Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $43.4900 (0.07%) ($43.0400 - $43.4900) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $43.4900(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    EEM(71%)    SPY(71%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.39(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.34(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.55(4.67%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.98% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.35%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.38%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	47.23	41.55	42.34	43.39	43.29	43.34	43.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	0	13	118	0.28	37%	-0.17	64.4	1.96%	0	1.6	63	NAN
2	Mar_10_2010	47.31	41.43	41.99	43.1	43.21	43.13	43.46(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10	10	96	0.27	37%	-0.19	53.6	1.96%	0	1.8	64	NAN
3	Mar_9_2010	47.4	41.31	41.64	42.76	42.9	43.23	43(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	60	13	78	0.2	37%	-0.19	35	1.95%	0	1.6	64	NAN
4	Mar_8_2010	47.49	41.13	41.33	42.35	42.59	43.29	43.5(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	130	43	65	0.1	36%	-0.15	4.7	1.96%	0	2.3	65	NAN
5	Mar_5_2010	47.56	40.94	41.07	41.76	41.91	42.58	43.49(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	120	43	48	0.11	36%	-0.19	-28	1.96%	0	2.8	71	NAN

6	Mar_4_2010	47.65	40.77	40.84	41.16	41.26	41.88	42.05(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	110	36	25	0.13	31%	-0.21	-79.1	1.92%	0	1.8	57	NAN
7	Mar_3_2010	47.75	40.82	40.76	40.72	40.74	41.25	41.77(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	90	34	7	0.12	31%	-0.19	-83	1.92%	0	1	52	NAN
8	Mar_2_2010	47.84	40.95	40.67	40.35	40.19	40.64	40.93(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	70	21	-17	0.08	29%	-0.19	-72.7	1.89%	0	-0	46	NAN
9	Mar_1_2010	47.93	41.08	40.7	40.15	39.91	40.23	40.55(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	40	10	-17	0.16	31%	-0.21	-72.4	1.88%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
10	Feb_26_2010	48.03	41.2	40.66	40.29	39.87	39.73	40.5(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-60	-6	-16	0.23	30%	-0.23	-73	1.91%	0	-0.5	55	NAN

11	Feb_25_2010	48.14	41.35	40.7	40.49	40.18	39.58	39.84(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-130	-26	-11	0.11	30%	-0.23	-72.8	1.91%	0	-1	49	NAN
12	Feb_24_2010	48.25	41.59	40.85	40.8	40.62	40.01	39.91(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-120	-31	-16	0.12	30%	-0.23	-69.3	1.92%	0	-1	34	NAN
13	Feb_23_2010	48.36	41.86	41	41.02	40.95	40.78	39.97(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-30	-22	-26	0.15	30%	-0.19	-70.3	1.92%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
14	Feb_22_2010	48.45	42.12	40.97	41.29	41.16	41.22	41.21(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	0	10	-34	0.07	31%	-0.16	-71.3	1.91%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
15	Feb_19_2010	48.53	42.29	40.84	41.08	41.04	41.13	41.5(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	10	9	-66	0.06	31%	-0.14	-83.1	1.91%	0	-0.4	44	NAN

16	Feb_18_2010	48.6	42.49	40.72	40.95	40.73	41.11	41.43(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	50	7	-94	0.07	31%	-0.18	-89.1	1.92%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
17	Feb_17_2010	48.69	42.77	40.89	40.92	40.57	40.95	41(-0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	40	14	-103	0.09	31%	-0.2	-84.9	1.92%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
18	Feb_16_2010	48.79	43.16	41.23	40.98	40.59	40.35	41.31(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-70	14	-107	0.12	31%	-0.2	-75.2	1.92%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
19	Feb_12_2010	48.89	43.51	41.47	40.6	40.63	40.18	40.15(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-80	-15	-147	0.17	27%	-0.18	-76.4	1.87%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
20	Feb_11_2010	48.98	43.98	41.76	40.55	40.6	40.82	40.88(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	40	-1	-157	0.18	27%	-0.2	-73.1	1.86%	0	-1	35	NAN

21	Feb_10_2010	49.08	44.41	42.02	40.42	40.45	41.08	41.26(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-38	110	8	-174	0.22	27%	-0.2	-71.9	1.86%	0	-1	33	NAN
22	Feb_9_2010	49.18	44.8	42.37	40.89	40.4	40.37	41.31(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-40	-14	-183	0.42	32%	-0.18	-68.4	1.86%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
23	Feb_8_2010	49.27	45.23	42.77	41.57	41.1	39.81	39.42(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-250	-62	-207	0.21	25%	-0.24	-61.8	1.8%	0	-1.8	16	NAN
24	Feb_5_2010	49.39	45.77	43.38	42.48	42.33	40.43	39.89(-0.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-117	-320	-88	-203	0.25	29%	-0.2	-55.9	1.8%	0	-1.9	21	NAN
25	Feb_4_2010	49.49	46.28	43.9	43.12	43.36	42.38	40.24(-7.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-109	-140	-77	-204	0.54	29%		-53.2	1.83%	0	-2.1	20	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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