Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $34.8000 (3.88%) ($33.4700 - $34.8700) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $34.8000(3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-1%)    BNDX(0%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.6(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.91(5.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.21(8.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.84%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.49%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.69%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	30.73	32.21	32.91	33.6	33.55	33.82	34.8(3.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	71	50	32	188	0.98	57%	0.13	31.9	1.45%	0	2.4	86	0
2	Sep_17_2013	30.69	32.05	32.55	33.26	33.28	33.46	33.5(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	58	40	19	173	0.22	53%	0.07	23.8	1.38%	0	1.6	82	0
3	Sep_16_2013	30.67	31.97	32.3	33.05	33.14	33.28	33.4(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	40	24	147	0.8	53%	0.1	17.3	1.39%	0	1.7	59	0
4	Sep_13_2013	30.64	31.94	32.01	32.77	32.88	33.1	33.18(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	60	24	101	1.32	53%	0.07	9.6	1.39%	0	1.6	52	0
5	Sep_12_2013	30.62	31.9	31.79	32.47	32.57	33	33.13(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	100	36	67	0.7	53%	0.1	-0.8	1.4%	0	1.6	55	0

6	Sep_11_2013	30.59	31.87	31.57	32.1	32.19	32.67	33.07(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	110	44	35	0.56	51%	0.07	-10.8	1.4%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Sep_10_2013	30.57	31.87	31.36	31.74	31.76	32.14	32.48(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	26	90	36	-6	0.44	49%	0.1	-19.3	1.4%	0	0.9	53	0
8	Sep_9_2013	30.54	31.83	31.31	31.44	31.41	31.71	31.98(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	60	31	-30	0.87	47%	0.1	-26.5	1.39%	0	0.2	47	0
9	Sep_6_2013	30.51	31.86	31.35	31.14	31.2	31.37	31.68(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	40	22	-63	0.64	47%	0.1	-31.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	37	0
10	Sep_5_2013	30.48	31.91	31.4	31	30.95	31.1	31.28(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	5	-85	0.16	47%	0.1	-31.1	1.38%	0	-0.8	38	0

11	Sep_4_2013	30.45	31.95	31.44	30.96	30.91	31.03	31.27(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	20	10	-100	0.85	47%	0.03	-28.9	1.38%	0	-0.9	37	0
12	Sep_3_2013	30.44	31.97	31.5	30.92	30.89	30.81	31.01(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-20	-12	-122	0.57	49%	0.1	-28	1.38%	0	-1.3	35	0
13	Aug_30_2013	30.41	32.02	31.62	31.16	30.95	30.8	30.48(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-50	-35	-118	0.27	44%	0.03	-15.8	1.41%	0	-2.3	32	0
14	Aug_29_2013	30.4	32.1	31.87	31.59	31.37	30.98	30.98(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-110	-25	-83	0.25	46%	0.03	8.3	1.39%	0	-1.9	32	0
15	Aug_28_2013	30.39	32.14	32.04	31.86	31.76	31.11	31.06(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-44	-150	-36	-68	0.29	46%	0.1	28.7	1.4%	0	-1.9	35	0

16	Aug_27_2013	30.36	32.16	32.21	31.98	32.09	31.77	31.06(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-60	-33	-50	0.49	46%	0.07	45	1.41%	0	-2	44	0
17	Aug_26_2013	30.34	32.18	32.38	32.16	32.2	31.77	32.2(-1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	50	3	-13	0.63	50%	0.13	64.9	1.34%	0	0	58	0
18	Aug_23_2013	30.3	32.12	32.41	32.15	32.1	32.41	32.63(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	60	14	-0	0.64	50%	0.17	73.8	1.33%	0	0.9	62	0
19	Aug_22_2013	30.25	32.05	32.42	32.22	32.05	31.99	32.35(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-30	1	11	0.25	50%	0.13	90.4	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Aug_21_2013	30.21	31.98	32.44	32.28	32.22	31.78	31.67(-0.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-15	-100	-26	18	0.83	47%	0.1	93.9	1.32%	0	-0.4	53	0

21	Aug_20_2013	30.18	31.92	32.49	32.48	32.4	32.11	31.93(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-70	-31	42	0.58	47%	0.13	96.7	1.32%	0	0	62	0
22	Aug_19_2013	30.14	31.82	32.48	32.62	32.58	32.65	32.15(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	10	-6	72	0.83	47%	0.07	93.1	1.32%	0	0.3	67	0
23	Aug_16_2013	30.12	31.68	32.45	32.69	32.63	32.69	33(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	10	12	98	0.3	50%	0.17	87.6	1.29%	0	1.1	83	0
24	Aug_15_2013	30.07	31.49	32.34	32.69	32.5	32.52	32.64(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10	-4	101	0.81	50%	0.17	85	1.29%	0	0.9	76	0
25	Aug_14_2013	30.02	31.31	32.25	32.64	32.57	32.57	32.68(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	-10	10	120	0.74	50%		78.4	1.29%	0	1	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.