Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $54.9800 (0.7%) ($54.3600 - $55.0400) on Tue. Mar. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $54.9800(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.75(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.52(2.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.84(2.12%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2007	53.69	53.84	53.52	53.75	53.89	54.54	54.98(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	90	54	70	0.14	48%	0.09	-39.7	1.24%	0	0.7	52	NAN
2	Mar_19_2007	53.64	53.91	53.26	53.21	53.24	53.99	54.6(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	100	44	31	0.16	48%	0.09	-44.9	1.25%	0	0.4	54	NAN
3	Mar_16_2007	53.59	53.99	52.92	53.05	52.87	53.24	53.54(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	14	40	28	-28	0.13	46%	0.06	-43.2	1.22%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
4	Mar_15_2007	53.56	54.13	52.92	53.12	52.88	53.24	53.2(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-70	-7	-70	0.12	45%	0.07	-39.9	1.22%	0	-0.5	37	NAN
5	Mar_14_2007	53.52	54.3	52.82	53.18	53.11	52.49	52.42(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-90	-43	-108	0.37	43%	0.06	-36.4	1.21%	0	-1	33	NAN

6	Mar_13_2007	53.49	54.48	52.99	53.23	53.45	53.28	52.29(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10	-18	-115	0.15	44%	0.06	-34.7	1.21%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
7	Mar_12_2007	53.46	54.65	53.11	53.26	53.39	53.73	53.82(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	50	32	-128	0.1	47%	0.09	-34.1	1.16%	0	-0.5	35	NAN
8	Mar_9_2007	53.41	54.74	53.34	52.74	53.03	53.61	53.86(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	90	48	-151	0.14	49%	0.09	-40	1.16%	0	-0.5	37	NAN
9	Mar_8_2007	53.36	54.86	53.55	52.48	52.44	53.05	53.5(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	80	31	-175	0.3	49%	0.11	-41.4	1.17%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
10	Mar_7_2007	53.3	54.98	53.81	52.45	52.28	52.44	52.7(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	10	15	-192	0.11	46%	0.09	-40.8	1.15%	0	-1.3	29	NAN

11	Mar_6_2007	53.25	55.12	54.16	52.74	52.35	51.83	52.43(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-73	-90	-32	-196	0.11	46%	0.08	-36.2	1.15%	0	-1.6	33	NAN
12	Mar_5_2007	53.21	55.25	54.6	52.94	52.87	52.11	51.22(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-119	-100	-90	-206	0.85	45%	0.06	-34.4	1.11%	0	-2.6	30	NAN
13	Mar_2_2007	53.18	55.45	55.16	54.02	53.6	52.87	52.55(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-101	-120	-86	-147	0.26	50%	0.08	-15.8	1.08%	0	-2.4	33	NAN
14	Mar_1_2007	53.14	55.6	55.58	54.76	54.54	53.62	53.35(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-83	-130	-77	-101	0.37	51%	0.11	6.4	1.07%	0	-2.2	34	NAN
15	Feb_28_2007	53.08	55.7	55.93	55.37	55.34	54.34	54.15(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-77	-130	-81	-64	0.23	56%	0.13	29.1	1.06%	0	-1.7	40	NAN

16	Feb_27_2007	53.01	55.73	56.14	55.8	55.84	55.45	53.45(-5.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-67	-50	-78	-32	0.58	51%	0.09	45.3	1.05%	0	-2.5	42	NAN
17	Feb_26_2007	52.96	55.78	56.37	55.8	56.31	56.34	56.59(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-0	4	60	0.12	60%	0.19	76.9	0.82%	0	1	72	NAN
18	Feb_23_2007	52.86	55.65	56.37	56.47	56.36	56.24	56.28(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-7	67	0.13	60%	0.15	70.4	0.83%	0	0.7	66	NAN
19	Feb_22_2007	52.78	55.53	56.29	56.53	56.41	56.28	56.37(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-20	-17	84	0.09	62%	0.17	71.7	0.83%	0	0.9	64	NAN
20	Feb_21_2007	52.69	55.44	56.24	56.59	56.48	56.48	56.31(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10	-3	104	0.29	62%	0.19	79.2	0.84%	0	0.9	62	NAN

21	Feb_20_2007	52.59	55.32	56.15	56.53	56.53	56.54	56.82(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	0	22	122	0.17	64%	0.31	79.7	0.84%	0	1.5	73	NAN
22	Feb_16_2007	52.43	55.16	55.93	56.25	56.34	56.49	56.57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	14	108	0.15	64%	0.17	71.5	0.83%	0	1.4	73	NAN
23	Feb_15_2007	52.34	55.02	55.75	56.08	56.11	56.52	56.58(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	50	30	116	0.16	64%	0.19	68.5	0.83%	0	1.5	75	NAN
24	Feb_14_2007	52.24	54.85	55.59	56.01	55.92	56.19	56.67(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	30	41	132	0.22	65%	0.21	72.1	0.83%	0	1.9	76	NAN
25	Feb_13_2007	52.13	54.68	55.43	55.86	55.79	55.7	56.01(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-20	9	121	0.15	63%		74.1	0.82%	0	1.5	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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