Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $64.2100 (0.3%) ($64.2100 - $64.7000) on Wed. May. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $64.2100(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.95(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.82(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.54(1.05%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.34%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2008	60.11	63.54	63.82	63.95	63.96	64.19	64.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	15	41	0.4	68%	0.08	72.2	1.41%	0	1.2	59	0
2	May_13_2008	60.06	63.53	63.68	63.66	63.77	64.07	64.02(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	40	14	28	0.56	68%	-0.02	64.3	1.41%	0	0.8	56	0
3	May_12_2008	60.07	63.44	63.53	63.74	63.58	63.73	64.5(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	10	12	25	0.06	71%	0.02	53.1	1.41%	0	1.5	57	0
4	May_9_2008	60.06	63.3	63.39	63.64	63.56	63.47	63.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-2	11	0.33	69%	0.02	31.5	1.42%	0	0.1	44	0
5	May_8_2008	60.05	63.19	63.37	63.68	63.69	63.43	63.63(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-30	-8	4	0.32	69%	-0.02	18.8	1.43%	0	0.5	46	0

6	May_7_2008	60.06	63.19	63.3	63.67	63.72	63.65	62.75(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-10	-9	1	0.68	69%	-0.03	14.3	1.43%	0	-0.5	47	0
7	May_6_2008	60.08	63.13	63.35	63.66	63.65	63.96	64.43(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	30	23	9	0.15	75%	0	11.5	1.38%	0	1.6	51	0
8	May_5_2008	60.08	63.06	63.23	63.27	63.29	63.8	63.99(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	60	28	3	0.21	60%	-0.03	-1.6	1.39%	0	1.2	63	0
9	May_2_2008	60.1	63.06	63.22	63.12	62.95	63.33	63.58(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	20	9	1.71	60%	-0.05	7.3	1.68%	0	0.7	64	0
10	May_1_2008	60.13	63.04	63.26	63.04	62.85	62.78	63.59(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-20	8	17	0.66	60%	-0.08	16.4	1.69%	0	0.7	67	0

11	Apr_30_2008	60.18	63.01	63.22	62.9	62.88	62.57	62.71(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-40	-12	10	1.1	60%	-0.08	19.8	1.68%	0	-0.4	54	0
12	Apr_29_2008	60.23	63.04	63.36	62.99	62.89	62.91	62.47(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-0	-14	19	0.7	60%	-0.12	31.4	1.68%	0	-0.8	50	0
13	Apr_28_2008	60.3	63.07	63.35	63.16	63.02	63.19	63.23(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	6	28	0.28	60%	-0.08	44.7	1.68%	0	0.2	50	0
14	Apr_25_2008	60.35	62.99	63.21	63.35	63.04	62.87	63.19(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-30	-7	18	0.09	57%	-0.08	52.5	1.68%	0	0.2	46	0
15	Apr_24_2008	60.4	62.91	63.02	63.52	63.29	62.85	62.9(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-60	-17	7	0.72	61%	-0.1	69	1.71%	0	-0	46	0

16	Apr_23_2008	60.46	62.86	62.97	63.6	63.6	63.21	63.14(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-40	-19	4	0.17	59%	-0.08	87.3	1.78%	0	0.3	50	0
17	Apr_22_2008	60.51	62.8	62.92	63.78	63.65	63.73	63.35(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	0	-4	13	0.16	54%	-0.08	99.4	1.79%	0	0.6	51	0
18	Apr_21_2008	60.56	62.7	62.9	63.54	63.69	63.99	64.16(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	28	19	0.26	54%	-0.05	97.1	1.87%	0	1.4	56	0
19	Apr_18_2008	60.59	62.52	62.84	63.04	63.19	63.56	64.05(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	50	24	15	0.82	54%	-0.07	97.6	1.89%	0	1.5	64	0
20	Apr_17_2008	60.63	62.29	62.77	62.44	62.57	63.39	63.28(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	100	26	8	1.06	52%	-0.1	68.6	1.88%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Apr_16_2008	60.69	62.04	62.75	62.25	62.12	62.81	64.04(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	70	38	13	0.44	50%	-0.03	52.3	1.89%	0	1.4	63	0
22	Apr_15_2008	60.71	61.84	62.65	61.98	61.78	61.75	62.18(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10	1	-2	0.29	44%	-0.07	51.3	1.87%	0	0.2	54	0
23	Apr_14_2008	60.75	61.68	62.65	62.19	61.99	61.44	61.67(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-70	-23	2	0.48	44%	-0.1	58.2	1.94%	0	-0	55	0
24	Apr_11_2008	60.81	61.53	62.74	62.62	62.4	61.81	61.05(-2.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-25	-80	-37	12	0.57	42%	0	67.8	1.94%	0	-0.3	58	0
25	Apr_10_2008	60.81	61.47	62.82	63.12	63.03	62.54	62.3(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-60	-19	45	0.42	44%		81.6	1.93%	0	0.5	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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