Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $61.4500 (-0.61%) ($61.4000 - $62.1200) on Fri. Mar. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $61.4500(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.4(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.21(2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.86(4.4%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2008	61.22	58.86	60.21	61.4	61.65	62.01	61.45(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	50	16	102	0.49	39%	-0.11	50.3	1.96%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Mar_27_2008	61.29	58.71	60	60.93	61.25	61.92	61.83(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	90	43	114	1.06	39%	-0.1	53.5	1.96%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Mar_26_2008	61.35	58.55	59.66	60.2	60.31	61.3	61.8(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	120	35	97	0.85	39%	-0.1	54.5	1.96%	0	2	66	0
4	Mar_25_2008	61.41	58.37	59.35	59.83	59.64	60.58	61.34(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	62	100	47	106	0.65	39%	-0.1	62.1	1.96%	0	2.1	69	0
5	Mar_24_2008	61.47	58.14	58.83	59.29	59.29	59.33	60.6(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	0	30	81	0.32	39%	-0.19	63.1	1.97%	0	2	63	0

6	Mar_20_2008	61.59	57.93	58.4	58.87	58.82	58.71	59.09(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-20	-18	46	0.11	35%	-0.15	58.9	1.93%	0	1	57	0
7	Mar_19_2008	61.68	57.78	58.16	58.94	58.97	59.26	58.15(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	40	8	49	0.48	35%	-0.15	59.7	1.93%	0	0.3	47	0
8	Mar_18_2008	61.77	57.69	58.08	59.02	58.94	58.93	59.97(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10	13	47	0.38	37%	-0.13	63.1	1.9%	0	1.8	52	0
9	Mar_17_2008	61.85	57.5	57.7	58.79	58.79	58.68	58.65(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10	2	25	0.59	33%	-0.13	71.8	1.88%	0	1	50	0
10	Mar_14_2008	61.93	57.36	57.53	58.27	58.83	58.95	58.5(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	40	20	16	0.24	31%	-0.1	65.5	1.89%	0	1	56	0

11	Mar_13_2008	61.99	57.23	57.41	57.82	58.18	58.9	59.43(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	110	25	9	0.08	30%	-0.08	62.1	1.9%	0	1.9	63	0
12	Mar_12_2008	62.04	57.06	57.31	57.26	57.55	58.72	58.53(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	160	45	14	0.48	30%	-0.1	61.4	1.9%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Mar_11_2008	62.1	56.91	57.33	57.02	57.07	57.46	58.86(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	50	43	19	0.37	29%	-0.08	64.4	1.91%	0	1.8	62	0
14	Mar_10_2008	62.15	56.67	57.26	56.49	56.75	56.37	56.04(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-30	-11	-8	0.62	22%	-0.14	32.8	1.79%	0	-0.6	51	0
15	Mar_7_2008	62.24	56.59	57.39	56.69	56.66	56.68	56.26(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-15	0	-20	2	0.77	22%	-0.14	19.7	1.8%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	Mar_6_2008	62.33	56.51	57.43	56.92	56.84	57.12	56.62(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	1	21	1.17	22%	-0.13	13.4	1.8%	0	0.1	56	0
17	Mar_5_2008	62.41	56.41	57.39	57.35	57.04	56.65	57.32(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-60	-12	29	0.23	22%	-0.1	13.1	1.8%	0	0.6	58	0
18	Mar_4_2008	62.47	56.23	57.29	57.69	57.47	56.57	56.22(-1.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-24	-120	-43	34	0.17	19%	-0.11	8.9	1.77%	0	-0	58	0
19	Mar_3_2008	62.54	56.3	57.32	58.14	58.07	57.43	57.03(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-80	-31	68	0.62	19%	-0.11	21.3	1.77%	0	0.5	71	0
20	Feb_29_2008	62.61	56.34	57.22	58.17	58.31	58.36	57.4(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	10	-1	93	1.06	19%	-0.08	28.7	1.76%	0	0.7	74	0

21	Feb_28_2008	62.66	56.32	57.08	57.98	57.99	58.71	58.79(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	90	36	114	0.19	24%	-0.05	27.6	1.74%	0	1.5	82	0
22	Feb_27_2008	62.69	56.22	56.81	57.42	57.34	58.25	59.03(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	64	110	48	110	1.02	26%	-0.05	27.5	1.77%	0	1.9	83	0
23	Feb_26_2008	62.72	56.09	56.44	56.85	56.78	57.28	58.47(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	57	60	42	100	0.25	25%	-0.03	24	1.78%	0	1.7	84	0
24	Feb_25_2008	62.74	55.97	56	56.41	56.23	56.42	57.16(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	10	9	53	0.37	22%	-0.08	11.5	1.77%	0	0.9	45	0
25	Feb_22_2008	62.79	55.88	55.7	56.15	56.21	56.28	56.47(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	12	24	0.31	22%		-1.8	1.76%	0	0.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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