Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $31.5900 (2.77%) ($30.8200 - $31.7600) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $31.5900(2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    VWO(69%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.83(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.83(5.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.13(12.3%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 7.32% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2009	32.54	28.13	29.83	30.83	30.88	31.17	31.59(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	70	8	177	0.08	45%	-0.21	41	3.26%	0	1.7	78	NAN
2	Mar_24_2009	32.61	27.92	29.34	30.57	30.69	31.12	30.74(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	110	18	177	0.03	45%	-0.15	38.9	3.26%	0	1.5	66	NAN
3	Mar_23_2009	32.66	27.77	28.9	30.24	30.34	30.58	31.93(7.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	70	26	174	0.06	47%	-0.09	35.6	3.24%	0	2.3	73	NAN
4	Mar_20_2009	32.69	27.51	28.17	29.49	29.69	30.27	29.66(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	160	13	141	0.09	42%	-0.15	16.4	3.09%	0	1.4	68	NAN
5	Mar_19_2009	32.74	27.42	27.75	29.17	29.32	30.1	30.23(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	200	33	123	0.12	42%	-0.09	1.9	3.11%	0	1.9	59	NAN

6	Mar_18_2009	32.77	27.31	27.25	28.67	28.65	29.12	30.28(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	110	33	86	0.09	42%	-0.06	-17.3	3.11%	0	2.2	57	NAN
7	Mar_17_2009	32.79	27.2	26.86	27.92	28.03	28.54	29.1(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	140	24	47	0.08	38%	-0.03	-45	3.08%	0	1.6	55	NAN
8	Mar_16_2009	32.8	27.15	26.54	27.35	27.55	28.17	28.16(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	180	35	14	0.11	41%	-0.09	-74.5	3.04%	0	0.9	48	NAN
9	Mar_13_2009	32.83	27.26	26.33	26.63	26.93	27.51	28.08(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	180	30	-22	0.07	41%	-0.18	-79.5	3.17%	0	0.6	55	NAN
10	Mar_12_2009	32.89	27.39	26.25	26.1	26.1	26.94	27.71(4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	230	25	-48	0.09	41%	-0.18	-78.2	3.19%	0	0.2	47	NAN

11	Mar_11_2009	32.95	27.55	26.26	25.62	25.67	26.34	26.57(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	190	19	-73	0.34	38%	-0.36	-77.8	3.14%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
12	Mar_10_2009	33.07	27.76	26.36	25.62	25.36	25.26	26.21(6.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-60	2	-85	0.37	38%	-0.42	-75.1	3.13%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
13	Mar_9_2009	33.21	28.06	26.55	25.65	25.56	25	24.6(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-160	-20	-99	0.15	32%	-0.45	-65.8	3.04%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
14	Mar_6_2009	33.36	28.44	26.81	25.96	26.01	25.47	25.43(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-140	-25	-113	0.21	33%	-0.45	-60.9	3.06%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
15	Mar_5_2009	33.51	28.75	27.09	26.41	26.28	26.13	25.3(-5.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-50	-26	-115	0.12	33%	-0.39	-57	3.08%	0	-1.6	22	NAN

16	Mar_4_2009	33.64	29.06	27.42	26.97	26.83	26.56	26.7(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-90	-7	-106	0.39	36%	-0.44	-57.1	3.03%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
17	Mar_3_2009	33.79	29.31	27.6	27.18	27.26	26.43	26.2(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-200	-25	-122	0.36	36%	-0.47	-55.1	3.03%	0	-1.5	23	NAN
18	Mar_2_2009	33.95	29.55	27.84	27.6	27.59	27.11	26.15(-5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-51	-120	-24	-130	0.12	43%	-0.32	-55.2	3.04%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
19	Feb_27_2009	34.06	29.82	28.3	27.77	27.93	28.1	27.71(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	60	-1	-118	0.17	42%	-0.32	-57.1	3.17%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
20	Feb_26_2009	34.17	30.01	28.63	27.86	27.91	28.07	28.09(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	50	4	-115	0.23	42%	-0.41	-56.9	3.2%	0	-1.1	31	NAN

21	Feb_25_2009	34.31	30.26	28.92	27.94	27.79	27.76	27.73(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-20	-6	-119	0.13	42%	-0.46	-50.8	3.19%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
22	Feb_24_2009	34.47	30.48	29.25	28.1	28.09	27.75	28.31(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-90	-4	-117	0.09	47%	-0.43	-47.3	3.22%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
23	Feb_23_2009	34.62	30.64	29.65	28.14	28.27	27.83	27.01(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-100	-28	-117	0.12	44%	-0.55	-54.9	3.26%	0	-2.3	30	NAN
24	Feb_20_2009	34.81	30.86	30.18	28.91	28.5	28.43	28.18(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-23	-83	0.19	49%	-0.49	-57.9	3.4%	0	-2	32	NAN
25	Feb_19_2009	34.98	31.01	30.53	29.52	29.26	28.71	28.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-160	-13	-60	0.26	45%		-60.1	3.47%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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