Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $35.2500 (-2.46%) ($34.9400 - $36.1700) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $35.2500(-2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.87(-37.96%)
Resistance Level   $36.72
5 Day Moving Average   $34.4(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.67(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.72(-4%)
To recent high   -18.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 6.97% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.64%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.02%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2011	40.92	36.72	34.67	34.4	34.71	35.6	35.25(-2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	210	14	-83	0.3	40%	-0.17	-35	3.09%	0	-0.6	43	0
2	Aug_15_2011	40.99	36.86	34.73	34.3	34.04	35.28	36.14(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	230	39	-96	0.19	40%	-0.15	-36.3	3.08%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Aug_12_2011	41.05	36.92	34.83	33.71	33.59	33.82	34.86(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	40	14	-135	0.61	37%	-0.22	-43.6	3.06%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Aug_11_2011	41.14	37.08	35.18	33.96	33.39	32.8	33.73(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-170	-16	-153	0.28	35%	-0.19	-45.9	3.03%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Aug_10_2011	41.22	37.3	35.64	33.99	34.04	33.37	32.03(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-69	-130	-34	-175	0.51	32%	-0.27	-54.5	2.95%	0	-2.2	27	0

6	Aug_9_2011	41.33	37.64	36.31	34.94	34.55	33.98	34.76(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-150	-26	-157	0.44	34%	-0.19	-57.3	2.8%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Aug_8_2011	41.41	37.8	36.83	35.21	35.25	34.7	33.17(-8.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-110	-33	-147	0.54	31%	-0.19	-66.7	2.72%	0	-2.4	39	0
8	Aug_5_2011	41.49	38.06	37.52	36.09	35.92	35.13	36.09(6.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-53	-170	-32	-115	2.03	32%	-0.1	-77.4	2.55%	0	-1.2	48	0
9	Aug_4_2011	41.53	38.25	37.98	36.62	36.57	35.8	33.88(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-150	-52	-95	0.77	28%	-0.14	-73.6	2.42%	0	-2.6	39	0
10	Aug_3_2011	41.59	38.63	38.71	37.54	37.59	36.71	36.8(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-160	-29	-39	1.32	30%	-0.1	-69.3	2.23%	0	-1.3	47	0

11	Aug_2_2011	41.63	38.84	38.98	37.89	38.06	37.34	36.11(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-120	-53	-29	0.31	30%	-0.12	-58.1	2.21%	0	-1.8	42	0
12	Aug_1_2011	41.68	39.13	39.21	38.7	38.66	38.48	37.59(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-15	-40	-25	16	0.29	32%	-0.07	-41	2.17%	0	-1.1	53	0
13	Jul_29_2011	41.71	39.38	39.22	39.16	39.17	38.78	38.71(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-70	-15	37	0.17	33%	-0.02	-18.5	2.16%	0	-0.4	57	0
14	Jul_28_2011	41.72	39.55	39.15	39.58	39.45	38.83	38.51(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-120	-35	33	0.16	33%	-0.07	-5.2	2.16%	0	-0.6	44	0
15	Jul_27_2011	41.75	39.67	39.11	40.07	39.99	39.55	38.55(-3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-80	-21	37	0.42	35%	-0.07	3.1	2.16%	0	-0.7	38	0

16	Jul_26_2011	41.78	39.75	39.09	40.22	40.42	40.06	40.13(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-50	6	38	0.53	37%	-0.02	0.2	2.14%	0	0.2	45	0
17	Jul_25_2011	41.79	39.72	38.84	39.78	40.14	40.43	39.88(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	80	12	-5	0.39	37%	-0.02	-11	2.14%	0	0.1	39	0
18	Jul_22_2011	41.8	39.68	38.63	39.27	39.59	40.78	40.85(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	27	230	50	-43	0.26	38%	-0.02	-25.7	2.12%	0	0.7	38	0
19	Jul_21_2011	41.81	39.63	38.5	38.65	38.69	39.86	40.95(4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	25	210	59	-79	1.17	38%	-0.02	-35.3	2.14%	0	0.8	43	0
20	Jul_20_2011	41.82	39.61	38.47	38.04	37.99	38.4	39.28(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	70	29	-118	1.06	36%	-0.05	-43.2	2.07%	0	-0.2	43	0

21	Jul_19_2011	41.84	39.75	38.61	37.84	37.8	37.52	37.92(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-60	-2	-138	0.5	33%	-0.1	-43.9	2.04%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Jul_18_2011	41.88	39.91	38.98	37.78	37.92	37.58	37.36(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-50	-16	-133	1.14	32%	-0.12	-46.3	2.03%	0	-1.5	42	0
23	Jul_15_2011	41.93	40.11	39.52	37.87	38.03	38.08	37.76(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	20	-16	-105	0.26	32%	-0.07	-46.1	2.06%	0	-1.5	48	0
24	Jul_14_2011	41.96	40.23	39.95	38.3	38.06	38.27	37.9(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	20	-16	-77	0.65	32%	-0.07	-48.5	2.06%	0	-1.5	43	0
25	Jul_13_2011	41.99	40.34	40.27	38.97	38.5	37.97	38.27(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-130	-22	-52	0.21	32%		-44.9	2.06%	0	-1.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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