38.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	80	100	44	186	0.87	80%	0.25	75.3	1.2%	0	2	83	NAN

21	Oct_17_2013	31.72	35.81	36.7	37.38	37.42	37.89	38.31(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	90	44	176	0.79	80%	0.22	79.8	1.21%	0	2.2	83	NAN
22	Oct_16_2013	31.65	35.61	36.4	37.08	37.08	37.35	37.72(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	50	39	161	0.87	79%	0.22	90.4	1.21%	0	2.1	78	NAN
23	Oct_15_2013	31.58	35.46	36.17	36.71	36.82	36.96	37.05(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	40	30	144	0.98	78%	0.19	92.3	1.2%	0	1.7	76	NAN
24	Oct_14_2013	31.52	35.28	36	36.36	36.51	36.8	37.04(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	70	26	129	0.54	78%	0.22	86.9	1.2%	0	1.8	79	NAN
25	Oct_11_2013	31.45	35.1	35.77	36.08	36.16	36.69	36.8(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	110	33	113	0.83	74%		88.2	1.27%	0	1.8	78	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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