Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $57.1600 (1.22%) ($55.8600 - $57.1600) on Mon. Feb. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $57.1600(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.41(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.97(2.13%)
To recent high   -16.8%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2008	62.74	55.97	56	56.41	56.23	56.42	57.16(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	10	9	53	0.37	22%	-0.08	11.5	1.77%	0	0.9	45	0
2	Feb_22_2008	62.79	55.97	55.7	56.15	56.21	56.28	56.47(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	12	24	0.31	22%	-0.08	-1.8	1.76%	0	0.5	40	0
3	Feb_21_2008	62.84	55.88	55.48	56.04	56.21	56.03	55.96(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-0	-5	-3	0.23	21%	-0.1	-11.2	1.77%	0	0.1	43	0
4	Feb_20_2008	62.9	55.81	55.34	56.1	56.05	56.15	56.2(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	10	4	-12	0.32	24%	-0.08	-29	1.77%	0	0.3	45	0
5	Feb_19_2008	62.95	55.76	55.08	55.95	56.12	56.07	56.27(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	0	17	-30	0.29	23%	-0.05	-55.4	1.79%	0	0.4	46	0

6	Feb_15_2008	62.98	55.83	55.19	55.51	55.82	55.94	55.84(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	7	-41	0.45	23%	-0.08	-74.6	1.8%	0	0	48	0
7	Feb_14_2008	63.03	55.91	55.39	55.16	55.42	56.17	55.94(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	110	29	-30	0.24	23%	-0.06	-94.5	1.8%	0	0	53	0
8	Feb_13_2008	63.07	56.02	55.5	54.83	54.85	55.7	56.23(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	25	110	44	-33	0.32	27%	-0.06	-104.4	1.8%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Feb_12_2008	63.11	56.18	55.56	54.48	54.39	54.66	55.47(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	30	27	-36	0.17	27%	-0.06	-101.9	1.85%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Feb_11_2008	63.15	56.5	55.69	54.1	54.27	54.01	54.09(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-20	-20	-60	0.29	23%	-0.08	-88.2	1.82%	0	-1.1	48	0

11	Feb_8_2008	63.2	56.86	55.93	54.85	54.38	54.13	54.07(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-60	-43	-54	0.28	26%	-0.09	-73.8	1.83%	0	-1.2	39	0
12	Feb_7_2008	63.26	57.28	56.1	55.67	55.37	54.53	54.31(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-120	-29	-33	0.46	25%	-0.08	-61.1	1.87%	0	-1.2	40	0
13	Feb_6_2008	63.31	57.67	56.35	56.26	56.28	54.64	54.45(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-200	-58	-36	0.68	25%	-0.06	-56.1	1.88%	0	-1.2	38	0
14	Feb_5_2008	63.35	58.02	56.38	56.78	56.71	56.21	53.58(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-70	-70	-52	0.66	25%	-0.03	-54.7	1.87%	0	-1.7	32	0
15	Feb_4_2008	63.37	58.46	56.59	57.45	57.42	57.92	57.85(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	60	33	-31	0.51	29%	0.02	-53.3	1.64%	0	-0.2	34	0

16	Feb_1_2008	63.36	58.65	56.56	57.14	57.13	57.22	58.16(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	10	29	-66	0.44	29%	0.02	-58.9	1.66%	0	-0.2	37	0
17	Jan_31_2008	63.35	58.88	56.47	56.61	56.66	56.92	57.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	30	-0	-126	0.88	29%	0	-62.4	1.65%	0	-0.6	31	0
18	Jan_30_2008	63.35	59.19	56.57	56.48	56.64	57.04	57.09(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	60	37	-137	0.33	29%	0.02	-62.2	1.66%	0	-0.7	33	0
19	Jan_29_2008	63.34	59.51	56.81	55.93	56.31	56.39	56.92(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	30	28	-170	0.74	29%	0	-67.2	1.66%	0	-0.9	35	0
20	Jan_28_2008	63.34	59.88	57.29	55.6	55.39	56.25	56.29(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-47	100	2	-194	0.44	29%	0	-67.1	1.66%	0	-1.2	31	0

21	Jan_25_2008	63.34	60.26	57.79	55.9	54.93	56.23	55.5(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	110	33	-173	0.17	32%	-0.02	-64.7	1.68%	0	-1.5	31	0
22	Jan_24_2008	63.35	60.71	58.5	56.32	55.39	54.54	56.61(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-38	-160	8	-175	0.6	33%	-0.02	-64.8	1.67%	0	-1.4	30	0
23	Jan_23_2008	63.36	61.1	59.05	56.71	56	53.63	54.32(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-163	-330	-137	-242	1.02	30%	-0.06	-63.6	1.57%	0	-2.3	19	0
24	Jan_22_2008	63.4	61.6	59.8	57.82	57.52	56.24	55.3(-4.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-149	-170	-128	-213	1.21	31%	-0.05	-65.6	1.58%	0	-2.5	20	0
25	Jan_18_2008	63.43	62.02	60.54	59.21	59.12	58.37	57.76(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-90	-51	-157	0.53	33%		-70.8	1.5%	0	-2	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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