Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $40.5600 (-1.96%) ($40.5200 - $40.8900) on Mon. Sep. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $40.5600(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.47(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.27(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.32(3.15%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.18%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.52%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.54%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2010	36.74	39.32	40.27	40.47	40.48	40.89	40.56(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	70	13	64	0.16	71%	0.19	79.2	2.33%	0	1	70	0
2	Sep_24_2010	36.67	39.16	40.17	40.41	40.45	40.38	41.37(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10	19	69	0.11	71%	0.22	77.8	2.32%	0	1.7	62	0
3	Sep_23_2010	36.59	38.9	39.91	40.03	40.45	40.06	39.58(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-13	44	0.55	68%	0.11	62.5	2.29%	0	0.5	56	0
4	Sep_22_2010	36.55	38.74	39.83	40.17	40.14	40.52	40.31(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	60	8	60	0.7	68%	0.11	54	2.3%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Sep_21_2010	36.51	38.54	39.62	40.12	40.08	40.23	40.53(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	14	70	0.27	68%	0.03	46.6	2.31%	0	1.3	74	0

6	Sep_20_2010	36.5	38.36	39.36	40.03	39.92	39.76	40.24(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-40	-1	72	0.13	68%	0	44.5	2.31%	0	1.3	75	0
7	Sep_17_2010	36.5	38.18	39.24	39.91	39.91	39.94	39.5(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	10	1	82	0.18	68%	0	40.9	2.31%	0	0.9	65	0
8	Sep_16_2010	36.5	38.08	39.18	39.75	39.87	40.09	40.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	17	102	0.07	68%	0.05	36.9	2.3%	0	1.6	75	0
9	Sep_15_2010	36.48	37.97	38.99	39.42	39.51	39.88	40.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	70	16	105	0.14	72%	0.03	32.2	2.31%	0	1.7	74	0
10	Sep_14_2010	36.47	37.86	38.67	39.05	39.25	39.66	40.11(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	90	26	97	0.26	72%	-0.03	15	2.4%	0	1.9	73	0

11	Sep_13_2010	36.48	37.73	38.3	38.59	38.86	39.14	39.6(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	70	13	73	0.16	72%	-0.08	-11	2.4%	0	1.8	64	0
12	Sep_10_2010	36.51	37.62	38.05	38.5	38.51	38.83	38.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	3	69	0.27	77%	-0.08	-32.4	2.43%	0	1.2	62	0
13	Sep_9_2010	36.54	37.59	37.8	38.53	38.6	38.58	38.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	0	9	62	0.86	77%	-0.11	-48.3	2.59%	0	1.1	55	0
14	Sep_8_2010	36.58	37.57	37.56	38.49	38.57	38.19	38.2(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-60	-3	44	1.8	77%	-0.14	-65	2.59%	0	0.7	48	0
15	Sep_7_2010	36.63	37.69	37.38	38.21	38.55	38.63	37.85(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	40	4	27	0.98	77%	-0.35	-59.4	2.6%	0	0.1	48	0

16	Sep_3_2010	36.76	37.84	37.29	37.92	38.2	38.95	39.14(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	160	24	20	0.24	73%	-0.16	-49.4	2.7%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Sep_2_2010	36.82	37.93	37.03	37.52	37.57	38.47	38.86(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	170	35	7	0.38	74%	-0.16	-47.7	2.72%	0	0.5	56	0
18	Sep_1_2010	36.88	38.03	36.88	36.98	37.11	37.45	38.39(4.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	70	28	-17	0.55	71%	-0.19	-49.4	2.75%	0	0.2	49	0
19	Aug_31_2010	36.95	38.16	36.85	36.53	36.63	36.67	36.81(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	2	-43	0.76	69%	-0.22	-49.4	2.74%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Aug_30_2010	37.03	38.39	36.97	36.43	36.43	36.77	36.39(-2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	70	2	-61	0.15	69%	-0.19	-46.5	2.76%	0	-1	22	0

21	Aug_27_2010	37.1	38.64	37.11	36.55	36.34	36.59	37.17(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	10	-73	0.54	72%	-0.16	-42.7	2.74%	0	-0.7	23	0
22	Aug_26_2010	37.16	38.76	37.15	36.47	36.4	36.08	36.13(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-70	-7	-98	1.09	67%	-0.16	-43.5	2.86%	0	-1.3	15	0
23	Aug_25_2010	37.22	38.96	37.36	36.76	36.52	36.09	36.14(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-100	-25	-111	0.61	67%	-0.19	-37.9	2.93%	0	-1.5	15	0
24	Aug_24_2010	37.29	39.16	37.59	37.21	37.06	36.72	36.31(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-80	-16	-109	1.46	62%	-0.19	-26.1	2.93%	0	-1.6	16	0
25	Aug_23_2010	37.36	39.36	38.04	37.58	37.58	36.95	36.99(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-120	-13	-100	0.3	62%		-16.4	2.99%	0	-1.5	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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