Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $48.4100 (-0.82%) ($48.2300 - $48.5100) on Wed. Dec. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $48.4100(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    EEM(71%)    SPY(71%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.64(-7.79%)
Resistance Level   $49.49
5 Day Moving Average   $48.69(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.7(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.49(-2.18%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2009	49.5	49.49	48.7	48.69	48.73	48.64	48.41(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-4	-29	0.05	46%	0.06	-63.4	1.61%	0	-0.9	42	0
2	Dec_29_2009	49.47	49.67	48.78	48.61	48.72	48.85	48.81(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	30	4	-36	0.11	46%	0.08	-59.3	1.61%	0	-0.7	39	0
3	Dec_28_2009	49.43	49.79	48.87	48.65	48.49	48.82	48.86(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	40	10	-44	0.04	48%	0.16	-57.9	1.61%	0	-0.7	32	0
4	Dec_24_2009	49.35	49.89	48.91	48.56	48.5	48.58	48.83(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	10	17	-61	0.03	48%	0.06	-62.8	1.62%	0	-0.8	31	0
5	Dec_23_2009	49.32	50.08	48.96	48.46	48.4	48.16	48.56(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-40	-15	-94	0.07	48%	0.06	-61.2	1.63%	0	-1.1	29	0

6	Dec_22_2009	49.29	50.25	49.06	48.72	48.45	48.41	47.99(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-20	-23	-104	0.04	50%	0.04	-55.9	1.62%	0	-1.6	22	0
7	Dec_21_2009	49.27	50.45	49.28	48.98	48.94	48.64	49.02(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-50	-1	-99	0.21	52%	0.08	-56.1	1.62%	0	-1.1	24	0
8	Dec_18_2009	49.23	50.55	49.51	49.12	49.04	48.49	48.41(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-34	-107	0.1	52%	0.08	-57.7	1.61%	0	-1.7	31	0
9	Dec_17_2009	49.19	50.72	49.82	49.31	49.36	49.25	48.3(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10	-19	-91	0.09	52%	0.08	-55.3	1.62%	0	-2	32	0
10	Dec_16_2009	49.15	50.94	50.15	49.52	49.54	49.59	49.89(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	10	8	-81	0.15	58%	0.12	-50.9	1.57%	0	-0.9	30	0

11	Dec_15_2009	49.09	51.05	50.34	49.44	49.42	49.47	49.28(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	10	-6	-92	0.27	58%	0.1	-52.1	1.58%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Dec_14_2009	49.04	51.2	50.63	49.62	49.44	49.49	49.71(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-0	-9	-85	0.1	58%	0.12	-49.3	1.58%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Dec_11_2009	48.98	51.3	50.78	49.99	49.61	49.37	49.36(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-60	-22	-75	0.1	58%	0.12	-36.1	1.59%	0	-2	42	0
14	Dec_10_2009	48.92	51.4	50.96	50.42	50.19	49.39	49.37(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-130	-37	-70	0.11	58%	0.14	-21.9	1.59%	0	-2.3	37	0
15	Dec_9_2009	48.85	51.51	51.29	50.88	50.78	49.86	49.5(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-60	-130	-60	-61	0.28	58%	0.16	7.7	1.59%	0	-2.8	34	0

16	Dec_8_2009	48.77	51.63	51.56	51.36	51.44	50.99	50.17(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-38	-60	-40	-33	0.09	59%	0.16	59.1	1.58%	0	-2.6	41	0
17	Dec_7_2009	48.69	51.72	51.73	51.76	51.84	51.7	51.53(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10	-6	-7	0.1	63%	0.21	129.2	1.56%	0	-0.4	46	0
18	Dec_4_2009	48.59	51.65	51.69	51.68	51.93	51.89	51.54(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	10	4	-10	0.09	65%	0.19	113.4	1.57%	0	-0.2	51	0
19	Dec_3_2009	48.5	51.59	51.71	51.58	51.74	51.89	51.66(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	40	1	-11	0.09	65%	0.23	88.6	1.6%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Dec_2_2009	48.39	51.46	51.79	51.77	51.45	51.97	51.91(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	50	11	8	0.07	65%	0.27	75.1	1.6%	0	0.5	53	0

21	Dec_1_2009	48.26	51.29	51.8	51.81	51.45	51.51	52.16(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-20	20	16	0.14	61%	0.27	56.9	1.61%	0	0.8	54	0
22	Nov_30_2009	48.13	51.13	51.79	51.72	51.58	50.93	51.15(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-100	-25	-3	0.12	59%	0.27	44.8	1.64%	0	0	47	0
23	Nov_27_2009	48	51.01	51.84	51.68	51.58	51.66	51(-3.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-14	-10	-21	7	0.04	59%	0.46	30.2	1.64%	0	-0	58	0
24	Nov_25_2009	47.78	50.99	51.87	51.84	51.81	52.24	52.65(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	14	35	0.08	64%	0.29	27	1.58%	0	1.2	69	0
25	Nov_24_2009	47.64	50.78	51.74	51.82	51.6	51.95	52.08(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	30	16	53	0.2	64%		17.4	1.59%	0	0.9	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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