Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $37.2200 (4.35%) ($36.3600 - $37.2200) on Mon. May. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $37.2200(4.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    VWO(69%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.62(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.71(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.49(4.87%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   51.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2009	32.19	35.49	36.71	36.62	36.33	36.36	37.22(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-20	3	52	0.02	56%	0	42.8	2.98%	0	1.1	70	0
2	May_15_2009	32.19	35.27	36.59	36.6	36.53	36.07	35.67(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-90	-15	58	0.12	50%	0.09	40	3.09%	0	0.3	66	0
3	May_14_2009	32.16	35.21	36.55	37.08	36.84	36.3	36.4(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-120	-12	79	0.08	50%	0	51.6	3.1%	0	0.8	61	0
4	May_13_2009	32.16	35.11	36.4	37.05	37.01	36.99	36.05(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10	-9	84	0.13	50%	0	58.7	3.12%	0	0.6	61	0
5	May_12_2009	32.16	35.02	36.25	37.17	37.08	37.38	37.74(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	15	108	0.15	52%	-0.03	68.8	3.07%	0	1.8	74	0

6	May_11_2009	32.17	34.82	35.81	36.8	36.79	37.03	37.12(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	11	99	0.09	52%	-0.03	73.3	3.06%	0	1.6	73	0
7	May_8_2009	32.18	34.66	35.43	36.58	36.51	36.78	38.07(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	50	18	101	0.08	50%	-0.03	77.4	3.06%	0	2.5	80	0
8	May_7_2009	32.19	34.42	35.03	35.96	36.17	36.55	36.28(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	90	16	82	0.1	47%	-0.12	85	3.02%	0	1.7	59	0
9	May_6_2009	32.23	34.23	34.81	35.65	35.72	36.23	36.65(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	110	20	73	0.15	47%	-0.12	86.4	3.04%	0	2.2	60	0
10	May_5_2009	32.27	33.99	34.45	35.19	35.33	35.79	35.89(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	100	23	54	0.14	47%	-0.06	86.3	3.04%	0	1.8	59	0

11	May_4_2009	32.29	33.81	34.16	34.66	34.92	35.22	36.02(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	80	23	33	0.05	47%	-0.03	91.8	3.04%	0	2.2	62	0
12	May_1_2009	32.3	33.64	33.82	34.1	34.26	34.88	34.96(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	140	11	3	0.04	47%	-0.03	102	3.01%	0	1.5	55	0
13	Apr_30_2009	32.31	33.51	33.74	33.97	33.87	34.62	34.72(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	150	20	7	0.07	47%	-0.06	102.8	3.04%	0	1.4	57	0
14	Apr_29_2009	32.33	33.32	33.7	33.85	33.75	33.64	34.38(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-30	14	11	0.08	45%	0	82.2	3.04%	0	1.1	63	0
15	Apr_28_2009	32.33	33.11	33.68	33.61	33.61	33.13	33.23(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-100	-11	6	0.09	45%	-0.09	61	3.09%	0	0.1	62	0

16	Apr_27_2009	32.36	32.92	33.74	33.56	33.64	33.85	33.19(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	50	-0	17	0.11	45%	-0.03	39.1	3.14%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Apr_24_2009	32.37	32.79	33.84	33.47	33.44	34.09	34.34(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	130	13	26	0.25	47%	0.03	37.4	3.09%	0	1	59	0
18	Apr_23_2009	32.36	32.65	33.77	33.48	33.14	33.44	34.12(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	30	7	31	0.18	47%	0	43.4	3.11%	0	1	62	0
19	Apr_22_2009	32.36	32.52	33.61	33.56	33.28	32.8	33.16(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-130	-9	38	0.12	47%	-0.03	50.4	3.1%	0	0.4	66	0
20	Apr_21_2009	32.37	32.41	33.5	33.79	33.63	32.85	33(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-180	-21	51	0.08	49%	0.03	59.4	3.12%	0	0.4	69	0

21	Apr_20_2009	32.36	32.35	33.45	33.95	33.95	33.77	32.72(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-40	-17	77	0.1	45%	-0.06	74.8	3.18%	0	0.2	72	0
22	Apr_17_2009	32.38	32.21	33.49	34.24	34.12	34.41	34.41(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	50	8	108	0.1	47%	0.09	81.4	3.35%	0	1.3	70	0
23	Apr_16_2009	32.35	32	33.28	34.08	34	34.13	34.52(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	14	110	0.09	47%	0	88.6	3.38%	0	1.6	61	0
24	Apr_15_2009	32.35	31.78	32.91	33.67	33.76	33.82	34.28(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	20	11	94	0.09	47%	0	98.1	3.38%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Apr_14_2009	32.35	31.52	32.49	33.18	33.38	33.87	33.82(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	120	12	78	0.26	47%		100	3.38%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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