Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $36.8100 (2.65%) ($36.4100 - $36.9000) on Thu. Oct. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $36.8100(2.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-2%)    BNDX(-0%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.91(2.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.56(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.92(5.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 3.91%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 4.02%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 4.17%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.77%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2013	31.39	34.92	35.56	35.91	35.88	36.22	36.81(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	60	41	109	1.57	74%	0.22	92.2	1.29%	0	2	76	NAN
2	Oct_9_2013	31.32	34.73	35.36	35.62	35.67	35.62	35.86(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10	8	83	0.94	72%	0.16	98.8	1.26%	0	1.3	68	NAN
3	Oct_8_2013	31.27	34.59	35.25	35.62	35.57	35.54	35.31(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-7	74	0.65	71%	0.16	100.7	1.26%	0	0.8	57	NAN
4	Oct_7_2013	31.22	34.46	35.16	35.56	35.58	35.72	35.64(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	15	97	0.27	71%	0.13	97.7	1.25%	0	1.1	75	NAN
5	Oct_4_2013	31.18	34.28	35.03	35.39	35.47	35.6	35.92(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	30	25	100	0.58	71%	0.16	93.1	1.24%	0	1.4	79	NAN

6	Oct_3_2013	31.13	34.07	34.87	35.15	35.16	35.44	35.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	60	13	95	0.65	70%	0.16	85	1.24%	0	1	78	NAN
7	Oct_2_2013	31.08	33.88	34.78	35.06	35	35.33	35.59(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	52	60	31	114	0.5	70%	0.16	80.2	1.24%	0	1.3	82	NAN
8	Oct_1_2013	31.03	33.66	34.69	34.89	34.83	34.87	35.31(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	0	20	121	1.44	71%	0.13	75.6	1.25%	0	1.2	82	NAN
9	Sep_30_2013	30.99	33.45	34.51	34.7	34.71	34.66	34.75(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	0	114	0.54	70%	0.1	69.6	1.25%	0	1	83	NAN
10	Sep_27_2013	30.96	33.24	34.38	34.61	34.68	34.78	34.76(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	7	129	0.31	67%	0.13	56.4	1.27%	0	1.1	86	NAN

11	Sep_26_2013	30.92	33.06	34.23	34.53	34.55	34.76	34.9(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	40	13	146	0.61	68%	0.1	49.8	1.29%	0	1.3	89	NAN
12	Sep_25_2013	30.89	32.86	34.06	34.45	34.45	34.57	34.75(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	20	10	165	0.47	68%	0.1	47.5	1.3%	0	1.3	90	NAN
13	Sep_24_2013	30.86	32.68	33.89	34.46	34.4	34.57	34.36(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	55	-20	9	194	0.43	65%	0.1	46.1	1.3%	0	1.2	89	NAN
14	Sep_23_2013	30.83	32.56	33.71	34.29	34.35	34.34	34.27(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	56	0	8	200	0.28	65%	0.1	44.9	1.33%	0	1.3	90	NAN
15	Sep_20_2013	30.8	32.47	33.49	34.11	34.15	34.47	34.36(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	70	20	213	0.3	60%	0.1	42.5	1.35%	0	1.5	93	NAN

16	Sep_19_2013	30.77	32.36	33.23	33.88	33.9	34.35	34.5(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	81	90	38	208	0.88	57%	0.13	38.9	1.41%	0	1.8	84	NAN
17	Sep_18_2013	30.73	32.21	32.91	33.6	33.55	33.82	34.8(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	71	50	32	188	0.98	57%	0.13	31.9	1.45%	0	2.4	86	NAN
18	Sep_17_2013	30.69	32.05	32.55	33.26	33.28	33.46	33.5(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	40	19	173	0.22	53%	0.07	23.8	1.38%	0	1.6	82	NAN
19	Sep_16_2013	30.67	31.97	32.3	33.05	33.14	33.28	33.4(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	40	24	147	0.8	53%	0.1	17.3	1.39%	0	1.7	59	NAN
20	Sep_13_2013	30.64	31.94	32.01	32.77	32.88	33.1	33.18(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	60	24	101	1.32	53%	0.07	9.6	1.39%	0	1.6	52	NAN

21	Sep_12_2013	30.62	31.9	31.79	32.47	32.57	33	33.13(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	100	36	67	0.7	53%	0.1	-0.8	1.4%	0	1.6	55	NAN
22	Sep_11_2013	30.59	31.87	31.57	32.1	32.19	32.67	33.07(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	110	44	35	0.56	51%	0.07	-10.8	1.4%	0	1.6	60	NAN
23	Sep_10_2013	30.57	31.87	31.36	31.74	31.76	32.14	32.48(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	26	90	36	-6	0.44	49%	0.1	-19.3	1.4%	0	0.9	53	NAN
24	Sep_9_2013	30.54	31.83	31.31	31.44	31.41	31.71	31.98(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	60	31	-30	0.87	47%	0.1	-26.5	1.39%	0	0.2	47	NAN
25	Sep_6_2013	30.51	31.86	31.35	31.14	31.2	31.37	31.68(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	22	-63	0.64	47%		-31.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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