Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $50.5900 (1.95%) ($50.0400 - $50.6400) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $50.5900(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(84%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.27(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.27(4.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.61(6.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2009	41.76	47.61	48.27	49.27	49.28	49.88	50.59(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	90	52	104	0.05	69%	0.43	75.7	1.5%	0	2.1	66	0
2	Sep_15_2009	41.58	47.3	47.82	48.86	48.73	49	49.62(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	30	23	64	0.17	62%	0.39	66.2	1.5%	0	1.7	61	0
3	Sep_14_2009	41.42	47.01	47.62	48.56	48.53	48.68	49.05(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	20	20	54	0.21	62%	0.36	53.4	1.58%	0	1.4	64	0
4	Sep_11_2009	41.27	46.84	47.47	48.19	48.38	48.45	48.49(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	24	47	0.14	62%	0.36	50.5	1.58%	0	1.2	61	0
5	Sep_10_2009	41.12	46.72	47.41	47.71	47.89	48.38	48.58(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	80	29	47	0.16	62%	0.39	47.1	1.58%	0	1.4	69	0

6	Sep_9_2009	40.96	46.57	47.29	47.1	47.34	48.31	48.54(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	160	56	50	0.13	62%	0.39	36.6	1.58%	0	1.5	72	0
7	Sep_8_2009	40.8	46.39	47.18	46.64	46.56	47.39	48.12(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	120	40	48	0.11	62%	0.54	24.3	1.59%	0	1.4	73	0
8	Sep_4_2009	40.58	46.24	47.04	46.56	46.23	46.37	47.22(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-0	13	57	0.1	60%	0.32	21.2	1.58%	0	0.8	72	0
9	Sep_3_2009	40.45	46.14	47	46.67	46.46	45.73	46.09(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-120	-32	55	0.23	52%	0.3	23.6	1.56%	0	-0	53	0
10	Sep_2_2009	40.33	46.09	46.97	47.07	46.97	46.09	45.54(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-26	-140	-54	57	0.18	52%	0.27	36.5	1.63%	0	-0.5	47	0

11	Sep_1_2009	40.22	46.1	46.94	47.47	47.52	47.19	46.21(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-31	82	0.44	52%	0.32	52.7	1.62%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Aug_31_2009	40.09	46.08	46.79	47.76	47.52	47.84	47.76(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	20	5	110	0.1	57%	0.17	65.5	1.57%	0	1.4	65	0
13	Aug_28_2009	40.02	45.99	46.41	47.57	47.68	47.85	47.76(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	20	99	0.08	57%	0.38	72.2	1.57%	0	1.6	63	0
14	Aug_27_2009	39.87	45.85	46.19	47.38	47.44	47.85	48.1(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	20	19	95	0.13	57%	0.4	77.1	1.58%	0	2	65	0
15	Aug_26_2009	39.71	45.66	45.99	46.87	47.17	47.52	47.53(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	70	29	86	0.05	57%	0.4	73.2	1.59%	0	1.8	64	0

16	Aug_25_2009	39.55	45.48	45.78	46.34	46.68	47.36	47.63(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	120	50	71	0.09	57%	0.38	72	1.6%	0	2.2	61	0
17	Aug_24_2009	39.4	45.31	45.5	45.67	45.86	46.83	46.84(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	160	56	36	0.18	55%	0.36	72.3	1.61%	0	1.8	54	0
18	Aug_21_2009	39.26	45.18	45.33	45.06	45.13	45.99	46.81(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	40	140	53	1	0.07	55%	0.38	64.1	1.61%	0	2	53	0
19	Aug_20_2009	39.11	45.02	45.15	44.84	44.44	44.89	45.52(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	13	-26	0.01	51%	0.39	69	1.58%	0	0.6	52	0
20	Aug_19_2009	38.96	44.91	45.11	45.02	44.54	44.27	44.88(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-70	-3	-19	0.04	51%	0.41	70	1.57%	0	-0	55	0

21	Aug_18_2009	38.8	44.8	45.17	45.15	45.01	43.98	44.3(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-170	-36	-14	0.09	56%	0.39	71.4	1.57%	0	-0.4	56	0
22	Aug_17_2009	38.65	44.71	45.33	45.29	45.29	44.82	43.8(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-70	-49	-3	0.05	56%	0.36	80	1.65%	0	-0.7	48	0
23	Aug_14_2009	38.51	44.65	45.57	45.57	45.56	46.03	45.7(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	70	14	51	0.09	63%	0.36	88.9	1.58%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Aug_13_2009	38.37	44.46	45.53	45.48	45.4	45.76	46.4(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	32	67	0.15	56%	0.39	93.6	1.56%	0	1.3	72	0
25	Aug_12_2009	38.22	44.23	45.32	45.23	45.21	45.09	45.55(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-20	1	50	0.07	54%		94	1.66%	0	0.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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