Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $25.2100 (-2.4%) ($25.1100 - $25.5100) on Thu. Apr. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $25.2100(-2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(83%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(68%)    IWM(65%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(8%)    IGOV(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.66(-37.88%)
Resistance Level   $27.8
5 Day Moving Average   $26(-3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.46(-4.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.8(-9.32%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 5.72% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.53%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.04%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 6.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 8.56%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2012	30.37	27.8	26.46	26	25.96	25.58	25.21(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-110	-42	-193	1.07	29%	-0.26	-74.5	1.65%	0	-1.6	26	0
2	Apr_18_2012	30.45	28.08	26.71	26.39	26.23	26.2	25.83(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-30	-22	-174	0.67	31%	-0.2	-68.2	1.66%	0	-1.4	28	0
3	Apr_17_2012	30.51	28.35	26.96	26.66	26.51	26.35	26.74(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-39	-60	4	-167	0.22	33%	-0.13	-61.4	1.62%	0	-1	28	0
4	Apr_16_2012	30.55	28.57	27.21	26.57	26.66	26.26	26.1(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-90	-23	-196	0.36	29%	-0.13	-56.6	1.6%	0	-1.5	20	0
5	Apr_13_2012	30.59	28.81	27.52	26.75	26.78	26.67	26.14(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-68	-30	-26	-195	0.33	29%	-0.13	-53.9	1.61%	0	-1.6	21	0

6	Apr_12_2012	30.63	29.04	27.81	26.98	26.94	27.07	27.16(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-47	30	1	-192	0.35	32%	-0.1	-53.4	1.55%	0	-1.2	24	0
7	Apr_11_2012	30.66	29.2	27.99	27.07	26.99	26.89	27.14(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-62	-30	-12	-212	0.42	32%	-0.13	-52.2	1.56%	0	-1.4	22	0
8	Apr_10_2012	30.7	29.37	28.24	27.32	27.13	26.81	26.32(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-96	-100	-49	-238	0.75	25%	-0.16	-47.4	1.5%	0	-2.1	10	0
9	Apr_9_2012	30.75	29.56	28.63	27.95	27.64	27.08	26.99(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-84	-180	-44	-204	0.75	27%	-0.19	-45.9	1.51%	0	-2.1	10	0
10	Apr_5_2012	30.81	29.72	28.96	28.41	28.18	27.45	27.29(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-83	-210	-50	-183	0.26	24%	-0.16	-47.3	1.51%	0	-2.3	21	0

11	Apr_4_2012	30.86	29.89	29.26	28.75	28.69	28.19	27.63(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-130	-40	-155	0.63	24%	-0.16	-51.7	1.57%	0	-2.5	26	0
12	Apr_3_2012	30.91	30	29.58	29.02	28.96	28.9	28.38(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-20	-23	-127	0.41	26%	-0.13	-61.2	1.56%	0	-2.2	34	0
13	Apr_2_2012	30.95	30.06	29.86	29.28	29.11	29.18	29.46(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-0	-5	-97	0.1	30%	-0.13	-72.6	1.52%	0	-0.9	39	0
14	Mar_30_2012	30.99	30.13	30.05	29.44	29.29	29.02	29.3(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-80	-13	-71	0.07	30%	-0.13	-69.4	1.53%	0	-1.2	49	0
15	Mar_29_2012	31.03	30.23	30.2	29.61	29.53	29.04	28.96(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-120	-35	-59	0.12	30%	-0.1	-64.3	1.52%	0	-1.8	43	0

16	Mar_28_2012	31.06	30.35	30.37	29.87	29.83	29.57	29(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-70	-33	-39	0.27	30%	-0.19	-58.5	1.56%	0	-2	39	0
17	Mar_27_2012	31.12	30.47	30.51	30.21	30.07	30.01	29.69(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-30	-21	-2	0.07	34%	-0.13	-49.3	1.58%	0	-1.2	54	0
18	Mar_26_2012	31.16	30.56	30.6	30.53	30.34	30.1	30.24(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-70	-15	36	0.11	37%	-0.13	-36.6	1.56%	0	-0.5	60	0
19	Mar_23_2012	31.2	30.63	30.56	30.75	30.58	30.14	30.16(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-120	-24	35	0.08	37%	-0.16	-27	1.57%	0	-0.7	45	0
20	Mar_22_2012	31.25	30.7	30.55	30.88	30.86	30.57	30.25(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-70	-18	33	0.41	37%	-0.1	-20.4	1.57%	0	-0.7	43	0

21	Mar_21_2012	31.28	30.75	30.57	30.93	30.97	31.02	30.73(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	20	2	34	0.12	37%	-0.1	-17.5	1.57%	0	-0	44	0
22	Mar_20_2012	31.31	30.79	30.46	30.84	30.83	31.15	31.26(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	70	17	15	0.06	40%	-0.13	-22.4	1.57%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Mar_19_2012	31.35	30.79	30.27	30.68	30.63	30.93	31.37(1.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	20	60	32	-15	0.07	40%	-0.19	-30.4	1.6%	0	0.8	46	0
24	Mar_16_2012	31.41	30.81	30.21	30.35	30.38	30.5	30.77(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	30	17	-52	0.03	33%	-0.25	-45.3	1.58%	0	-0.1	43	0
25	Mar_15_2012	31.49	30.84	30.23	30.18	30.13	30.33	30.54(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	40	6	-75	0.08	33%		-59.8	1.57%	0	-0.4	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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