Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $31.1900 (-0.42%) ($31.0700 - $31.2700) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.1900(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.88(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.17(3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.59(5.41%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(58%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(38%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.42%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.17%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2013	30.28	29.59	30.17	30.88	30.84	31.16	31.19(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	70	15	81	0.75	49%	0.1	69.8	1.95%	0	1.6	62	0
2	Apr_29_2013	30.25	29.44	30	30.75	30.71	30.81	31.32(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	20	22	85	0.6	49%	0.07	65.8	1.95%	0	1.9	69	0
3	Apr_26_2013	30.23	29.27	29.76	30.42	30.51	30.51	30.58(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	11	72	0.39	48%	0.07	50.7	1.91%	0	1.5	70	0
4	Apr_25_2013	30.21	29.15	29.67	30.12	30.28	30.62	30.53(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	90	21	74	0.4	49%	0.07	34.6	1.93%	0	1.6	69	0
5	Apr_24_2013	30.19	29.03	29.58	29.77	29.92	30.51	30.78(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	150	36	73	0.71	49%	0.03	12.5	1.95%	0	2.2	71	0

6	Apr_23_2013	30.18	28.9	29.45	29.36	29.45	29.95	30.53(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	130	29	62	2.16	49%	0.07	-10.2	1.94%	0	2.3	71	0
7	Apr_22_2013	30.16	28.81	29.27	29.16	29.08	29.33	29.7(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	50	15	51	1.01	47%	0.03	-33.2	1.91%	0	1.5	64	0
8	Apr_19_2013	30.15	28.82	29.13	29.02	29.07	28.96	29.08(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-20	-2	40	0.29	45%	0	-44.2	1.89%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Apr_18_2013	30.15	28.86	29.06	29.16	29.1	28.83	28.74(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-70	-20	43	0.51	45%	0	-46.2	1.9%	0	-0.2	56	0
10	Apr_17_2013	30.15	28.92	29.03	29.36	29.31	29.18	28.73(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-40	-15	61	0.63	46%	0.03	-38.6	1.9%	0	-0.3	58	0

11	Apr_16_2013	30.14	28.98	28.98	29.54	29.53	29.37	29.54(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-40	3	78	0.21	48%	0.03	-36.4	1.88%	0	0.7	60	0
12	Apr_15_2013	30.13	29.01	28.86	29.39	29.56	29.43	28.99(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10	0	65	0.63	47%	0	-43.4	1.86%	0	-0	51	0
13	Apr_12_2013	30.13	29.11	28.76	29.25	29.43	29.43	29.81(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	80	18	41	0.34	49%	0	-41.5	1.82%	0	0.7	43	0
14	Apr_11_2013	30.13	29.17	28.6	28.94	29.08	29.69	29.71(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	160	32	11	1.51	49%	0.07	-42.8	1.83%	0	0.5	46	0
15	Apr_10_2013	30.11	29.22	28.43	28.66	28.67	29.17	29.66(3.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	21	120	37	-27	0.73	51%	0.07	-46.7	1.84%	0	0.4	42	0

16	Apr_9_2013	30.09	29.27	28.3	28.35	28.3	28.48	28.79(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	40	14	-72	0.65	50%	0.03	-51	1.82%	0	-0.4	38	0
17	Apr_8_2013	30.08	29.37	28.29	28.26	28.2	28.17	28.26(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-10	3	-99	2.11	49%	0.03	-48.4	1.82%	0	-0.9	29	0
18	Apr_5_2013	30.07	29.52	28.47	28.19	28.2	28.12	28.28(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-20	-3	-118	0.43	49%	0.03	-45.2	1.81%	0	-1	25	0
19	Apr_4_2013	30.06	29.64	28.61	28.2	28.24	28.23	28.3(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	0	-2	-133	0.31	49%	0.07	-43.1	1.82%	0	-1.1	24	0
20	Apr_3_2013	30.04	29.75	28.8	28.16	28.26	28.36	28.11(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-34	40	2	-140	0.42	49%	0.03	-44.8	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	0

21	Apr_2_2013	30.03	29.88	28.97	28.24	28.17	28.24	28.35(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	10	-2	-148	0.57	49%	0.03	-41.3	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Apr_1_2013	30.02	29.98	29.17	28.33	28.2	28.15	27.92(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-30	-21	-159	0.59	49%	0.13	-35.9	1.82%	0	-1.9	25	0
23	Mar_28_2013	29.98	30.09	29.5	28.79	28.52	28.1	28.3(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-130	-24	-132	0.53	49%	0.03	-30.7	1.86%	0	-1.9	26	0
24	Mar_27_2013	29.97	30.18	29.81	29.11	29.01	28.25	28.12(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-190	-41	-114	0.77	49%	0	-22.3	1.89%	0	-2.5	30	0
25	Mar_26_2013	29.97	30.29	30.09	29.53	29.49	28.95	28.5(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-51	-130	-39	-88	0.55	49%		-10	1.88%	0	-2.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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