Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $23.4400 (2.54%) ($22.8800 - $23.5100) on Fri. Jun. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $23.4400(2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(70%)    EEM(68%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(7%)    IGOV(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.74(3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.27(5.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.87(2.49%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.15% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.21%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2012	27.99	22.87	22.27	22.74	22.81	23.14	23.44(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	16	110	28	-19	0.81	45%	-0.29	-60.5	2.06%	0	0.6	48	0
2	Jun_7_2012	28.07	22.94	22.2	22.3	22.54	22.92	22.86(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	150	31	-50	1.17	43%	-0.25	-63.5	2.07%	0	-0.1	49	0
3	Jun_6_2012	28.14	23.02	22.21	22	22.07	22.47	23.07(4.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	140	30	-72	1.74	41%	-0.25	-70.5	2.07%	0	0	48	0
4	Jun_5_2012	28.21	23.14	22.24	21.63	21.7	22.15	22.17(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	150	16	-104	0.8	38%	-0.21	-73	2.07%	0	-0.8	37	0
5	Jun_4_2012	28.27	23.31	22.38	21.6	21.51	21.67	22.16(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	40	4	-118	1.45	38%	-0.25	-70.5	2.07%	0	-0.9	32	0

6	Jun_1_2012	28.34	23.46	22.51	21.75	21.49	21.25	21.23(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-55	-110	-25	-143	0.83	34%	-0.32	-71.4	1.98%	0	-1.6	17	0
7	May_31_2012	28.43	23.65	22.69	22.09	21.91	21.36	21.36(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-200	-32	-148	1.01	34%	-0.28	-72.9	2.01%	0	-1.8	17	0
8	May_30_2012	28.51	23.85	22.88	22.45	22.35	21.73	21.25(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-70	-210	-45	-146	1.41	34%	-0.31	-74.4	2%	0	-2.1	26	0
9	May_29_2012	28.6	24.1	23.12	22.92	22.78	22.46	22(-3.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-60	-120	-35	-136	0.98	36%	-0.24	-67.5	1.98%	0	-1.8	24	0
10	May_25_2012	28.67	24.3	23.34	23.27	23.2	22.98	22.89(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-80	-10	-126	0.27	38%	-0.21	-56.8	1.91%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	May_24_2012	28.73	24.48	23.54	23.38	23.35	23.1	22.93(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-80	-10	-121	0.32	38%	-0.28	-52.3	1.93%	0	-1.3	35	0
12	May_23_2012	28.81	24.64	23.76	23.38	23.46	23.43	23.2(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	0	-4	-117	0.62	38%	-0.24	-50.1	1.93%	0	-1.3	37	0
13	May_22_2012	28.88	24.79	23.9	23.37	23.44	23.61	23.6(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	60	5	-123	0.86	38%	-0.21	-51.4	1.92%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	May_21_2012	28.94	24.9	24.09	23.35	23.37	23.5	23.73(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	40	1	-133	0.81	38%	-0.24	-57.9	1.92%	0	-1.1	33	0
15	May_18_2012	29.01	24.98	24.29	23.45	23.43	23.26	23.44(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-50	-16	-138	0.67	38%	-0.24	-61.5	1.92%	0	-1.5	32	0

16	May_17_2012	29.08	25.1	24.46	23.74	23.63	23.25	22.9(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64	-130	-37	-144	1.05	36%	-0.21	-60.4	1.9%	0	-2.3	25	0
17	May_16_2012	29.14	25.23	24.68	24.22	24.09	23.6	23.16(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-54	-160	-31	-123	1.54	36%	-0.24	-64.9	1.9%	0	-2.5	29	0
18	May_15_2012	29.21	25.37	24.9	24.51	24.58	24	23.52(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-57	-160	-36	-119	1.47	36%	-0.2	-70.6	1.9%	0	-2.5	30	0
19	May_14_2012	29.27	25.54	25.17	24.93	24.77	24.58	24.22(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-47	-70	-33	-87	0.69	37%	-0.24	-65.4	1.88%	0	-2.1	40	0
20	May_11_2012	29.34	25.63	25.35	25.24	25.09	25.15	24.91(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-0	0	-45	0.7	39%	-0.17	-66	1.85%	0	-1.3	50	0

21	May_10_2012	29.39	25.7	25.5	25.28	25.27	24.96	25.31(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-90	2	-35	0.71	37%	-0.17	-66.7	1.85%	0	-0.6	47	0
22	May_9_2012	29.44	25.79	25.58	25.22	25.21	25.03	24.58(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-50	-23	-39	1.08	35%	-0.2	-68	1.83%	0	-1.8	47	0
23	May_8_2012	29.5	25.91	25.58	25.34	25.36	25.59	25.63(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	70	3	-16	0.41	37%	-0.17	-78.9	1.77%	0	-0.5	49	0
24	May_7_2012	29.55	25.95	25.76	25.45	25.24	25.4	25.79(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	20	3	-21	1.02	37%	-0.17	-91.5	1.78%	0	-0.3	42	0
25	May_4_2012	29.6	26	25.71	25.5	25.38	25.14	25.1(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-80	-14	-36	0.74	34%		-104	1.73%	0	-1.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.