Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $24.6000 (-3.26%) ($24.3300 - $25.0700) on Mon. Mar. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $24.6000(-3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(85%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.14(-50.65%)
Resistance Level   $28.06
5 Day Moving Average   $25.65(-4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.55(-7.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.06(-12.33%)
To recent high   -39%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 7.7% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.4%(78%) Average negative next day return: -7.74%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 4.36%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -8.49%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 10.99%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.71%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2009	33.21	28.06	26.55	25.65	25.56	25	24.6(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-160	-20	-99	0.15	32%	-0.45	-65.8	3.04%	0	-1.6	29	NAN
2	Mar_6_2009	33.36	28.44	26.81	25.96	26.01	25.47	25.43(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-140	-25	-113	0.21	33%	-0.45	-60.9	3.06%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
3	Mar_5_2009	33.51	28.75	27.09	26.41	26.28	26.13	25.3(-5.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-50	-26	-115	0.12	33%	-0.39	-57	3.08%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
4	Mar_4_2009	33.64	29.06	27.42	26.97	26.83	26.56	26.7(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-90	-7	-106	0.39	36%	-0.44	-57.1	3.03%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
5	Mar_3_2009	33.79	29.31	27.6	27.18	27.26	26.43	26.2(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-200	-25	-122	0.36	36%	-0.47	-55.1	3.03%	0	-1.5	23	NAN

6	Mar_2_2009	33.95	29.55	27.84	27.6	27.59	27.11	26.15(-5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-51	-120	-24	-130	0.12	43%	-0.32	-55.2	3.04%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
7	Feb_27_2009	34.06	29.82	28.3	27.77	27.93	28.1	27.71(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	60	-1	-118	0.17	42%	-0.32	-57.1	3.17%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
8	Feb_26_2009	34.17	30.01	28.63	27.86	27.91	28.07	28.09(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	50	4	-115	0.23	42%	-0.41	-56.9	3.2%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
9	Feb_25_2009	34.31	30.26	28.92	27.94	27.79	27.76	27.73(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-20	-6	-119	0.13	42%	-0.46	-50.8	3.19%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
10	Feb_24_2009	34.47	30.48	29.25	28.1	28.09	27.75	28.31(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-90	-4	-117	0.09	47%	-0.43	-47.3	3.22%	0	-1.3	31	NAN

11	Feb_23_2009	34.62	30.64	29.65	28.14	28.27	27.83	27.01(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-100	-28	-117	0.12	44%	-0.55	-54.9	3.26%	0	-2.3	30	NAN
12	Feb_20_2009	34.81	30.86	30.18	28.91	28.5	28.43	28.18(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-23	-83	0.19	49%	-0.49	-57.9	3.4%	0	-2	32	NAN
13	Feb_19_2009	34.98	31.01	30.53	29.52	29.26	28.71	28.48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-160	-13	-60	0.26	45%	-0.54	-60.1	3.47%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
14	Feb_18_2009	35.17	31.19	30.83	30.07	29.71	28.58	28.51(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-300	-32	-59	0.05	45%	-0.54	-66.8	3.56%	0	-2.5	26	NAN
15	Feb_17_2009	35.36	31.3	31.18	30.57	30.4	29.81	28.5(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-39	-150	-36	-47	0.08	45%	-0.9	-89.3	3.56%	0	-3.1	37	NAN

16	Feb_13_2009	35.68	31.55	31.45	31.37	31.18	30.85	30.89(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-90	-10	-17	0.16	52%	-0.53	-94.7	3.5%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
17	Feb_12_2009	35.87	31.67	31.5	31.63	31.55	31	31.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-130	-11	-7	0.16	52%	-0.47	-100.4	3.74%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
18	Feb_11_2009	36.04	31.76	31.52	31.7	31.9	31.52	31.23(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-60	-8	-2	0.11	52%	-0.47	-115	3.77%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
19	Feb_10_2009	36.21	31.92	31.71	31.73	31.91	32.11	31.02(-4.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	60	-4	6	0.12	52%	-0.49	-108.7	3.79%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
20	Feb_9_2009	36.39	32.13	31.8	31.88	31.83	32.29	32.49(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	100	15	26	0.04	55%	-0.49	-96.1	3.78%	0	0.3	63	NAN

21	Feb_6_2009	36.57	32.3	31.69	31.55	31.59	31.72	32.2(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	30	10	6	0.05	54%	-0.41	-90.2	3.87%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
22	Feb_5_2009	36.72	32.56	31.56	31.37	31.22	31.38	31.58(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	20	-1	-14	0.14	54%	-0.35	-75	3.95%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
23	Feb_4_2009	36.85	32.84	31.5	31.33	31.26	31.46	31.34(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	40	-1	-25	0.1	58%	-0.41	-67.7	3.98%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
24	Feb_3_2009	37	33.16	31.55	31.7	31.35	31.46	31.8(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-100	-3	-27	0.06	58%	-0.38	-56.1	4.12%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
25	Feb_2_2009	37.14	33.45	31.4	31.71	31.77	31.05	30.81(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-150	-11	-52	0.1	58%		-51.6	4.1%	0	-1	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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