Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $37.2600 (-1.92%) ($36.9800 - $37.3700) on Fri. Oct. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.4% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $37.2600(-1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.7% (StdDev 3.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.22(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.53(4.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.77(7.16%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 3.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.22%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.02%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.68%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.12%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2011	36.07	34.77	35.53	36.22	36.31	37.4	37.26(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	220	25	38	0.15	49%	-0.14	60.2	3.4%	0	1.6	63	NAN
2	Oct_27_2011	36.12	34.53	35.35	35.79	35.83	36.47	37.99(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	130	37	42	0.39	47%	-0.08	61.1	3.39%	0	2.3	71	NAN
3	Oct_26_2011	36.15	34.28	35.35	35.04	35.19	35.21	35.32(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	20	6	16	0.11	43%	-0.22	63.7	3.3%	0	0.8	62	NAN
4	Oct_25_2011	36.23	34.12	35.35	34.86	34.89	35.19	34.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	60	0	22	0.29	43%	-0.19	63.6	3.29%	0	0.6	66	NAN
5	Oct_24_2011	36.3	34.01	35.06	34.93	34.8	35.16	35.6(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	60	13	43	0.13	43%	-0.19	65.5	3.3%	0	1.1	73	NAN

6	Oct_21_2011	36.37	33.84	34.97	34.73	34.8	34.59	35.15(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	13	-20	0	51	0.22	45%	-0.22	58.2	3.29%	0	0.9	77	NAN
7	Oct_20_2011	36.45	33.63	34.82	34.85	34.69	34.43	34.2(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-70	-13	57	0.28	46%	-0.19	49.2	3.32%	0	0.4	62	NAN
8	Oct_19_2011	36.52	33.44	34.79	35.08	35.07	34.79	34.42(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-60	-7	70	0.35	46%	-0.25	42.9	3.35%	0	0.6	56	NAN
9	Oct_18_2011	36.61	33.28	34.64	35.28	35.16	34.95	35.27(1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-50	-6	81	0.34	46%	-0.05	44.4	3.34%	0	1.2	65	NAN
10	Oct_17_2011	36.63	33.13	34.35	35.2	35.3	35.34	34.6(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	20	0	81	0.06	46%	-0.19	48.8	3.33%	0	0.9	59	NAN

11	Oct_14_2011	36.7	33.01	34.01	35.23	35.16	35.38	35.74(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	40	12	85	0.06	46%	-0.16	57	3.31%	0	1.8	68	NAN
12	Oct_13_2011	36.76	32.86	33.66	34.79	34.87	35.26	35.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	90	14	81	0.09	46%	-0.16	62	3.31%	0	1.8	71	NAN
13	Oct_12_2011	36.82	32.75	33.44	34.45	34.53	34.95	35.42(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	90	22	92	0.12	46%	-0.14	62.8	3.32%	0	2	74	NAN
14	Oct_11_2011	36.87	32.57	33.1	33.91	33.95	34.48	34.86(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	110	20	81	0.92	44%	-0.16	51.9	3.31%	0	1.9	65	NAN
15	Oct_10_2011	36.93	32.37	32.86	33.37	33.41	34.11	34.75(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	150	31	72	0.2	44%	-0.16	34.9	3.37%	0	2.1	58	NAN

16	Oct_7_2011	36.99	32.15	32.58	32.61	32.63	33.42	33.55(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	170	20	43	0.14	42%	-0.27	2.4	3.36%	0	1.3	55	NAN
17	Oct_6_2011	37.09	32.01	32.32	32.37	32.05	32.71	33.67(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	110	15	22	0.22	41%	-0.22	-22.8	3.36%	0	1.6	51	NAN
18	Oct_5_2011	37.17	31.94	31.97	32.29	31.92	31.85	32.71(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-50	7	1	0.29	40%	-0.27	-40.7	3.35%	0	0.8	47	NAN
19	Oct_4_2011	37.27	31.96	31.97	32.18	32.16	31.4	32.18(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-170	-13	-16	0.4	40%	-0.27	-52.3	3.35%	0	0.2	51	NAN
20	Oct_3_2011	37.37	31.97	31.81	32.28	32.47	31.99	30.94(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-90	-21	-10	0.08	38%	-0.29	-60.3	3.33%	0	-1	52	NAN

21	Sep_30_2011	37.48	32.12	31.95	32.5	32.84	32.92	32.33(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	50	7	19	0.06	41%	-0.27	-52.6	3.3%	0	0.2	61	NAN
22	Sep_29_2011	37.58	32.24	32.03	32.23	32.59	32.96	33.27(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	110	22	29	0.1	42%	-0.27	-46.8	3.31%	0	0.8	62	NAN
23	Sep_28_2011	37.68	32.35	32	31.59	31.89	32.76	32.16(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	220	18	11	0.11	40%	-0.29	-49	3.29%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
24	Sep_27_2011	37.79	32.47	31.99	31.38	31.26	32.21	32.72(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	200	22	0	0.12	40%	-0.26	-49.8	3.29%	0	0.2	47	NAN
25	Sep_26_2011	37.89	32.58	31.83	31.3	30.96	31.02	32.03(3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	8	-16	0.11	40%		-44.9	3.29%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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