Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $37.1700 (2.88%) ($36.1900 - $37.3100) on Fri. Aug. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.74% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $37.1700(2.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.37% (StdDev 2.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.59(-25.77%)
Resistance Level   $38.64
5 Day Moving Average   $36.55(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.11(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.64(-3.8%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 2.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.97%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 19.61%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.22%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2010	37.1	38.64	37.11	36.55	36.34	36.59	37.17(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	10	-73	0.54	72%	-0.16	-42.7	2.74%	0	-0.7	23	0
2	Aug_26_2010	37.16	38.76	37.15	36.47	36.4	36.08	36.13(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-70	-7	-98	1.09	67%	-0.16	-43.5	2.86%	0	-1.3	15	0
3	Aug_25_2010	37.22	38.96	37.36	36.76	36.52	36.09	36.14(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-100	-25	-111	0.61	67%	-0.19	-37.9	2.93%	0	-1.5	15	0
4	Aug_24_2010	37.29	39.16	37.59	37.21	37.06	36.72	36.31(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-80	-16	-109	1.46	62%	-0.19	-26.1	2.93%	0	-1.6	16	0
5	Aug_23_2010	37.36	39.36	38.04	37.58	37.58	36.95	36.99(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-120	-13	-100	0.3	62%	-0.03	-16.4	2.99%	0	-1.5	17	0

6	Aug_20_2010	37.37	39.5	38.46	37.74	37.84	37.4	36.8(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-38	-70	-18	-96	0.33	62%	-0.16	-8.8	3.07%	0	-1.8	19	0
7	Aug_19_2010	37.43	39.63	38.91	37.9	38.05	38.2	37.58(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	40	-3	-78	0.49	62%	-0.13	0	3.09%	0	-1.4	42	0
8	Aug_18_2010	37.48	39.68	39.29	37.9	37.99	38.28	38.39(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	50	7	-66	0.36	62%	-0.11	2.9	3.09%	0	-0.9	42	0
9	Aug_17_2010	37.52	39.62	39.57	38.03	37.91	37.9	38.13(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10	-8	-66	0.41	62%	-0.13	-0.3	3.1%	0	-1	43	0
10	Aug_16_2010	37.57	39.62	39.92	38.61	38.06	37.7	37.79(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-110	-23	-52	0.27	62%	-0.13	10.9	3.1%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Aug_13_2010	37.62	39.62	40.29	39.33	38.86	37.91	37.62(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-210	-28	-27	0.64	57%	-0.11	25.1	3.19%	0	-1.2	43	0
12	Aug_12_2010	37.66	39.63	40.52	40.07	39.75	38.42	38.22(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-260	-38	-10	0.7	57%	-0.11	38.1	3.21%	0	-0.9	50	0
13	Aug_11_2010	37.7	39.64	40.73	40.71	40.48	39.81	38.41(-6.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-22	-130	-34	16	0.84	55%	-0.11	51.5	3.21%	0	-0.8	55	0
14	Aug_10_2010	37.74	39.62	40.91	41.3	41.09	41.07	41(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-4	59	0.63	63%	-0.03	64.2	3.15%	0	0.8	81	0
15	Aug_9_2010	37.75	39.46	40.83	41.43	41.21	41.15	41.42(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-30	1	66	0.31	63%	-0.05	73.2	3.61%	0	1.2	69	0

16	Aug_6_2010	37.77	39.23	40.64	41.41	41.23	41.1	41.3(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-40	2	76	0.69	60%	-0.05	85.5	3.61%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Aug_5_2010	37.79	39.04	40.41	41.04	41.25	41.27	41.43(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	6	76	0.47	58%	-0.08	94.6	3.72%	0	1.5	73	0
18	Aug_4_2010	37.82	38.83	40.11	40.77	40.77	41.36	41.35(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	100	8	73	0.5	55%	-0.08	111.8	3.75%	0	1.6	64	0
19	Aug_3_2010	37.85	38.61	39.65	40.45	40.5	41.23	41.63(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	130	21	66	0.79	55%	-0.03	116.6	3.86%	0	1.9	66	0
20	Aug_2_2010	37.86	38.26	39.28	40.15	40.11	40.18	41.33(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	10	12	58	1.01	55%	-0.08	125.8	3.86%	0	2	66	0

21	Jul_30_2010	37.89	37.87	38.88	39.78	39.85	39.77	39.47(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10	-2	48	0.48	53%	-0.11	106.4	3.85%	0	1	64	0
22	Jul_29_2010	37.93	37.58	38.64	39.67	39.8	40.05	40.06(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	50	10	50	0.63	55%	-0.08	93	3.84%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Jul_28_2010	37.96	37.18	38.44	39.33	39.35	39.93	39.77(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	100	17	48	0.25	55%	-0.11	70.8	3.86%	0	1.2	62	0
24	Jul_27_2010	38	36.79	38.23	38.69	38.93	39.54	40.11(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	130	21	39	1.02	52%	-0.08	49.8	3.87%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Jul_26_2010	38.03	36.47	37.97	38.27	38.19	38.77	39.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	100	14	38	0.79	52%		41.6	3.94%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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