Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $29.7100 (1.12%) ($29.4400 - $29.9700) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $29.7100(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(83%)    SPY(69%)    EEM(68%)    IWM(65%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(9%)    IGOV(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.28(-14.91%)
Resistance Level   $29.96
5 Day Moving Average   $29.21(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.65(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.96(-0.83%)
To recent high   -21.8%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.7%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.73%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2012	32.52	29.96	29.65	29.21	29.34	29.51	29.71(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	50	8	-26	0.38	37%	-0.18	-116.1	2.72%	0	-0.4	51	0
2	Jan_11_2012	32.58	30.02	29.62	29.09	29.12	29.39	29.38(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	70	0	-39	0.03	37%	-0.15	-137.9	2.73%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	Jan_10_2012	32.63	30.15	29.7	29.27	29.08	29.17	29.53(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	0	-3	-39	0.05	40%	-0.15	-138.4	2.73%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Jan_9_2012	32.68	30.33	29.77	29.55	29.25	28.84	28.79(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-130	-15	-36	0.05	40%	-0.12	-109	2.75%	0	-1.9	36	0
5	Jan_6_2012	32.72	30.51	29.92	29.84	29.76	28.99	28.62(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-190	-23	-31	0.11	40%	-0.18	-81	2.75%	0	-1.9	34	0

6	Jan_5_2012	32.78	30.76	30.05	30.15	30.08	29.66	29.15(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-100	-18	-23	0.09	40%	-0.18	-70.4	2.77%	0	-1.6	39	0
7	Jan_4_2012	32.84	30.99	30.16	30.19	30.22	30.53	30.24(-2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	70	2	-20	0.06	46%	-0.15	-50.9	2.74%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	Jan_3_2012	32.89	31.14	30.21	30.18	30.11	30.5	30.93(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	80	16	-22	0.09	43%	-0.24	-37.1	2.77%	0	-0.2	38	0
9	Dec_30_2011	32.97	31.24	30.18	30.05	29.93	29.92	30.27(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10	4	-48	0.24	43%	-0.09	-26	2.81%	0	-0.7	25	0
10	Dec_29_2011	33	31.35	30.23	30.04	29.95	29.71	30.16(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-70	-3	-62	0.33	46%	-0.06	-17.4	2.83%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Dec_28_2011	33.02	31.49	30.28	29.95	30.02	29.94	29.35(-2.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10	-8	-86	0.05	46%	-0.18	-12.9	2.84%	0	-1.5	22	0
12	Dec_27_2011	33.08	31.59	30.44	30.11	30.01	30.2	30.2(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-24	30	-0	-96	0.04	46%	-0.18	-11.5	2.83%	0	-1	24	0
13	Dec_23_2011	33.14	31.64	30.61	30.24	29.93	30.1	30.29(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	10	0	-100	0.08	48%	-0.09	-12.2	2.86%	0	-1	28	0
14	Dec_22_2011	33.17	31.64	30.9	30.34	30.16	29.83	30.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-90	-4	-96	0.1	46%	-0.21	-17.5	2.88%	0	-1	34	0
15	Dec_21_2011	33.24	31.61	31.13	30.46	30.36	29.77	29.72(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-150	-20	-100	0.11	44%	-0.18	-21.6	2.9%	0	-1.3	33	0

16	Dec_20_2011	33.3	31.67	31.52	30.65	30.7	30.49	30.14(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-40	-14	-86	0.26	44%	-0.24	-23.5	2.93%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Dec_19_2011	33.38	31.74	31.89	30.81	30.94	30.96	30.86(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	20	-5	-63	0.04	44%	-0.24	-25	2.92%	0	-0.7	53	0
18	Dec_16_2011	33.46	31.81	32.15	31.05	31.01	30.9	30.77(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-30	-15	-46	0.07	44%	-0.24	-25.7	2.93%	0	-0.8	52	0
19	Dec_15_2011	33.54	31.86	32.37	31.58	31.35	30.92	30.81(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-120	-16	-8	0.06	47%	-0.21	-18.5	2.93%	0	-0.8	62	0
20	Dec_14_2011	33.61	31.91	32.57	31.92	31.9	31.12	30.68(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-17	-170	-28	15	0.06	47%	-0.3	-12.3	2.98%	0	-1	59	0

21	Dec_13_2011	33.71	32	32.81	32.52	32.4	31.77	30.94(-3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-12	-150	-32	48	0.08	47%	-0.27	-7.2	3%	0	-0.9	54	0
22	Dec_12_2011	33.8	32.08	32.86	33.1	32.9	32.68	32.03(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-60	-16	76	0.12	49%	-0.27	0.3	2.98%	0	-0	55	0
23	Dec_9_2011	33.89	32.15	32.79	33.4	33.3	33.03	33.43(2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-70	-1	90	0.33	48%	-0.24	6.6	2.94%	0	1	56	0
24	Dec_8_2011	33.97	32.1	32.4	33.29	33.42	33.12	32.51(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-50	-9	70	0.12	48%	-0.18	-3.9	3.01%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Dec_7_2011	34.03	32.07	32.15	33.31	33.5	33.56	33.7(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	30	3	65	0.36	50%		-9.3	2.99%	0	1.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.