Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $26.4700 (1.38%) ($26.3200 - $26.6000) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $26.4700(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-1%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.86(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.81(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.34(4.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.74%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.42%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2012	23.91	25.34	25.81	25.86	25.88	26.25	26.47(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	100	15	29	0.46	59%	-0.04	95.6	2.96%	0	1.5	73	NAN
2	Aug_31_2012	23.92	25.22	25.74	25.72	25.7	25.67	26.11(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10	6	31	0.4	59%	-0.08	87.4	2.98%	0	1.1	72	NAN
3	Aug_30_2012	23.94	25.08	25.72	25.62	25.66	25.51	25.16(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-40	-6	37	0.16	56%	-0.08	66.7	2.94%	0	0.1	67	NAN
4	Aug_29_2012	23.96	24.92	25.78	25.68	25.69	25.73	25.71(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	10	-1	53	0.21	54%	0	64.5	2.96%	0	0.7	75	NAN
5	Aug_28_2012	23.96	24.79	25.66	25.71	25.63	25.8	25.83(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	40	2	55	0.15	54%	-0.04	74.6	3.01%	0	0.9	69	NAN

6	Aug_27_2012	23.97	24.64	25.52	25.75	25.62	25.65	25.78(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10	2	55	0.4	54%	0.08	87.7	3.03%	0	0.9	64	NAN
7	Aug_24_2012	23.95	24.51	25.37	25.77	25.66	25.45	25.63(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-5	55	0.39	54%	-0.08	97.4	3.03%	0	0.9	69	NAN
8	Aug_23_2012	23.97	24.37	25.23	25.85	25.73	25.58	25.46(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-50	-7	67	0.47	54%	-0.08	99.8	3.04%	0	0.8	76	NAN
9	Aug_22_2012	23.99	24.19	25.12	25.89	25.88	25.58	25.85(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-0	9	98	0.29	54%	-0.12	84.1	3.04%	0	1.1	87	NAN
10	Aug_21_2012	24.02	23.91	24.98	25.59	25.78	25.58	26.03(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	50	13	100	0.41	54%	-0.12	65.3	3.04%	0	1.2	71	NAN

11	Aug_20_2012	24.05	23.62	24.84	25.25	25.37	25.88	25.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	150	16	102	0.7	54%	-0.17	51.8	3.04%	0	1.3	70	NAN
12	Aug_17_2012	24.09	23.37	24.66	24.91	25.02	25.69	26.03(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	200	28	101	0.54	55%	-0.12	43	3.05%	0	1.6	69	NAN
13	Aug_16_2012	24.12	23.12	24.37	24.54	24.57	24.85	25.67(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	80	19	84	1.5	55%	-0.12	34.8	3.05%	0	1.6	69	NAN
14	Aug_15_2012	24.15	22.95	23.97	24.25	24.24	24.36	24.38(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	1	67	0.23	51%	-0.25	32.4	2.99%	0	1	71	NAN
15	Aug_14_2012	24.21	22.85	23.83	24.28	24.21	24.29	24.3(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	10	0	92	0.21	50%	-0.25	32.7	3.01%	0	1	77	NAN

16	Aug_13_2012	24.27	22.76	23.69	24.36	24.22	24.13	24.19(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-40	-1	123	0.21	50%	-0.25	35.7	3.03%	0	1	78	NAN
17	Aug_10_2012	24.33	22.66	23.58	24.35	24.35	24.14	24.16(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-60	3	147	0.38	51%	-0.25	35.3	3.04%	0	1.1	69	NAN
18	Aug_9_2012	24.39	22.58	23.46	24.16	24.34	24.31	24.22(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	10	14	160	0.28	49%	-0.29	31.7	3.06%	0	1.3	67	NAN
19	Aug_8_2012	24.46	22.49	23.2	23.63	24.02	24.57	24.52(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	210	19	128	0.18	49%	-0.29	16.3	3.1%	0	1.7	58	NAN
20	Aug_7_2012	24.53	22.4	22.78	23.3	23.35	24.37	24.72(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	310	29	99	0.48	50%	-0.24	1.8	3.1%	0	2	59	NAN

21	Aug_6_2012	24.59	22.28	22.31	22.94	22.89	23.46	24.13(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	170	27	61	0.7	50%	-0.28	-17.3	3.1%	0	1.8	57	NAN
22	Aug_3_2012	24.66	22.2	21.97	22.74	22.63	23.46	23.19(7.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-110	2	30	0.53	48%	-0.32	-33.6	3.06%	0	1	54	NAN
23	Aug_2_2012	24.74	22.18	21.75	22.74	22.65	22.32	21.59(-5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-110	-13	9	0.64	43%	-0.36	-34.6	2.91%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
24	Aug_1_2012	24.83	22.29	21.85	22.68	22.85	22.95	22.88(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	50	20	23	0.47	46%	-0.28	-30.7	2.87%	0	0.6	52	NAN
25	Jul_31_2012	24.9	22.38	21.8	22.13	22.5	22.98	22.91(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	200	30	-6	0.49	46%		-30	2.89%	0	0.5	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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