Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $51.6800 (0.56%) ($51.5700 - $51.9700) on Tue. Nov. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $51.6800(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.91(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.58(2.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.66(4.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(22%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.73%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.47%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.06%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2006	45.05	49.66	50.58	50.91	51	51.45	51.68(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	70	59	180	0.38	81%	0.29	68.7	0.75%	0	1.8	93	0
2	Nov_6_2006	44.92	49.46	50.33	50.68	50.74	50.9	51.39(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	74	30	41	172	0.22	81%	0.25	69.7	0.76%	0	1.8	93	0
3	Nov_3_2006	44.81	49.28	50.11	50.47	50.57	50.55	50.56(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	0	5	155	0.36	79%	0.25	71.5	0.74%	0	1.3	75	0
4	Nov_2_2006	44.7	49.14	49.98	50.4	50.47	50.59	50.58(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	20	5	163	0.11	79%	0.27	75	0.74%	0	1.4	74	0
5	Nov_1_2006	44.58	49.01	49.82	50.32	50.43	50.6	50.35(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	67	30	31	175	0.18	79%	0.27	80.1	0.74%	0	1.4	74	0

6	Oct_31_2006	44.46	48.88	49.61	50.19	50.26	50.35	50.53(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	20	29	171	0.11	79%	0.25	80.3	0.74%	0	1.7	81	0
7	Oct_30_2006	44.35	48.71	49.36	49.92	50.03	50.27	50.33(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	40	30	153	0.08	79%	0.23	80.6	0.74%	0	1.7	81	0
8	Oct_27_2006	44.25	48.56	49.18	49.69	49.75	50.18	50.2(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	71	60	46	146	0.1	81%	0.25	83.2	0.78%	0	1.8	77	0
9	Oct_26_2006	44.14	48.4	49.01	49.51	49.44	49.8	50.17(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	50	53	148	0.2	81%	0.2	89.8	0.78%	0	2.1	78	0
10	Oct_25_2006	44.05	48.25	48.84	49.25	49.21	49.33	49.7(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	10	41	133	0.08	80%	0.23	99.4	0.77%	0	1.9	71	0

11	Oct_24_2006	43.95	48.12	48.65	48.94	49	49.33	49.18(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	20	22	98	0.12	81%	0.18	97.5	0.77%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Oct_23_2006	43.87	47.98	48.51	48.7	48.76	49.08	49.21(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	27	85	0.37	81%	0.16	92.6	0.8%	0	1.5	74	0
13	Oct_20_2006	43.8	47.82	48.38	48.58	48.48	48.92	49.28(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	60	42	92	0.12	81%	0.18	89.2	0.8%	0	1.6	75	0
14	Oct_19_2006	43.72	47.64	48.22	48.45	48.33	48.45	48.89(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	10	31	87	0.16	84%	0.16	88.5	0.8%	0	1.4	74	0
15	Oct_18_2006	43.65	47.49	48.12	48.38	48.27	48.04	48.15(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-40	-8	70	0.1	82%	0.16	88.4	0.89%	0	0.7	66	0

16	Oct_17_2006	43.58	47.37	48.1	48.32	48.31	48.21	47.98(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-20	-13	73	0.18	77%	0.11	80.1	0.9%	0	0.6	65	0
17	Oct_16_2006	43.53	47.21	48.04	48.27	48.27	48.5	48.6(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	30	17	94	0.3	82%	0.16	73.8	0.91%	0	1.2	85	0
18	Oct_13_2006	43.46	47.04	47.9	48.13	48.07	48.42	48.64(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	50	35	108	0.13	75%	0.18	72.1	0.91%	0	1.4	87	0
19	Oct_12_2006	43.38	46.85	47.74	47.95	47.88	48.04	48.54(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	20	27	106	0.27	70%	0.18	71	0.95%	0	1.4	88	0
20	Oct_11_2006	43.3	46.67	47.6	47.84	47.7	48.04	47.82(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	-10	-2	104	0.64	68%	0.19	73.3	0.97%	0	1	85	0

21	Oct_10_2006	43.22	46.53	47.54	47.86	47.74	47.72	47.75(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10	7	131	0.27	68%	0.16	74.8	0.97%	0	1	85	0
22	Oct_9_2006	43.15	46.38	47.41	47.76	47.72	47.68	47.89(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10	6	146	0.24	68%	0.16	68.3	0.97%	0	1.2	91	0
23	Oct_6_2006	43.08	46.2	47.23	47.62	47.58	47.77	47.76(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	9	153	0.19	70%	0.16	62	0.97%	0	1.3	83	0
24	Oct_5_2006	43.01	46.03	47.03	47.49	47.47	47.76	47.98(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	40	32	165	0.3	70%	0.16	57.3	0.98%	0	1.6	88	0
25	Oct_4_2006	42.94	45.83	46.81	47.33	47.28	47.39	47.94(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	10	21	161	0.41	70%		53.4	0.99%	0	1.8	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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