Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $41.5400 (2.32%) ($41.1900 - $41.6400) on Fri. Jan. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $41.5400(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.15(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.13(8.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.2(11.67%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.19%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.52%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2011	39.5	37.2	38.13	40.15	40.33	40.88	41.54(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	79	110	43	186	1.29	48%	0.05	39.5	2.11%	0	2.1	71	0
2	Jan_20_2011	39.48	36.95	37.47	39.53	39.66	40.1	40.6(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	90	30	149	0.65	48%	0.08	34.1	2.1%	0	2	71	0
3	Jan_19_2011	39.45	36.75	36.98	38.85	39.23	39.78	39.8(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	130	52	128	0.71	46%	0.08	21.8	2.1%	0	1.9	67	0
4	Jan_18_2011	39.42	36.61	36.62	37.8	38.41	39.21	39.77(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	190	59	88	0.46	46%	0.15	-1	2.12%	0	2.3	69	0
5	Jan_14_2011	39.36	36.47	36.26	36.7	37.11	38.67	39.03(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	61	330	66	45	1.54	46%	0.08	-31.3	2.09%	0	2.2	65	0

6	Jan_13_2011	39.33	36.4	35.99	35.8	35.95	37.61	38.44(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	65	340	83	12	0.64	46%	0.05	-58.9	2.08%	0	1.9	58	0
7	Jan_12_2011	39.31	36.35	35.75	35.12	34.94	35.56	37.2(7.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	22	110	42	-40	1.24	44%	0.03	-82	2.05%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Jan_11_2011	39.3	36.41	35.65	34.89	34.61	34.29	34.57(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-90	-18	-90	0.19	35%	-0.08	-75.5	1.8%	0	-1.6	23	0
9	Jan_10_2011	39.33	36.63	35.81	35.27	34.93	34.31	34.28(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-150	-42	-93	0.35	35%	-0.05	-61.2	1.8%	0	-2	16	0
10	Jan_7_2011	39.35	36.85	36.02	35.72	35.56	34.94	34.49(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-50	-140	-40	-80	0.43	35%	-0.08	-54.6	1.8%	0	-2.1	18	0

11	Jan_6_2011	39.38	37.06	36.26	36.17	36.09	35.55	35.05(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-40	-110	-31	-66	0.7	35%	-0.1	-44.1	1.79%	0	-1.9	18	0
12	Jan_5_2011	39.42	37.23	36.46	36.43	36.4	36.18	36.04(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-40	-18	-56	0.77	43%	-0.05	-33.7	1.77%	0	-1.3	28	0
13	Jan_4_2011	39.44	37.31	36.55	36.51	36.57	36.64	36.49(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	3	-56	0.33	43%	-0.03	-18.9	1.87%	0	-0.9	23	0
14	Jan_3_2011	39.45	37.37	36.65	36.44	36.51	36.63	36.55(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	7	-69	0.25	43%	-0.03	-9.7	1.88%	0	-0.9	23	0
15	Dec_31_2010	39.46	37.47	36.73	36.38	36.38	36.51	36.74(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	30	5	-82	0.22	43%	-0.05	0	1.89%	0	-0.8	29	0

16	Dec_30_2010	39.48	37.53	36.85	36.37	36.25	36.4	36.34(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-24	20	-1	-91	0.12	43%	-0.05	1.7	1.89%	0	-1.4	23	0
17	Dec_29_2010	39.5	37.56	36.99	36.5	36.32	36.26	36.45(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-30	-1	-92	0.47	43%	-0.13	3.1	1.89%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Dec_28_2010	39.55	37.48	37.21	36.61	36.46	36.11	36.1(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-80	-19	-86	0.09	43%	-0.13	-12.7	1.88%	0	-1.3	40	0
19	Dec_27_2010	39.6	37.46	37.49	36.89	36.69	36.37	36.26(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-80	-24	-66	0.26	43%	-0.18	-25.2	1.89%	0	-1.1	39	0
20	Dec_23_2010	39.67	37.47	37.73	37.12	37.06	36.81	36.69(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-50	-16	-51	0.16	47%	-0.13	-34.9	1.97%	0	-0.7	35	0

21	Dec_22_2010	39.72	37.51	37.93	37.4	37.25	37.02	36.98(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-60	-15	-33	0.22	47%	-0.1	-36.5	1.98%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Dec_21_2010	39.76	37.53	38.08	37.56	37.47	37.31	37.01(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-40	-17	-15	1.36	47%	-0.13	-40.6	1.98%	0	-0.5	56	0
23	Dec_20_2010	39.81	37.62	38.15	37.91	37.72	37.47	37.5(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-60	-16	22	0.15	47%	-0.05	-35.6	1.98%	0	-0.1	71	0
24	Dec_17_2010	39.83	37.74	38.17	38.19	38.04	37.62	37.44(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-90	-21	52	0.56	47%	-0.05	-25	1.99%	0	-0.2	65	0
25	Dec_16_2010	39.85	37.87	38.28	38.43	38.42	37.96	38.05(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-80	-17	82	0.49	47%		-17.8	2%	0	0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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