Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $30.2200 (1.14%) ($29.7500 - $30.2300) on Mon. Mar. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $30.2200(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.41(-12.61%)
5 Day Moving Average   $29.89(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.91(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.15(0.23%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20130404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2013	29.7	30.15		29.89	29.85	29.85	30.22(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-0	14	-33	0.6	56%	0.1	-95	1.74%	0	0.1	51	NAN
2	Mar_1_2013	29.67	30.2	29.91	29.6	29.7	29.83	29.88(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	40	-7	-64	0.46	56%	0.07	-110.6	1.72%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
3	Feb_28_2013	29.65	30.27	29.99	29.72	29.77	29.86	29.9(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	30	10	-42	0.58	56%	0.1	-104.2	1.72%	0	-0.6	51	NAN
4	Feb_27_2013	29.62	30.39	30.1	29.65	29.83	29.56	30.11(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-50	-3	-46	1.36	56%	0.07	-85.9	1.72%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
5	Feb_26_2013	29.6	30.5	30.17	29.66	29.81	29.68	29.35(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-20	-29	-52	0.93	54%	0.03	-72.5	1.7%	0	-1.2	45	NAN

6	Feb_25_2013	29.59	30.67	30.26	29.95	30.08	30.1	28.78(-5.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	20	-10	-22	1.88	52%	0	-58	1.68%	0	-1.9	48	NAN
7	Feb_22_2013	29.59	30.87	30.45	30.25	30.26	29.94	30.46(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-70	-8	-11	0.53	61%	0.07	-47.1	1.56%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
8	Feb_21_2013	29.57	30.96	30.39	30.3	30.33	30.07	29.57(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-60	-35	-36	0.7	58%	0.07	-42.9	1.53%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
9	Feb_20_2013	29.55	31.09	30.49	30.61	30.55	30.59	30.16(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	0	-9	-27	0.36	61%	0.07	-36.6	1.51%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
10	Feb_19_2013	29.53	31.19	30.52	30.75	30.55	30.58	30.78(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-40	9	-37	0.7	66%	0.17	-33	1.48%	0	-0.4	37	NAN

11	Feb_15_2013	29.48	31.26	30.41	30.61	30.73	30.51	30.29(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-40	-13	-93	0.58	65%	0.07	-36.8	1.48%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
12	Feb_14_2013	29.46	31.36	30.51	30.66	30.65	30.87	30.7(-1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	50	6	-103	0.34	65%	0.07	-34.8	1.47%	0	-0.6	34	NAN
13	Feb_13_2013	29.44	31.41	30.56	30.49	30.61	30.95	31.13(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	90	29	-119	0.65	65%	0.1	-37.3	1.46%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
14	Feb_12_2013	29.41	31.46	30.67	30.36	30.35	30.43	30.85(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	20	11	-134	0.46	65%	0.03	-34.9	1.46%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
15	Feb_11_2013	29.4	31.53	30.83	30.27	30.25	30.28	30.1(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	0	4	-143	0.48	63%	0	-30.3	1.43%	0	-1.4	35	NAN

16	Feb_8_2013	29.4	31.64	31.08	30.17	30.31	30.26	30.52(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-41	0	-5	-150	0.51	59%	0.07	-27.4	1.42%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
17	Feb_7_2013	29.38	31.72	31.31	30.34	30.22	30.22	29.87(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-10	-25	-141	0.49	53%	0	-15.4	1.42%	0	-2	31	NAN
18	Feb_6_2013	29.38	31.8	31.57	30.64	30.5	30.36	30.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-50	-20	-112	1.03	56%	0.03	-3.4	1.43%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
19	Feb_5_2013	29.37	31.82	31.74	31.05	30.83	30.22	30.41(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-160	-45	-95	0.62	56%	0.03	12.4	1.43%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
20	Feb_4_2013	29.36	31.84	31.93	31.5	31.35	30.63	29.63(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-70	-180	-69	-74	2.26	53%	0	35	1.41%	0	-2.7	29	NAN

21	Feb_1_2013	29.36	31.9	32.21	32.11	31.98	31.44	31.33(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-130	-52	-24	0.6	63%	0.07	68.9	1.23%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
22	Jan_31_2013	29.34	31.86	32.31	32.43	32.37	32.08	31.39(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-22	-70	-34	15	0.72	63%	0.07	74.6	1.23%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
23	Jan_30_2013	29.32	31.82	32.37	32.61	32.66	32.53	32.48(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-20	1	57	0.53	72%	0.14	81.1	1.15%	0	0.8	70	NAN
24	Jan_29_2013	29.28	31.72	32.33	32.53	32.59	32.66	32.65(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	20	3	74	0.26	72%	0.17	79.6	1.15%	0	1.1	77	NAN
25	Jan_28_2013	29.23	31.56	32.29	32.45	32.44	32.79	32.71(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	70	21	100	0.28	72%		71	1.16%	0	1.3	79	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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